On a leaked audio recording, chairman of the #Hungarian parliament #KövérLászló calls 🇭🇺opposition the most significant #NationalSecurity threat the country is facing and asks the 🇭🇺 domestic intelligence agency to mitigate this threat. (THREAD 1/5)
444.hu/2021/11/27/kov…
2/5
#Kövér addressed the leadership of the domestic intelligence/counter-intelligence agency #AVH in February 2020.
3/5 This piece of information may shed new light on the #PegasusAffair in 🇭🇺 & raises the impression that #IntelligenceAgencies may be systematically used by the incumbent #OrbanRegime in #Hungary to conduct surveillance of the #DemocraticOpposition, independent journalists ...
4/5
& critical #CivilSociety and to use the information gathered through surveillance for the purpose of intimidation & other #ActiveMeasures.
5/5
Partner agencies of allied countries have to consider the instrumentalization of #Hungarian #IntelligenceAgencies in domestic politics when they decide about cooperation and information sharing.
@BipartisanTDWG
+1
And of course there is a further key question: have Hungarian security services cooperated with foreign #IntelligenceServices, especially those of #AuthoritarianPowers like #Russia & #China, in the surveillance of the 🇭🇺 opposition, free media and #CivilSociety?
+2
In light of the frequent #CyberAttacks of apparently #Russian origin on 🇭🇺 government critical actors, this question seems to be more than legitimate.

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More from @DanielHegedus82

22 Nov
I feel deeply humbled by the opportunity that I could participate and talk at this weekend's #FutureofDemocracy Forum, the official side event of the #SummitforDemocracy organized by the @LithuaniaMFA in Vilnius.
A rather long THREAD 1-10.
#FoDVilnius2021
2.
My main message was that a #DemocracyAgenda focusing mostly on the malicious external interference of #authoritarian great powers and #AuthoritarianEncroachment can be easily doomed to fail for a simple reason.
futureofdemocracyforum.com
3.
External #ForeignMeddling is only in a small-part responsible for #autocratization and #illiberal developments in the Western World. The main drivers of autocratization in #EU & #NATO countries are overwhelmingly domestic.
Read 10 tweets
12 Dec 20
Some thoughts on the legality of the #EUCO #RuleofLaw declaration
THREAD 1/5
Partially in contrast to this analysis ... 👇
2/5
IMHO the regulation doesn't have to have retroactive effect, as it comes into force on January 1, 2021. The coming into force is not postponed, just @EU_Commission
refrains from proposing measures under the regulation, which does not exclude the monitoring of situation in MS.
3/5
@EU_Commission isn't legally bound by the declaration, but apparently is part of the political deal. As the Commission has high margin of discretion how it fulfils its task as Guardian of the Treaties, it can hardly be sued for not proposing measures for any reason.
Read 6 tweets
9 Dec 20
Run-up to the #EUCO
#RoL THREAD 1/12

According to information leaked from #Polish diplomatic circles, there is an agreement between the 🇭🇺&🇵🇱 governments & @EU2020DE on the modalities of ending the #BudgetBlockade.
@jancienski @VALERIEin140 @MarkusBecker
444.hu/2020/12/09/kes…
2/12
According to the plan, an #EUCO declaration will explain/limit the scope of the #RuleofLaw conditionality regulation as well as the timeframe of its application. The deal was allegedly sealed by #Orban & #Morawiecki Tuesday evening. @RULEOFLAWpl
rmf24.pl/newsamp-kompro…
3/12
Apparently #EUCO is ready to declare that member states will refrain from the application of the regulation in the Council as long as #CJEU is not ruling about the action for annulment case which will be brought forward against the regulation by 🇵🇱& 🇭🇺.
@PiotrBuras1
Read 16 tweets
8 Dec 20
1/5
Important thread by @PawelZerka on the domestic dimension of the #RuleOfLaw debate in #Poland.
To be honest, I feel optimistic & reassured if the hurdles are so low.
The second and the third point are only face saving measures...
2/5
... not real conditions, and they don't require any substantial concessions.
In case of the government declaration much depends on the content. However, if the #Polish government can be satisfied by emphasizing the tie between the #RoL conditionality instrument and ...
3/5
... the EU's financial interest, which is given anyhow, then this isn't going to be the most difficult deal of the year.
Of course much depends from Hungary, but separating #Poland from #Hungary could be one of the most important results of the #EUCO.
Read 6 tweets
24 Nov 20
Why ending the #Article7 procedures against #Hungary & #Poland as part of the #BudgetDeal grand bargain is an utterly bad idea.
THREAD 1/11

The #Article7 procedure is widely perceived as a completely failed, dysfunctional legal tool to enforce compliance with #EUvalues.
2/11
Therefore many see the closure of the ongoing procedures against #Hungary & #Poland as potential bargaining chips that may convince the EU's two autocratizing member states to withdraw from the blockade of the EUR 1800 bn budget deal
@EU2020DE @MKarnitschnig @meyer_resende
3/11
@ManfredWeber hinted on that option last week and rumours from @EU2020DE confirm the intention of the German Council presidency to please Warsaw and Budapest that way.
standaard.be/cnt/dmf2020112…
Read 12 tweets

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