#Lebanon "for the 1st time can control its borders"? @MlongdenUK must have landed in Lebanon very fresh w/o doing him homework. Lebanon needs medicine & electricity not 100 armed vehicles to a 50.000 @LebarmyOfficial who spend wild of the country's budget
The west, mainly #US and #UK, supply the Lebanese Army with light and medium calibre weapons and transport vehicles in the hope that one day the army would stand against #Hezbollah. Most Lebanese believe the Army is "sacred" and can't be criticised and its leader is an almighty.
Hundreds of millions of dollars are spent monthly in #Lebanon on over 125,000 members of the security forces when the number of inhabitants is around 5-6 million. This large number has mostly a prestigious role, ease connections & services & employ people to satisfy politicians
#US offer weapons & training for Lebanese officers abroad, impose a condition on the Lebanese government to have the strategic weapon depot in the Christian area of the country. The excuse would be a fear of #Hezbollah that has quality & quantity #Lebanon is not allowed to have.
#US delivered once 6 Hellfire missiles to the Lebanese Army but held the decision to fire these missiles on targets that should be previously approved by the Americans. The US once denied the permission to kill Al-Qaeda leader in the Qalamoun, Abu Malik al-Talli while in #Lebanon
#Lebanon is not allowed to turn to #Russia and #China. A recent (secret) visit of a Chinese delegation to a powerful group in Lebanon offered all sort of support to the country (everything Lebanon could be in need off). Lebanon refused the offer for fear of further Us sanctions.
#Lebanon needs financial support that can be collected only from oil-rich countries who obey the #US diktat. Russia and China (and Iran) can't cover #Lebanon's needs because corrupted politicians took everything even for generations to come. Still only the Americans can bring $$
This is the argument offered by Lebanese leaders to reject any offer from #Russia or #China and to turn towards the East when the West is under the EU tumb.

So, no government because the new PM is still waiting for #France to get the #US blessing 9which will never come).
#France President @EmmanuelMacron's wishful thinking is the fact that the Americans will allow him to "play" in #Lebanon. It won't happen because the #US wants to control. It is politically naive to think otherwise.
If @Joebiden ME decision-makers convince the President that #Hezbollah represents almost a third of the country and any government is impossible to form without its participation, #Lebanon will have a government. So, Lebanese have to wait for Joe's blessing.

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More from @ejmalrai

30 Jan
It is not a question of when @JoeBiden will unconditionally return to honour the JCPOA (Nuclear deal) revoked by Donald Trump. The question is: who and which guarantee the #US can give to the world and #Iran that another US President, after four years, will guarantee the deal?
The JCPOA was confirmed by the #UN UNSCR 2231. The US proved it is careless about the UN resolutions. Why would #Iran accept a deal with the US and Europe who never honoured their part of the deal and are calling for its modification?
Iranian pragmatics heartedly want the #US backing to prove their policy has been successful and that Trump was an exception. @jooebiden is not supporting them because he (and Europe that follows) are giving wrong signals and expressed their intention of modifying the signed deal.
Read 5 tweets
3 Jan
#Iran #Iraq #USA
Exactly a year ago, at 17 minutes past midnight (12:17), an Airbus A350 belonging to Ajnihat al-Sham flight arriving from Damascus landed at Baghdad airport with 5 Iranian commanders onboard, including Sardar Qassem Soleimani A #US SOF team was waiting close by.+
#Iran #IRGC brigadier general booked his flight under a different name. He was the first to leave the plane followed by his close companions. Abu Mahdi, along with two of his close aid-de-champ and his security trusted man (Sayyed al-Jaberi) were waiting on the runway.+
As the two cars drove away, at 12:37 (past midnight) two US MQ-9 Reaper drones fired 230 mph laser-guided Hellfire missiles, incinerating the bodies of Soleimani, al-Muhandes and all their Iranian and Iraqi companions.
Read 11 tweets
27 Dec 20
No war in the Middle East before @realdonaldtrump's departure from the White House. The #US & #Israel are afraid, taking defensive measures, terrified of potential attacks at the anniversary of the US unlawful assassination of Sardar Qassem Soleimani and Haj Abu Mahdi alMuhandes.
#US assassinated the Maestro who enjoyed influence over #Iraq resistance groups. Now the Iraqi r going wild against #US forces present in Iraq as long as these are not willing to withdraw. It is @realDonaldTrump whop shot himself in the leg by assassinating Soleimani.More to come
#Iran and #Hezbollah are on alert and believe the #US could strike before the 20th of January 2021. Hezbollah will strike back in this happen but, to my mind, no war because #Israel fear the consequences and is not ready for it.
Read 4 tweets
5 Dec 20
#USA and #EU have two months left:
Iran's National Security Council approved the bill confirmed by the Majlis Shoura (Parliament) to increase the nuclear enrichment program and limit cooperation with IAEA inspectors @JoeBiden has little time to play around with #Iran.
This is a real challenge to the new #US administration (I don't include Europe because it just follows). Either lift all illegal sanctions imposed on #Iran or accepts the fact that #Iran shuts its doors and go full nuclear capability beyond 20%. No space for games here.
#US is proposing to include #Emirates & #SaudiArabia in the negotiation. #Iran won't mind having both countries around the table, all opposite #Tehran (so there is some balance & all enemies of Iran are gathered in one place) in a new negotiation on the ME power distribution.
Read 6 tweets
1 Dec 20
#Iran FM @JZarif said exactly what my sources told me & quoted in my article: Saudi Arabia is part of the assassination plot of Professor Mohsen FakhriZadeh and will be included in Iran's choices in its bank of objectives when the time comes.

The time is not linked to twitterati
What @SecPompeo, @netanyahu and Mohamad Bin Salman did is violating the UN charter articles 1,2 and 2/4. Killing FakhriZadeh will change nothing in Iran's programs (Nuclear and missiles). he was a Director supervising hundreds of scientists who continue the job as usual.
#Iran is a country and in a country, even the Leader of the revolution can die but not the country.
@netanyahu is in deep domestic trouble and what he did was a simple shown that costed the life of a civilian, non-combattant, kicking the international law.
Read 6 tweets
28 Nov 20
To those ignorant voices, mainly the US-Iranians who more royal than the king, accusing the Iranian sec forces of a failure I say:

You have no clue because you have been pampered in the #US and never seen or understood how these assassination plots are carried out. Read more>..
According to the most experts in security and protection teams, when a car bomb explodes in front of a protection team and a VIP convoy, only 2% succeed to escape, particularly when another hit team is waiting and have been skillfully trained.
Regardless of the level of training of VIP bodyguards, unless there is a very large convoy (which is not the case for a director of a scientific program even if threatened in the past), the chances to escape an ambush like the one set up for #Fakhrizadeh is extremely slim. #Iran.
Read 5 tweets

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