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I suspect a few things are at work (1) this is early in the crisis. For a lot of people, it isn't real yet (2) there's often rally around the flag at the start of a crisis, and I think a tendency early on to give the benefit of the doubt.

To me, it doesn't seem like. . .
... he could be doing worse, so I suspect this will catch up to him and his approval will sort of return to the mean. He's been fairly constant through his presidency. I don't think much can fundamentally change his trajectory.

I prefer @538's polling aggregate.
Yup, thanks.


I shouldn't tweet at this hour 😉

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@FiveThirtyEight
Website here: fivethirtyeight.com
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