Tweet

More from @juliette_io

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

7 Jul

Lockdown lite?

Has Sydney's lockdown been too lax?

We have Mobility Data up to Wed 1 July. It gives a picture of people's movements in the first 5 days of #Sydneylockdown

Heads up, to understand these charts there are a few tweets of pre-reading ...

#nswcovid #covidnsw
1/9

In the middle of the y-axis, you'll see the number 0

This is the baseline of movement in the community

Baseline = the 'normal' amount of movement on a particular day of the week

Movement on Sundays is different from Wednesdays, so each day has its own normalised baseline

2/9

Google has calculated 'normal' for each day of the week, by finding each day's median throughout a 5-week period from *3 January to 6 February 2020*

That means we need to keep in mind the seasonal and local characteristics of each state during that time of year

Read 10 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

6 Jul

Outbreaks compared
🗓️Day 20

For log-scale super fans (and the rest of us) - charts comparing biggest #covid19aus outbreaks

1/6 ... 7 biggest outbreaks in NSW / VIC
👙Bondi - blue (330 cases)

covid19data.com.au/compare-outbre…

#covidsydney #COVID19 #covidnsw #COVID19nsw #COVID19Vic

2/6 ... What does it look like on a log scale?

Useful bc it doesn't only show us whether cases are growing, but how quickly they're growing

#FlattenTheCurve

3/6 ... 'Hold the line': 3 biggest outbreaks

Shows daily cases and 7-day averages on log scale

Useful because it shows whether we are 'holding the line' against daily growth in cases

👙Bondi - blue
🌊VIC 2nd wave - light grey (took off around now)
🍺Crossroads - dark grey

Read 8 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

8 Feb

@DanDbab

We've collected a wealth of data re NSW clusters, showing the effective whack-a-mole / suppression since mid 2020.

But the most interesting bits are the 'cluster trees'.

A few things they show... 1/6

*Thanks to super thorough work by @DanDbab, Daniel Klein
#COVID19nsw #COVID19

'Cluster trees' are the way we refer to the meta-clusters, if you like, made up of sub-clusters and outbreaks across primary, secondary and tertiary locations, as well as household and social contacts linked to these.

Here is part of the Crossroads cluster tree.

2/6

And here is part of the Thai Rock (Wetherill Park) cluster tree.

In both, we can see the spike of transmissions from the primary location and their immediate households / social contacts, then the trickling outwards.

3/6

Read 8 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

12 Sep 20

We finally have the history of the 14-day avg for metro and regional #CovidVic .

Now we can see the curve. Think it rose quickly? It appears to have fallen even faster. Really started to fall away three weeks ago. Frustrating shallowing now. Keep going Vic!

#COVID19Vic

@VicGovDHHS

Here it is for regional. The 14-day avg peaked at 31.3 cases / day one month ago.

(Data note - we had to wait for @VicGovDHHS to provide all this b/c the raw data aren't published. Big thanks to @migga @covidliveau for passing it onto me! <3 )

3/5. Here is the other key roadmap trigger - total number of cases with an unknown source in the last two weeks. (Note these figures are delayed by a few days). Metro goal = 5. Regional goal = 0.

Read 7 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

6 Sep 20

Charts tracking trigger points in Victoria's roadmap to recovery: (thread, 1/5).

1. Avg daily cases in metro Melbourne. Goal: blue line to reach gold band (30-50 / day, 14-day trailing avg).

#COVID19Victoria #COVID19Vic #COVID19Aus #COVID19

2. Avg. daily cases in regional Victoria. Goal: green line going for gold. (<5 / day, 14-day trailing avg).

3. Community spread (orange) + still under investigation (pink line).

*Metro Step 2 contingent on these*. Metro Step 3 may start with <5 unknowns in last 2 weeks. Regional Step 3 may start with 0 unknowns in regional VIC (tho geo data re community spread not provided).

Read 10 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

19 Apr 20

Here's a wrap of some of the key charts on covid19data.com.au right now.

1/8 - Reported recoveries (yellow) and deaths (blue) as a proportion of confirmed cases to give a timeline view of 'open' cases (black) | covid19data.com.au
#covid19australia #Covid_19australia

2/8 - The site now has charts for tests / day (national and state / territories ) but this analysis compares 5-day average of tests (pink bars) with new confirmed cases (black line) |
covid19data.com.au/testing

3/8 - The daily confirmed cases each day is the key graph atm.

Read 9 tweets

Share this page!

Juliette O'Brien

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

More from @juliette_io

Juliette O'Brien

Juliette O'Brien

Juliette O'Brien

Juliette O'Brien

Juliette O'Brien

Juliette O'Brien

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Like this author's thread?