Ben Warner (AI expert who worked on Tory election & Leave Campaigns)
attended 13.
His brother, Marc Warner, also attended meetings. He won the £250m NHSX app contract.
SPI-M given action to work with NHS on modelling impacts (ie comparing epidemic curves to NHS bed & ICU capacity) yet @neil_ferguson only first met NHS on 1/3...19 days later! twitter.com/messages/media…
What pops up again?
“Model UK epidemic & identity key
numbers for NHS planning” (i.e. bed capacity).
This was STILL on the to do list!
#BREAKING #BreakingNews #COVID19 #coronavirus #COVID19UK
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Did they view it as a single wave epidemic, like flu?
Had they still not calculated the consequences?
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
It is unclear why this still wasn’t pre-loaded given it was discussed at the SAGE meeting on 11 Feb. #BREAKING
On 13 March, the penny was starting to drop that the virus had spread more widely than first thought (no doubt due to half-term travel to Europe). #coronavirus #COVID19 #Covid19UK assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
The penny finally dropped on 16 March. It should have been calculated early Feb. assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
some schools will reopen Monday.
Today, @RishiSunak talked about uniforms being “pulled out of the wardrobe”.
But 6 weeks ago, on 16 April, SAGE said: “There is a consensus that evidence on the role of children in transmission of #COVID19 is unclear.”
On 21/4 a Dutch govt #COVID19 adviser is asked: “You want people to keep getting infected, including children?”
A: Yes. Children will infect each other but not get serious symptoms & then infect their parents
It also revealed that confidential patient data was being used.
theguardian.com/world/2020/apr…
The Dutch have been more open about the strategy. I’m the UK the findings on 16/3👆supposedly made govt “pivot” away from #HerdImmunity, but it seems that this is NOT the case.
14 government advisers
10 independents
4 mathematical modellers
2 virologists
3 behavioural scientists
1 clinical academic.
There was not a single public health person around the top table.