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So, yeah, NYC is sort of the exception to my mantra of "we're measuring tests, not cases".

NYC has done quite a few tests, but the situation in NYC is clearly quite bad even once you account for the comparatively high number of tests done.
For the most part, I'm much more interested in measures like these in NYC than in the count of positive cases.

* Hospitalizations
* ER visits
* People in ICUs
* People on ventilators
* COVID among medical staff
* Equipment shortages
* People denied care

nytimes.com/2020/03/20/nyr…
Those indicators seem worrying, both from data (where available) and reporting (see article above). What we don't really know yet is how much worse it's going to get, which depends on how much NYC succeeded in bending the curve at various stages of its (slow) response.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Because variation in testing makes it hard to know *exactly* what is happening, it's important to account for one's priors, and IMO those priors should be that there has been a gradual slowdown in new cases as more places have implemented social distancing.
To be more precise, my priors are that as of a week or two ago (that's what we're seeing given the lag in the data) there would have been enough social distancing in place to slow but not reverse the spread. (Say, an R0 of ~1.1-1.6). The data seems consistent with that.
Of course, that's a national average. Maybe, as of 10 days ago, R0 was 2.1 in Florida, 0.9 in NYC and 0.7 in the SF Bay. The data seems consistent with that. But it's hard to anchor to anything when so many cases are undetected, so it could also be consistent with other theories.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
An expert survey conducted ~2 weeks ago forecasted 200K deaths in the U.S., although with a *very* wide range of possibilities. Revised slightly upward to 246K this week. But Dr. Fauci's estimate of 100K+ deaths is broadly in line with the consensus.
fivethirtyeight.com/features/exper…
**HOWEVER**: We are not just inert objects here, and the choices we make could make a huge difference, as the experts think anywhere from around 36K to 1.1m deaths is highly plausible. That's 30-fold difference in possible outcomes.
Important to note that what's happened *so far* is largely baked in based on (bad) choices the U.S. made a week to a month ago, or longer. The data lags our actions to an extent that folks don't seem to fully appreciate. But making better choices *now* *will* pay dividends later.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
There are more detected coronavirus cases right now in blue states. But they're increasing faster in red states.

fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-c…
9 of the 10 states to report the biggest % increases over the past three days were states Trump won.

fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-c…
Also, blue states are doing more testing, so the gap in how many cases there *actually* are may be smaller than it appears.
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kaela⁷ ♏
@BTSFactory
Once he was feeling fresh and not so sticky with lube, he made his way to the kitchen to explore the contents of the fridge. He eyed the bacon and eggs and decided that was what was on the menu for the morning.
He delved into the bag he'd brought with him last night, finding his earphones. Popping them into his ears and plugging the other end into his phone, he turned on his ‘good morning’ playlist, slid his phone into the breast pocket of the shirt and set out to make breakfast.
♦️ ♦️ ♦️

Jeongguk squinted his tired eyes against the sun streaming in through the window above his bed - his otherwise empty bed. He jolted up looking around the vacant bedroom. It felt like his heart stopped when he realized Taehyung was gone.
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MissMAGA2016
@MissMaga2016
#NYC School Chancellor Richard Carranza's Deputy Chief of Staff David Hay was arrested in Wisconsin for trying to arrange sex with a child.

nypost.com/2019/12/30/top…
Carranza's DOE is also filled with a bunch of race baiters and he promotes strife & division within the DOE by labeling whites as "non people."

Ohhh, PEDO David Hay himself promoted race baiting tweets while Carranza's Deputy Chief of Staff.

nypost.com/2019/07/20/cit…
Here's the DOJ announcement for David Hay's charges:

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👩‍💻 DynamicWebPaige @ #TFDocsSprint ✍️
@DynamicWebPaige
Hey, internet: just in case you're not one of those engineers who hears "Hey, compilers!" and comes running delightedly, here's a thread on why I think #MLIR is going to transform the machine learning industry:

(1/n)

for more technical details, ref: ai.google/research/pubs/…
We're seeing an explosion of domain-specific accelerated hardware (yay!).

@GoogleAI's TPUs are an example of this, sure; but you also have @Apple's specialized chips for iPhones, @BaiduResearch's Kunlun, and literally *thousands* of others.

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CaffeinatedTomato - Just beat FFXV ;_; - spoilers
@CaffyTomato
Playing FFXV for the first time on PC and found Avatara - but now it feels like I'm playing the Sims - help I've gotten sucked into character creation! 🤣
I'm really enjoying this so far - the roadtrip nature and the friendly banter is really so chill and relaxing, and the idle animations are so detailed! Of course, I know s*** is about to go down and that makes me sad :(
I've already seen the Kingsglaive movie and the Brotherhood anime, and saw an lp of the very very beginning of the game up to THE cutscene, so I know what is about to happen, but I'm still T_T
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Brian Cates
@drawandstrike
Oh hey nobody was supposed to know that yet. It took somebody leaking the transcript of Baker's testimony to Congressional Oversight to finally make it publicly sourced info that Baker is the target of an ONGOING CRIMINAL LEAK INVESTIGATION.

Just like we weren't supposed to know there's been a Grand Jury being used by US Attorneys in a criminal investigation of former FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe for a year now. But somebody finally tipped off the Washington Post over 6 months after it started.
As you'll recall, I made my FIRST version of this meme back in January of 2018. Some of the pictures have changed, a few were added in.

Here's the very first version of my SOON meme, created on January 19, 2018.
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