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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
@althecat
Jul 6, 2021 • 25 tweets • 25 min read • Read on X
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Over 24hrs 25-60mms rain has fallen over all three Nile tributaries with the heaviest falling over the #Abbay in Ethiopia's highlands which feeds the #GERD. Here we see an image of storms starting up this morning.

Rain forecasts will follow.

Thread contains rainfall update.
I jumped the gun calling the beginning of #GERD filling on1 July - as the big rainy season began.
Official news of filling came yesterday in the form of an objection to the filling from Egypt after being notified by #Ethiopia that it is underway.
#GERD filling is expected to be less than 13.5 Billion Cubic Meters as time ran out to raise the dam to the height needed to hold this amount of water.

When the filling is completed spilling over the center of the dam will resume as you can see in this image below from 2020.
On Thursday the UN Security Council will meet for the second time in 2 years to discuss the dispute over the #GERD filling between Ethiopia and Egypt+Sudan. This @AJEnglish report from last year is about the first meeting.
Full video of the last UNSC meeting is available from the UN Audiovisual Library here >> unmultimedia.org/avlibrary/asse…
[NOTE: These daily rainfall weather bulletins are intended - in large part - to provide useful information to inform this dispute.

Thanks to bountiful rainfall, there is no real concern in 2021 of shortage of water. The larger risk now may be flooding issues.]
Today's rainfall forecasts for the #HornOfAfrica, #NorthAfrica & the #MiddleEast follow. Beginning with North Africa.

Today's big picture shows the region today including a massive storm over West Sudan and today's storms starting up over Ethiopia's highlands.
Today's 10-Day Rainfall forecasts for North Africa from July 6th through July 17th.

All models are now forecasting widespread rainfall over Yemen towards the end of the forecast period.
This image shows rain over the region over the last 48 hours as measured by satellite [Src @Meteoblue]
48-hour rainfall forecasts (today and tomorrow from the same four models: the Euro @ECMWF, U.S. @NOAA's GFS, Canada's CMC and the Korean KMA models.
And finally for #NorthAfrica we have the long-range 16-day (GFS) and 12-day (KMA) forecasts - which are now remarkably well aligned, albeit with the KMA now forecasting rain across Sudan up to the Egyptian border.
Satellite images from this morning.
The first image shows a glimpse of one of the arms of the #GERD dam lake.
The second image shows the entire area of Nile Basin watersheds, including a massive storm front extending from Sudan to Uganda.
Today's July 6th 10-day rainfall forecasts for #Ethiopia (+1 12-day) and the #HornOfAfrica including #Somalia, #Somaliland, eastern parts of #SouthSudan, south eastern parts of Sudan, #Djbouti and #Eritrea.

Significant rains are now forecast for Somaliland.
48 Hour forecasts (today and tomorrow) from the same three models. Over this period significant rainfall is not yet forecast for #Somaliland, but it does appear to be coming soon. #Tigray however has widespread rain.
Today's #ArabianStorms this afternoon.
In today's @Arab_Storms eyewitness videos we have hail in Abha, Saudi Arabia and more torrents in Oman.
.. this last Oman torrent is particularly wide.
10-Day July 7th, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC, KMA & ACG weather models showing even more #DesertRain in #Yemen and #Oman.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
48 Hour July 5th (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC, KMA and ACG weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
Our final rainfall forecasts are long range July 6th rainfall forecasts. The16-day GFS & GEFS models, the 12 day KMA and the 15 day EPS (Euro ensemble) model forecasts for the #MiddleEast.

All now show #DesertRain in #Yemen #Oman and Southern #SaudiArabia
الله أعلم
Our daily rounded picture of the full North Western Hemisphere. Zero hour simulation data from the GFS.

3. Precipitable water PWAT anomaly
2. PWAT (potential rain + energy)
3. MLSP (Mean Sea Level Pressure)
4. 250Hpa (jet stream winds approx 11kms high)
The final animation's today shows an interesting development which may bring #DesertRain even further north in Chad and Sudan in coming days - and a couple of days later in the Western Sahara.
/ENDs

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Feb 4
This forensic @cnn video presented by @kaitlancollins - detailing the events leading up to the 10 Shot attack on Minnesota Medic Alex Pretti is devastating and ought to be enough to seal the deal and END ICE now.

Collins copresses Trump over concerns from Epstein survivors youtube.com/shorts/IHXnZDw… via @YouTube

Her reporting on the Minnesota killing of Doctor
For the wider picture this from Nicole Wallace is also superb.

Finally CNNs Kaitlan Collins coverage of Epstein is also superb - especially her interview with one of the survivors advocates.

It appears that the insane and deeply evil manipulations emanating from the white house & Justice Department related to the now (but not really) released Epstein files are a complete cover up. Not only are survivors names unredacted effectively putting a target on their backs (my words not from the report….

… but the witness testimonies from survivors are in some cases maybe most of them - completely redacted.
Whilst driving today I listened to a lot of extraordinarily good reporting about mostly #ICE+MURDER & Intimidation the open congressional hearing is particularly good including astonishing accounts from other victims of ICE that are simply terrifying.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 26, 2025
The U.S. constitution appears to be holding up at this point. But the drip drip of the Epstein files means President Donald Trump is looking increasingly impeachable and this will almost certainly trigger the begining of a premature end of @realDonaldTrump’s presidency. /1
Subpoenas of internal justice department officials will likely be the next step. And as there is bipartisan agreement on this there is no “get out of jail free” card on the table for those implicated in this horror show. /2
As the net closes in on the growing number of investigation suspects in this widening gyre it is becoming increasingly likely that the impact of this political events in the U.S.Capitol on politics across the entire U.S. will be seismic in scale.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 29, 2025
This @nytimes New York Times report is startling in its implications. Trump appears to have won the dominance contest OVER @IsraeliPM Netanyahu, who has been it seems diminished within Israel politically as a consequence of @realDonaldTrump’s interventions.

I, for one hope very much that he succeeds in his objectives.
Very importantly Trump is holding the line on extremist Israeli efforts to annex the West Bank. Should Trump hold course the possibility of a real long term 2 state solution - with Israeli and Palestinian cooperation may yet come into view.
nytimes.com/2025/10/27/wor…
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 28, 2025
This from Max Blumenthal

:
Netanyahu’s Desperate PANIC & Massive Cover-Up Exposed via @YouTube
FWIW Max I think the next step is to look more closely at the Magdeburg and New Orléans terror attacks…. The Magdeburg one is especially suspicious abd the new Orléans one accompanied by Elon musk’s cyber car explosion are both linked to Elon.

He tweeted “only AFD can save germany” both before and after the Magdeburg attack
And the New Orleans attack modus operandi was almost identical to the attack in New Orleans
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 3, 2025
This made me cry …. Tears streaming down my face. This is so very sad.

#Gazaunderattack
#GazaUnderFire
If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.

And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Sep 26, 2025
🔴 Al Jazeera English FLASHBACK| Live via @YouTubeyoutube.com/live/gCNeDWCI0…
Immediately after this speech NETANYAHU ORDERED AIR STRIKES ON LEBANON
From the inside the global forum of all of the UN Building.
Read 6 tweets

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