NEW - #Taliban prepping for a conference inside #Afghanistan's Presidential Palace.

Reports said they planned to re-proclaim the Islamic Emirate of #Afghanistan.
During the AJA-televised conference, one #Taliban commander (is that Mullah Zakir?) says he spent 8yrs in #Guantanamo.

A clear salt-in-wound moment for the U.S.
One #Taliban commander speaking from #Afghanistan's Presidential Palace says #Taliban forces have been "coordinating with" U.S. officials today, amid their entry into #Kabul.
4 months ago, 3,000 U.S. troops were in #Afghanistan -- the ANDF was tenaciously fighting & holding almost all frontlines.

Today, 6,000 U.S. troops have returned -- 100% of #Afghanistan has fallen to the #Taliban & #NATO forces are desperately evacuating their citizens for good.
Taking into consideration all the prisons captured & emptied over the past 2 weeks, it'd seem reasonable to say that 1,000s of #Taliban fighters & 100s of #AlQaeda & #ISIS operatives have found freedom in #Afghanistan.

AQ (AQ & AQIS ) in particular given new life lately.
Now that the U.S. has disengaged from #Afghanistan & 99% of intelligence networks have been dissolved, U.S. officials are suggesting #AlQaeda could regenerate "much faster than expected."

... No sh*t Sherlock.

apnews.com/article/joe-bi…
1,000s of Afghans are stuck at #Kabul Airport desperate to get on a flight out of #Afghanistan -- but U.S. forces stopped civilian flights today for security reasons.

Multiple reports of injuries amid desperate runs on gates, while U.S. troops have been firing into the air.
This plane took off from #Kabul this morning reportedly carrying more than x5 the number of people it’s designed to — some of those left behind tied themselves to the rear & fell off after takeoff.

I have no words. #Afghanistan

As #Kabul awoke to its first full day of #Taliban rule since 2001, @clarissaward of @CNN is reporting from the streets — extraordinary reporting from the very best in the business:

@clarissaward @CNN “It’s very easy to say #Trump set us up for this & we’re just simply following through, but any responsible leader who was listening to all of the advice he was getting would have taken a more measured approach.”

- My comments to @nwadhams
of @business:

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
@clarissaward @CNN @nwadhams @business When the US announced withdrawal, the #UK pushed #NATO states to form a new coalition to stay in #Afghanistan -- nobody agreed.

"This wasn't the right time or decision to make, of course, #AlQaeda will come back," #UK Defense Secretary @BWallaceMP said.

theguardian.com/world/2021/aug…
@clarissaward @CNN @nwadhams @business @BWallaceMP The amount of weaponry captured by the #Taliban in recent weeks is mind-boggling.

Yesterday, they got EMB 314 Super Tucanos, worth ~$10 million each.

This video shows a single (enormous) haul of U.S.-made M16s, M4s & crates of Berettas.

@clarissaward @CNN @nwadhams @business @BWallaceMP What does the collapse of #Afghanistan into #Taliban rule mean for terrorism & counterterrorism going forward?

Here’s some rapid-fire thoughts on my mind, for @MiddleEastInst & @MEI_CTE:

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More from @Charles_Lister

28 Aug
BREAKING -- a U.S. drone strike has targeted #ISIS-K operatives in eastern #Afghanistan.

via @idreesali114
@idreesali114 The U.S. strike today targeted #ISIS-K in #Afghanistan's #Nangarhar province

Earlier, unnamed IC officials had said explosive devices & other materials had been sent by #ISIS from #Nangarhar to #Kabul in recent days.
@idreesali114 Earlier today, the #Taliban was reported to have engaged in clashes with #ISIS-K cells in #Nangarhar's Dara-i-Noor district.

The #Taliban-#ISIS conflict has been centered in #Nangarhar & neighboring #Kunar provinces.
Read 8 tweets
24 Aug
#Biden's decision to stick to the Aug 31 deadline is bold -- it raises 2 key risks:

1) We'll be leaving people behind, certainly 1,000s of #Afghans & quite likely, a few Americans in hard-to-reach spots.

2) Other G7/NATO states have been rebuffed again by #Biden -- more anger.
"#Biden's decision to pull out troops was backed by most Americans, 53%-38%. But almost two-thirds, 62%, disapproved of the way his administration has handled that withdrawal."

Overall approval rating now 41%.

New polling on #Afghanistan's impact:

usatoday.com/story/news/pol… Image
BREAKING -- The US military has begun re-withdrawing from #Afghanistan, per US officials.

Very worrying sign for the 10,000s of those left behind - mostly #Americans, but some U.S. & European nationals too.
Read 65 tweets
24 Aug
Note to all -- it *is* possible for both these things to be true:

1) The #Afghanistan withdrawal has been a debacle, due to a lack of planning; hurried schedule; & ignoring worst-case scenarios.

2) The USG & NATO evacuation effort in recent days has been extraordinary & heroic.
Similarly, while it's entirely legitimate to argue that staying in #Afghanistan for 20yrs was illustrative of mission creep and strategic errors, that doesn't in any way mean that a withdrawal was guaranteed to result in chaos, humanitarian crisis & a terrorist state.
If a public figure is telling you that policy 'failure' in #Afghanistan made chaos inevitable -- he/she is lying to you.

If a public figure tells you that the heroic [crisis] evacuation effort is evidence that everything's fine -- he/she is also lying to you.

Think & question.
Read 6 tweets
24 Aug
There's lots of first-hand accounts of this from recent days -- intensifying over time. For now, the window's closing/closed for #Afghans, as the U.S. & others prioritize their citizens' evacuation.

This was all inevitable given the tight timeline, and it'll worsen too.
More than any other aspect of the #Afghanistan withdrawal, this is what should have been 100% avoidable.

And as @RepAdamSchiff has just stated, the IC *did* warn of a swift #Taliban victory -- this was *not* an intelligence failure, it was a political/decision-making one.
@RepAdamSchiff The #Taliban aren't stupid; they know the U.S. (& #NATO allies) are under pressure -- #Taliban fighters have significantly increased their intimidation of Afghans outside #HKIA - countless reports of beating, whipping & even gunfire.

And they're blocking known meeting points.
Read 12 tweets
16 Aug
Smoke & mirrors -- #Biden is clearly determined to defend the policy of withdrawal, but that's not the core reason for today's anger.

The debacle was *how* that withdrawal was conducted. It's just not enough to shoulder-off the blame to #Afghanistan. Image
"The #Taliban doesn't even have an airforce," #Biden says.

- Well, they certainly do now, Mr President. Image
If I'm not mistaken, #Biden hasn't yet mentioned the appalling suffering, panic & terror being felt by so many across #Afghanistan -- it's all about defending the withdrawal & blaming the disaster on #Afghans.

Just a bafflingly tone deaf message, considering global attention. Image
Read 58 tweets
9 Aug
Catastrophic 72hrs for #Afghanistan, as the #Taliban capture 5 provincial capitals -- taking military bases, airports, emptying prisons etc.

The U.S. (then NATO) withdrawal is clearly an utter disaster, but that ship has sailed -- muted response from #Washington says everything.
#Taliban control in #Afghanistan:

Mid-April: 77 districts:
Early-August: 229 districts

Nearly 50% of provincial capitals are now under #Taliban threat.

(via @LongWarJournal) ImageImage
@LongWarJournal NEW -- Early reports emerging that the #Taliban may have just captured its 6th provincial capital in 4 days: #Aybak, in #Samangan.
Read 58 tweets

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