In my @cbcradio interview today, I said that #migrants crisis on #Belarus #PolandBorder is escalation of conflict between EU, in particular #Poland, & Belarus. #Lukashenko government uses it to retaliate for EU, especially Poland’s, support of opposition & sanctions.
Humanitarian crisis on #BelarusBorder with #Poland intensifies because of cold weather & harsh living conditions of #migrants, including many women & children. #Polish police used water cannons. Poland continues to block attempts of migrants to cross border & apply for asylum.
#Polish government actions are aimed in boosting popular support. Statement by #Poland prime minister that #migrants crisis is #terrorism does not meet definition of terrorism. Polish police used water cannons, & Poland continues to block attempts of migrants to cross border
EU has much greater leverage on #Poland than on #Belarus in #migrants crisis. New EU sanctions against Belarus won’t be effective, like previous sanctions for falsification of presidential elections results & passenger plane diversion. Belarus relies on support from #Russia .
I also said in my #CBC Radio interview today that #Belarusian government encouraged in various ways #migrants from #Iraq and other Middle Eastern countries to fly to #Belarus and cross its borders to #Poland and #Lithuania.
In my #CBC Radio interview today, I noted danger of escalation & widening of conflict & aggravation of humanitarian crisis on #Belarus #Poland border. #Ukraine borders both Belarus & Poland, and war in #Donbas and conflict between Ukraine and #Russia are also escalating.

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More from @I_Katchanovski

12 Nov
In my live CTV #interview today, I said that #migrants crisis on #Belarus #polandborder is escalation of crisis between the EU, in particular #Poland, & Belarus. Lukashenko uses migrants from Middle East to retaliate for EU support of Belarus opposition & previous #sanctions.
In my CTV #interview today, I also said that in spite of a threat by #Lukashenko to shutdown a transit #gas #pipeline, this is unlikely because it would affect not only the EU but also #Russia which own this pipeline, supplies the gas & is an ally of #Belarus
I said that new EU sanctions against #Belarus won’t be effective because previous #sanctions for falsification of presidential elections & forced landing of passenger plane were ineffective & because Belarus relies on economic, financial, political & military support from #Russia
Read 4 tweets
11 Nov
In my live @CTVNews #interview last evening, I said that the current migrant crisis on the #BelarusBorder with #Poland is important because it involves Poland, which is a EU members, and Belarus, which is allied with #Russia, and it is near #Ukraine, which has an armed conflict.
In my CTV News interview, I also said that UN Security Council meeting concerning migrant crisis on #BelarusBorder with #Poland is likely to produce divide between #Russia that supports #Belarusian government & Western countries, such as US, UK, and France.
I stated in my @CTVNews interview that EU #sanctions against #Belarus won’t resolve the #Migrant crisis on #Belarus #Poland border, because sanctions were proven to be ineffective after last #Belarusian presidential elections & after diversion of passenger plane by Belarus.
Read 5 tweets
10 Nov
My video appendix, entitled "Maidan Massacre Trial & Investigation Testimonies by Prosecution Witnesses about Maidan Snipers (2021)," is now available on Academia. Official investigation denied existence of such snipers in Maidan-controlled buildings/areas
academia.edu/video/ln05aj
This #Video appendix with English-language subtitles contains several dozen testimonies by prosecution(!) & Maidan witnesses(!) at Maidan massacre #trial & investigation in #Ukraine about snipers in Maidan-controlled buildings & areas during #Maidan massacre on February 20, 2014.
Video appendix includes testimonies about Maidan snipers by several dozen witnesses among #Maidan protesters, relatives of killed protesters, journalists & snipers & commanders from government units. Almost none of these testimonies were reported by #Ukrainian & Western #media.
Read 4 tweets
9 Nov
In my #Ukrainian Avers TV interview, I said that #Belarusian government is using #migrants from #Iraq as retaliation for #Polish governments’ support of opposition in #Belarus & its refusal to recognize Lukashenko as president.
I also commented that US-Ukrainian partnership charter shows symbolic US support for Ukraine. It solidifies position of #Ukraine as US client state which is used by US & EU to contain #Russia without providing any commitments & without any prospects of EU membership for Ukraine.
I said that public backing by US, EU & NATO of proposed SBU law also shows client state status of #Ukraine & its security service. Despite rhetoric of reforms & democratization, SBU in fact is used against political opponents, & human rights situation is similar to end of 80s.
Read 4 tweets
8 Nov
As I said, "Canadian policy turns a “blind eye” to ultranationalist extremism and human rights violations & this silence basically is used by the #farright in #Ukraine and by the #Ukrainian government as immunity, as a sign of support, as a green light.” theglobeandmail.com/canada/article…
And it has not been reported yet in #Canadian media that leader of #Neonazi C14 admitted that his C14-based Maidan Self-Defense company took refuge in the Canadian embassy in Kyiv on February 18 and stayed there during the Maidan massacre. (p. 21). researchgate.net/publication/33…
Read 7 tweets
29 Oct
The EU special representative for human rights states that there are problems with the investigations of the #Maidan and #Odesa massacres in #Ukraine and that progress is needed in these investigations.
strana.news/news/359551-v-…
My academic studies show that investigations and prosecutions of both these crucial mass killings are stonewalled and fabricated in order to cover-up involvement of the Maidan politicians and far right in these massacres. researchgate.net/publication/34…
Read 5 tweets

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