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Grateful that the Director of National Intelligence engaged with the piece Kurt and I wrote for @ForeignAffairs

I agree - but whether China "should" be allowed to turn the narrative (it shouldn't!) is different from whether it *will* be able to do.

That should concern us.

1/
I appreciate the DNI's perspective here, but respectfully, if China is seen as leading - and the US is seen as incompetent at home and absent abroad - I'm concerned it'll have major geopolitical implications.

And they're making progress as we falter.

2/
It's clear China (a) covered up the crisis, (b) delayed the intl response, (c) spreads conspiracy theories, and (d) is expelling large numbers of journalists.

That's not top-tier leader behavior. So China's leadership push is an act of chutzpah.

And yet, it could succeed.

3/
The coronavirus is testing the foundations of US leadership: our 1) domestic governance; 2) global goods provision; and 3) ability to coordinate the response.

We're struggling on these, and the PRC sees that as an opportunity - it's racing to make progress on all three.

4/
Orders change gradually, then all at once.

In 1956, a botched intervention in the Suez laid bare the decay in British power and ended its time as a global power.

Today, if the US does not rise to meet the moment, the coronavirus pandemic could mark another “Suez moment.”

5/
This is a rare and truly *global* event.

The Great Depression, WWII, the Soviet Collapse, the Global Financial Crisis - could this plausibly be listed among them in its implications for international order?

If so, we need to meet the moment.

6/
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