Amy MacPherson Profile picture
Aug 27, 2021 5 tweets 7 min read Read on X
1/5 🧵#CDNpoli #Polling #Elxn44

I see many of you were excited by the polls today, so here's a few things you #NeedToKnow about polls

First, all pollsters exhibit bias & it's measured enough to constitute a graph. Here's one from the 2015 election to give you some example:
2/5 🧵#CDNpoli #Polling #Elxn44

Watching polls throughout an election is a fool's game. It may provide insight at a given moment but it isn't until the final stretch that it may be indicative. Much can happen & a #LeadersDebate can change everything (click photo to see tail end)
3/5 🧵#CDNpoli #Polling #Elxn44

Next, the #338PollAggregator contains every bias from every pollster, as demonstrated in the photo from (1/5) in this thread. With that said, they currently list an exact tie between Libs & Cons, with NDP ranking lower than the poll released today
4/5 🧵#CDNpoli #Polling #Elxn44

According to bias, Ipsos was closest to centre during the 2015 election as demonstrated in post (1/5) & yet the line graph in (2/5) had a disparate ending

Currently Ipsos has the #LPC ahead of #CPC & it seems likely the #NDP is stat is inflated
5/5 🧵#CDNpoli #Polling #Elxn44

In the end, all that matters is seat count & *concentrated votes* in specific ridings, not the average of countrywide polls that #CDNmedia likes to trumpet all election long

Currently it's:

#LPC 141 (+/-) 43
#CPC 133 (+/-) 36
#NDP 36 (+/-) 16

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More from @MsAmyMacPherson

Feb 4, 2022
1/20🧵 I have some pretty big news to share #Thread #CDNpoli

I finally have all my specialized test results & it's much worse than anyone hoped or predicted. My life is going to be cut rather short due to physical complications with cancer & political complications with #Covid19
2/20 🧵#CDNpoli #Cancer #COVID19

In the past 2 months, my lung cancer tumor has already grown. But yesterday we finally learned why I was falling & what injured my leg & back to make them so painful & too weak to walk anymore

I don't just have lung cancer. There's more...
3/20🧵#CDNpoli #Cancer #COVID19

In addition to the lung tumor, my left leg & hip are riddled with cancer. It began in my right leg too. All lymph nodes have cancer. Two spots in my spine have cancer (T5 & T12). Cancer in my left rib & right shoulder. 3 tumors in my liver as well
Read 20 tweets
Dec 12, 2021
1/16🧵 A #thread on how badly #CDNmedia is crippled by substituting journalism with public relations amid concentrated, consolidated, & political ownership

This isn't just about revenue, though the Canada Revenue Agency (#CRA) will serve as this week's textbook example (con't)
2/16🧵 #CDNmedia #CDNpoli #CRA

Yesterday you might've seen this vanilla story about Revenue Canada taking its site offline for some miscellaneous 'global #security vulnerability'

It was a whole lot of 'everything's fine' & 'nothing to see here' #InfoSec

archive.md/H0K1T
3/16🧵 #CDNpoli #CRA

That story was written by Canadian Press, that now funds reporters via Facebook corporate sponsorship in an official & ongoing #CDNmedia alliance

It was published without a byline at 11pm on Saturday night (when few would see it) & syndicated by Global News
Read 17 tweets
Oct 22, 2021
1/9🧵 It's grievous #CDNmedia won't do its job so it appears I'm betraying my gender for contributing the facts

But problem with this narrative is they're omitting the part where Chu met the girl at a bar & that's what everything hinges on due to Supreme Court precedent #Thread
2/9🧵 Reason it matters that Chu met her at a drinking establishment is because Supreme Court ruled it's reasonable to ascertain someone is an adult, due to the pub's legal onus to check IDs to permit entry. Chu can't be prosecuted for luring a minor since she misrepresented age
3/9🧵 Now, with the amount of people who don't know the first thing about #CDNlaw + #CDNmedia failing its due diligence to inform, everyone is hopping on a political bandwagon to seek vengeance & claim the system is completely broken

💥This discourages women from reporting💥
Read 39 tweets
Sep 30, 2021
1/17 🧵#CDNpoli #InfoSec #CDNmedia

To friends, a cautious warning; to nefarious actors, you're put on notice & the radar of #NatSec

During the writ my bank account was hacked repeatedly, likely to gain insight RE who might be paying me

On #Elxn44 day, $3,000 was stolen
2/17 🧵#InfoSec #CDNmedia

Soon after the #Elxn44 writ dropped, multiple IP addresses began #hacking my bank account

According to bank security (that happens to be the HQ for all #CDNpoli banking #NatSec security), every attack arose from @Rogers/@RogersHelps accounts
3/17 🧵#CDNpoli #InfoSec #CDNmedia

And by no means was it even typical hacking. It's the type that put #NatSec on full alert because it compromised bank security as well as my own security & overrode all the safeguards that banks have in place

Please let me explain...
Read 17 tweets
Sep 25, 2021
1/24 🧵#CDNpoli

Expect this news will make most of you uncomfortable. Plz let me begin with a declaration that the #ClimateCrisis is real & requires immediate action

But you've also heard me address conflict of interest in #CDNmedia & this #thread has serious legal implications
2/24 🧵#CDNpoli #CDNmedia

It's outrageously serendipitous that #Huawei's Meng Wanzhou signed a plea deal today, the #2Michaels are coming home from China, & that Grimes is reporting marital troubles with Elon Musk

Could've never imagined those topics would intertwine like this
3/24 🧵#CDNpoli

When it comes to conflicts of interest in #CDNmedia my criticisms are not partisan

For #J_school legal reasons it has always been imperative for journos to decline reporting on people or matters that involve them & to ethically disclose when that isn't avoidable
Read 25 tweets
Sep 17, 2021
1/34 🧵#CDNpoli #SLAPP

I've received a threatening letter from lawyers on behalf of @MercedesGlobal & @GlobalNews to prevent me from speaking about Stephenson's role in #CDNmedia as the wife of Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole's #Elxn44 director

This #thread is my response
2/34 🧵#CDNpoli #CDNmedia #Elxn44

I will not comply with demands made in bad faith by @GlobalNews & @MercedesGlobal, nor will I shrink from unfounded #SLAPP allegations that are libelous against me. I ask that you cease & desist with this harassment. Here are my reasons (con't):
3/34 🧵#CDNpoli #CDNmedia #Elxn44

On the 1st page of your error-laden defamation notice, you claim that I've caused @GlobalNews & @MercedesGlobal "serious damage" but fail to state any negative consequences & fail to provide evidence of damage

Is Elections Canada investigating?
Read 36 tweets

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