This #TweetStorm is just an itch to write about ITC Limited which everyone has spoken about :). Pardon me if its totally useless. 1) FII shareholding in December 2016 Peaked at 20.89%. Reducing Every Quarter since then !! Down to 14.6% in June 2020.
2) Mutual Funds have gone from 2.65% to 9.45%. Insurance Companies mainly - LIC,GIC etc continue to own 20-22% in the same period. Even SUUTI has gone down from 11.13% to 7.94%.
3) #Retail below 2 lakh capital has gone from 8.73% to 9.2% to 9.47% in last 2 qtrs and no of #shareholders from 10.57 lakhs to 12.7 lakhs to 14.61 lakhs between Dec 2019 to June 2020. Should be more higher in Sept 2020 !!
There are two types of #Twitter spokesperson on #ITC - Its either you love it or you hate it. Won't touch that topic but do not forget #ITC was the largest weight in #Nifty sometime in 2012-2013. 10% of #Nifty ... Thats how markets are - Love (Re-Rating) to Hate ( De-Rating)
But the fact is how can prices go up sharply when there is a nonstop seller !! Would be watching for a trade when #FII shareholding increase QoQ ,The last qtr was a marginal dip in FII holding. Or maybe when OI decreases quickly what say @dcsethia?
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The big implication of new rules in #multicap fund category by SEBI. An impromptu attempt at rambling up some thoughts. Would love comments and feedback no how to benefit from this trend. Some points i cover in tweets below 1/5
1) 18-20% of the Total Equity AUM is in Multicap Funds - Suddenly the rules of the game have changed. Will lead to merger and other creative solutions but not mad buying of smallcaps.
#FunFact - There are 35 schemes of #MultiCap Fund and 29 of #LargeCap & 27 of #LargeandMidcap Fund. #Multicap AUM = 1.46 lakh cr. #Largecap = 1.48 lakh cr. The regulator has a problem in principle and true to label issues. Why did they not notice till now? Source -AMFI site
A quick take on new #SEBI Norms. 1/NLike it was mentioned yesterday - Lot of things can happen. 1) A Multi-Cap Fund may merge itself with a Large & Midcap Fund or any other category. 2) Outflows from Multi-Cap Funds to #LargeCaps which reduces the theoretical buying in #smallcaps
2/N 3) Close the Fund which may not be viable. Nobody likes losing AUM. 4) Another creative Solution or Loop. The Fact is #Smallcaps cannot digest 5000 Cr of Liquidity Gush, forget about 27000 cr. But all the solutions will lead to AUM leakage which AMCs may not like !!
N/N The LargeCap Polarization got accelerated by the categorization of Stocks by SEBI. Now that stance is shifting and that is where a lot of MFs will slowly start re-aligning to Smallcaps selectively. Bottomline -Do not go rush buy or sell stocks coz of the Circular!
#TweetStorm - A Quick take on the new #SEBI circular. 1) The new rule states that a Multicap Fund needs to have 25% in #LargeCaps, 25% in #Midcaps. 25% in #Smallcaps. This needs to be aligned before January 2021.
Data Source - MoneyControl 2) The Total AUM of the Multi-Cap Funds is 1.53 lakh crores. 25% allocation to #Smallcap =38300 crores. Current Allocation= 11240 Crores. Potential Buying or Difference to be Aligned = 27062 crores.
3) Why is everyone going mad about it in #Whatsapp and #Twitter. Total Market Cap of 251st to 500th Company is 9 lakh crores. 27000 Cr implies 3% of Equity. In many of smallcaps promoters own 50-75%. That's like 10% of float buying theoretically. Source - AMFI.
Top 2 stocks 23.56% of the Nifty. Top 3 equal to 31.12% and Top 5 equal to 42.83%.Top 20 Stocks are 79.26% of the Index. Lower than the peak of 80.4% .
Top 10 Stocks are 62.6% of the Index. All time High Concentration.
Banking and Financials continues to see weight drop from 40% to 33.16% .
Reliance is the largest weight at 14%. Last 23 stocks weight combined now lesser than Reliance.28 out of the Nifty50 stocks have a weight of less than 1%
Value of Shares Traded ( Cr ) at the Highest Ever. A peak in this generally an Inflection Point for the long term. For example January 08 value got hit in June 09. What is it now ?
The Top Traded Counter in 2019-2020 was #RelianceInds which is expected that its the top weight. But 3.24% of total Turnover was #YesBank !! Marginally lesser than 3.61% of #RelianceInds
#TweetStorm - 1) The Curious Case of #GlenmarkPharma and #Favipiravir. The The number of articles on Favipiravir and Glenmark Pharma have shot through the roof. We will look at it from a price,volumes and search perspective.
Stock price shot up 40% in the day and closed 27% on 22nd June 2020. Added almost a 3000-4000 cr market cap coz of this move.
Stock price fell 6.7% on 23rd June 2020.From a low of 160-200 in March the stock has moved up to 500+ but is still down from peaks of 1250.
The total number of shares of the #GlenmarkPharma are 28.2cr shares. 1.55 cr delivery volumes on 22nd June 2020 means almost 5.5-6% of the company shares in delivery volumes. Add another 2-2.5% today.
Almost 11-13% of Free Float got delivered on 22nd June 2020 !! Pic @stockedge