1. Wondering why it is so important to act now to limit the spread of #COVID19 in North America? Most countries are on the same trajectory. What you see in the most affected countries in Europe we will see here unless we do something different.
ft.com/content/a26fbf…
ft.com/content/a26fbf…
2. We are simply at an earlier time point in the outbreak. We are dulled by the daily new case numbers, but a very consistent finding emerges. A doubling of cases about every 3-5 days. This is remarkably consistent in western countries. Including Canada. ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
3. So if the numbers seem low to you (e.g. in my Province of Alberta "only" 29 cases in 4.4 million pop), realize that we will be above 1,000 cases in 3 weeks and 30,000 in 6 weeks if we don't "flatten" the curve.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavir…
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronavir…
4. If you are unsure why it goes up so quickly, please read the King's Chessboard, by David Burch (or have someone read it to you in this video!)
5. This disease will not be beaten in hospitals and intensive care units. Those are the last line in the fight, critical for those wounded in the outbreak. But it is in the community where the real fight lies to reduce the spread of #SARSCoV2 in the first place.
@threadreaderapp unroll
Addendum - 10 more cases today in line with above point #2.
