#RetailInflation in May 2021 is 6.3%,Vs 4.23% in April

Core Inflation is 6.6%,Vs 5.4%
Food Inflation is 5.01% Vs 1.96%

Despite uptick,@narendramodi
govt has done very well to rein in #Inflation

Global Food Index in May is up 39.7% YoY,due to drought in many parts of the globe
#GlobalFoodIndex is measured by
#FAO Food Price Index,#FFPI,which is a measure of monthly changes in international prices of a basket of #food commodities;It consists of average of five commodity group price indices,weighted by average export shares of each group over 2014-2016
Why have #Food prices surged globally?

Argentina saw a big drought

Ukraine&Russia also suffered from drought&inclement weather

Indonesia&Malaysia,biggest producers of #PalmOil,have curbed exports,as govts in these countries have made blending of Palm Oil,with fuel,mandatory
#FFPI averaged 127.1 points in May 2021,5.8 points (4.8%) higher than in April&as much as 36.1 points (39.7%) above same period last year

May rise is biggest month-on-month gain since Oct 2010&twelfth consecutive monthly rise in value of FFPI to its highest value since Sept 2011
In fact,globally,#Food prices in May 2021,are just 7.6% below peak of 137.6 points seen in Feb 2011

Sharp rise in May reflects surge in prices of oils,sugar&cereals

FAO Cereal Price Index averaged 133.1 points in May 2021,up 6% Vs April'21&35.7 points or 36.6% Vs May2020 value
Among major #Cereals,global #Maize prices rose the most,gaining 12.9 points (8.8%) in May 2021, reaching 75.6 points (89.3%%) above their value last year&their highest level since Jan 2013

Fall in production in #Brazil added to already tight global supplies amidst strong demand
International #Barley& #Sorghum prices also rose in May,rising by 5.4%& 3.6%

Following surge in #Wheat prices in May,wheat prices rose 8 points (6.8%) Vs April&27.7 points (28.5%) Vs May 2020

FAO #Vegetable Oil Price Index averaged 174.7 points in May, up 12.7 points (7.8%),MoM
FAO #Dairy Price Index averaged 120.8 points in May 2021,up 1.7 points (1.5%) from April,marking one year of uninterrupted increases &lifting the value 26.4 points (28%) above its level of a yr ago

Index is still 22.8% below peak reached in Dec2013 but heading there
#Inflation
FAO Meat Index averaged 105 points in May,up 2.3 points (2.2%) from April,8th monthly rise &lifting index 10% above level of one yr ago

FAO Sugar Index averaged 106.7 points in May,up 6.8 points (6.8%) from April,marking 2nd consecutive monthly rise&highest level since March2017
Rise in global #Sugar price is due to harvest delays&concerns over reduced crop yields in #Brazil,world's largest sugar exporter,as prolonged dry weather conditions impacted crop development

Firm #CrudeOil&stronger Brazilian Real versus Dollar,also impacted shipments from Brazil

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More from @Sanju_Verma_

14 Jun
Opposition is screaming about Inflation,but India under @narendramodi has curbed #Inflation,versus global peers

#VegetableInflation in India is minus 1.92% in May&Food inflation 5.01%

Globally,#FoodInflation up 39.7%, Cereal up 36.6%,Wheat price up 28% &Maize 89.3%

My thread👇
Globally #Inflation is rising because of co-ordinated fiscal stimulus,that has led to asset prices,zooming;For instance,annualized inflation in USA is 9.7%;2yrs back,US was in throes of #Disinflation

$6 trillion stimulus by #Biden has led to too much money chasing too few goods
For those wanting to know why the difference in #WPI&CPI,figures well,weights of items in CPI are based on average household expenditure,taken from consumer expenditure surveys

Weightage of Primary articles in #CPI is 55%+,with Food group alone having weight of 39.06%
#Inflation
Read 5 tweets
31 May
.@INCIndia trolls elated at minus 7.3% GDP growth in FY21,forgetting this was a #Pandemic year,in fact the worst pandemic in 102yrs

Good News in 4Q👇

GDP growth was 1.6% despite consensus of minus 1.4%

GVA growth was 3.7% Vs consensus of 2.6%

Industrial growth was solid 6.9%
In fact,both in Q3&Q4FY21,India reported positive GDP&GVA growth

Industrial growth also was +ve for 2 qtrs in a row at 1.7%&6.9%

Agricultural growth has been a positive 3%+ in every single qtr,in last 4 qtrs

Construction growth has been a massive 6.5%&14.5% in Q3&Q4
#Economy
Some channels conveniently showing how WPI under @narendramodi govt has risen sharply,to 10.49% in April 2021

It is not #WPI but #CPI that matters& #RetailInflation measured by CPI was just 4.2% in April,with food inflation at 2.02%&Vegetable Inflation at minus 14.18%
#Economy
Read 10 tweets
30 May
#AatmaNirbharBharat is not just about Vocal for Local,but creating ecosystem that welcomes global investors&while in 1991,India had to pledge 47 tonnes of Gold,to raise $400mn,under @narendramodi govt,our #ForexReserves are $590bn,3rd highest globally

#7YearsOfSeva

My Thread👇
The Modi Govt ’s most important work has been in domain of women empowerment--From banning commercial surrogacy,to amending Medical Terminal of Pregnancy Act,to Menstrual protocol, strengthening POCSO&banning instant #TripleTalaq💪

#7YearsOfModiJi
#7yearsofModigovt #7YearsOfSeva Image
Farmer welfare is top priority for The Modi Govt;From sowing to selling& insurance,#FarmLaws give Farmers freedom to sell at price they wish to&at place of their choosing

Over Rs 1.35 lakh Cr credited directly to bank accounts of Farmers via #PMKisan

#7yearsofmodi #7YearsOfSeva Image
Read 9 tweets
30 May
Enterprise is the lifeblood of the economy and PM Modi understands that.India’s historic rise in Ease of Doing Business is based on policies that have replaced the red tape with a red carpet..The Modi Govt saw #EODB rise by a massive 79 points+ 💪

#7YearsOfSeva #7yearsofModigovt
When govt enables people's aspirations rather than being an obstacle, Ease of Living is achieved. Ease of process in citizen govt interfaces,ease of doing business &push to digital India are transforming India.

DBT has transferred over 13 Lakh Cr
#7YearsOfSeva #7yearsofModigovt
PM Modi has led a historic battle against corruption.Honesty is honoured&transparency is the norm.From getting British national Christian Michel extradited from UAE,to Vijay Mallya losing appeal in UK Supreme Court,thx to watertight case by Modi Govt,to now,nailing Mehul Choksi💪
Read 7 tweets
28 May
#MamataBanerjee is Arrogant &Unmindful of Welfare of People of #Bengal

Today,PM landed at Kalaikunda airbase after doing aerial survey in #Odisha&Bengal

When PM arrived to attend meet, there was no one from Bengal Govt&Mamata has audacity to talk of #Federalism?

#CycloneYaas
Both CM #MamataBanerjee&Chief Secretary of West Bengal were present in same premises&yet they did not receive PM

#PM,Governor&Union ministers patiently waited for half an hour for #WestBengal representatives to turn up

@MamataOfficial is a deplorable leader,consumed by hubris👎
Suddenly Mamata Banerjee,in her arrogance,stormed in&handed bunch of papers on cyclone impact to PM&said she is leaving as she has other meets lined up

If this was not shocking enough, #MamataBanerjee even did not allow officers of Bengal Govt to make a presentation
#CycloneYaas
Read 4 tweets
28 Apr
Spate of Q4FY21 results showcase #Economy is on track

#ICICIBank reported Profit of Rs4402Cr,a 260% jump YoY,with NII up a solid 16.8% at 10431Cr

Tech companies have done well,with #TechMahindra reporting Dollar Revenue growth of 1.6% QoQ &Margins up 10bps at 16%
#Modinomics💪
#HCLTech also reported good numbers with Dollar Revenue up 3% QoQ

IT&Business Services segment grew 4.4% QoQ

Even for #MarutiSuzuki,while Profit fell,it managed to have Gross Margins at 26%,Vs 27.5% QoQ

Margin above 25% despite challenges thrown by Pandemic,is good
#Modinomics
In Banking space,besides great results by #HDFCBank& #ICICIBank, #AxisBank too reported good results, with Profit at Rs2677Cr,Vs loss of 1388Cr,YoY

While Gross&Net NPAs of Axis rose 15%&52% YoY,with Provisions down 28%,good news is NII is up 11% at Rs7555Cr

#Economy #Modinomics
Read 5 tweets

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