Global Food Index in May is up 39.7% YoY,due to drought in many parts of the globe
#GlobalFoodIndex is measured by #FAO Food Price Index,#FFPI,which is a measure of monthly changes in international prices of a basket of #food commodities;It consists of average of five commodity group price indices,weighted by average export shares of each group over 2014-2016
Ukraine&Russia also suffered from drought&inclement weather
Indonesia&Malaysia,biggest producers of #PalmOil,have curbed exports,as govts in these countries have made blending of Palm Oil,with fuel,mandatory
#FFPI averaged 127.1 points in May 2021,5.8 points (4.8%) higher than in April&as much as 36.1 points (39.7%) above same period last year
May rise is biggest month-on-month gain since Oct 2010&twelfth consecutive monthly rise in value of FFPI to its highest value since Sept 2011
In fact,globally,#Food prices in May 2021,are just 7.6% below peak of 137.6 points seen in Feb 2011
Sharp rise in May reflects surge in prices of oils,sugar&cereals
FAO Cereal Price Index averaged 133.1 points in May 2021,up 6% Vs April'21&35.7 points or 36.6% Vs May2020 value
Among major #Cereals,global #Maize prices rose the most,gaining 12.9 points (8.8%) in May 2021, reaching 75.6 points (89.3%%) above their value last year&their highest level since Jan 2013
Fall in production in #Brazil added to already tight global supplies amidst strong demand
International #Barley& #Sorghum prices also rose in May,rising by 5.4%& 3.6%
Following surge in #Wheat prices in May,wheat prices rose 8 points (6.8%) Vs April&27.7 points (28.5%) Vs May 2020
FAO #Vegetable Oil Price Index averaged 174.7 points in May, up 12.7 points (7.8%),MoM
FAO #Dairy Price Index averaged 120.8 points in May 2021,up 1.7 points (1.5%) from April,marking one year of uninterrupted increases &lifting the value 26.4 points (28%) above its level of a yr ago
Index is still 22.8% below peak reached in Dec2013 but heading there #Inflation
FAO Meat Index averaged 105 points in May,up 2.3 points (2.2%) from April,8th monthly rise &lifting index 10% above level of one yr ago
FAO Sugar Index averaged 106.7 points in May,up 6.8 points (6.8%) from April,marking 2nd consecutive monthly rise&highest level since March2017
Rise in global #Sugar price is due to harvest delays&concerns over reduced crop yields in #Brazil,world's largest sugar exporter,as prolonged dry weather conditions impacted crop development
Firm #CrudeOil&stronger Brazilian Real versus Dollar,also impacted shipments from Brazil
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Globally #Inflation is rising because of co-ordinated fiscal stimulus,that has led to asset prices,zooming;For instance,annualized inflation in USA is 9.7%;2yrs back,US was in throes of #Disinflation
$6 trillion stimulus by #Biden has led to too much money chasing too few goods
For those wanting to know why the difference in #WPI&CPI,figures well,weights of items in CPI are based on average household expenditure,taken from consumer expenditure surveys
Weightage of Primary articles in #CPI is 55%+,with Food group alone having weight of 39.06% #Inflation
.@INCIndia trolls elated at minus 7.3% GDP growth in FY21,forgetting this was a #Pandemic year,in fact the worst pandemic in 102yrs
Good News in 4Q👇
GDP growth was 1.6% despite consensus of minus 1.4%
GVA growth was 3.7% Vs consensus of 2.6%
Industrial growth was solid 6.9%
In fact,both in Q3&Q4FY21,India reported positive GDP&GVA growth
Industrial growth also was +ve for 2 qtrs in a row at 1.7%&6.9%
Agricultural growth has been a positive 3%+ in every single qtr,in last 4 qtrs
Construction growth has been a massive 6.5%&14.5% in Q3&Q4 #Economy
Some channels conveniently showing how WPI under @narendramodi govt has risen sharply,to 10.49% in April 2021
It is not #WPI but #CPI that matters& #RetailInflation measured by CPI was just 4.2% in April,with food inflation at 2.02%&Vegetable Inflation at minus 14.18% #Economy
#AatmaNirbharBharat is not just about Vocal for Local,but creating ecosystem that welcomes global investors&while in 1991,India had to pledge 47 tonnes of Gold,to raise $400mn,under @narendramodi govt,our #ForexReserves are $590bn,3rd highest globally
The Modi Govt ’s most important work has been in domain of women empowerment--From banning commercial surrogacy,to amending Medical Terminal of Pregnancy Act,to Menstrual protocol, strengthening POCSO&banning instant #TripleTalaq💪
Farmer welfare is top priority for The Modi Govt;From sowing to selling& insurance,#FarmLaws give Farmers freedom to sell at price they wish to&at place of their choosing
Over Rs 1.35 lakh Cr credited directly to bank accounts of Farmers via #PMKisan
Enterprise is the lifeblood of the economy and PM Modi understands that.India’s historic rise in Ease of Doing Business is based on policies that have replaced the red tape with a red carpet..The Modi Govt saw #EODB rise by a massive 79 points+ 💪
When govt enables people's aspirations rather than being an obstacle, Ease of Living is achieved. Ease of process in citizen govt interfaces,ease of doing business &push to digital India are transforming India.
PM Modi has led a historic battle against corruption.Honesty is honoured&transparency is the norm.From getting British national Christian Michel extradited from UAE,to Vijay Mallya losing appeal in UK Supreme Court,thx to watertight case by Modi Govt,to now,nailing Mehul Choksi💪
Suddenly Mamata Banerjee,in her arrogance,stormed in&handed bunch of papers on cyclone impact to PM&said she is leaving as she has other meets lined up
If this was not shocking enough, #MamataBanerjee even did not allow officers of Bengal Govt to make a presentation #CycloneYaas