2021 might have been a disappointing year in many regards, but it was not all bad.
Several hot spots in the world offered some good news.
Here are @CrisisGroup's 10 reasons for hope in 2022 👇
1⃣ The U.S. has reentered the Paris Climate Accord, part of a global push to address the rising threat of #ClimateChange and fragility that afflicts more and more countries in the world today. globalclimate.crisisgroup.org
2⃣ The Gulf is seeing a flurry of diplomacy. Dialogues & engagement have started between Iran and Saudi Arabia, Iran - UAE, the UAE and Turkey and within the #GCC countries.
These efforts can still be derailed but are welcome news in a region plagued by distrust and tensions.
3⃣ In #Libya, despite uncertainty around the delayed presidential elections, the ceasefire is holding.
Rekindled relations between foreign backers of Libya's rival factions give hope that institutional chaos won't turn into a relapse of armed conflict.
4⃣ #Colombia's peace accord with the #FARC has successfully disarmed the region's longest running insurgency. 5yrs in, ex-combatants remain overwhelmingly committed to peace.
The US decision to de-list the demobilised FARC offers new avenues to fortify implementation.
5⃣ Despite worries, #Honduras' polls were peaceful and non-contentious.
@xiomaracastroz is the first woman chosen as president of the Central American country. Her anti-corruption agenda has raised hopes of taking the country in a more stable direction.
6⃣ In #Syria, a de facto nationwide ceasefire has significantly reduced violence in the war-torn country.
While the situation is fragile and the humanitarian needs are dire, the cessation of hostilities spared thousands of lives.
7⃣ Despite fraught relations in 2020 between the EU and Turkey, tensions stayed under control in the Eastern Mediterranean.
The EU and Turkey have left space open for negotiation and there is a lower chance of any clashes in Mediterranean waters.
8⃣ A new EU #HumanRights sanctions regime allows the EU to respond to difficult situations where there is no political will to single out a single country, as in the case of the mass detentions of Uyghurs in China.
🔟 Finally, the best news for us @CrisisGroup is the release of our colleague @MichaelKovrig on September 24, after 1,020 days of arbitrary detention in China.
Welcome home Michael!
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Given the mass suffering and economic woes inflicted on Ethiopia’s population, as well as the growing risk of regional conflagration, a cessation of hostilities and negotiations are more essential than ever.
Through a combination of pressure, diplomacy, and forward planning, outside actors should work together to move the parties toward the path of peace.
#Somalia is in a dangerous political impasse as political actors have yet to reach a breakthrough in talks about the 2021 elections.
The longer the situation persists, the greater the risk of violence, says Crisis Group's @OmarSMahmood
THREAD 1/10 ⇊
The parliamentary and presidential elections, due by February 8, have been postponed amidst a deep lack of trust between Somalia’s political elites. 2/10
This mistrust is a by-product of the #Farmajo administration’s attempts to centralise power, which has spurred a backlash in a country that has long had center-periphery tensions. 3/10
The crisis risks evolving into a protracted conflict as:
➢ Eritrean forces are yet to fully withdraw from the region
➢ Tigrayan leaders consolidate their position in rural areas
➢ President @AbiyAhmedAli remains determined to keep #Tigray’s ousted leadership away from power
It is vital that both Tigrayan and government forces consider halting the fighting to facilitate access to humanitarian aid.
This practical first step would help reduce civilian suffering and could even pave the way for a return to dialogue.
2020 has been a devastating year. We could all do with some good news.
Here are some of @CrisisGroup’s 10 reasons for hope in 2021.
1. Vaccines. Several vaccines developed in record time have already been approved against #COVID19.
Their roll-out gives good reasons to believe 2021 will see a dramatic turnaround of the pandemic.
2. Return to diplomacy. After 4 years of the Trump era’s erosion of multilateralism and tensions among the P5, the Biden administration could help restore U.S. engagement in multilateral conflict resolution efforts and at the Security Council