Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Feb 15 8 tweets 10 min read
NEW: #alQaida "maintained a low profile in #Afghanistan...likely at the behest of #Taliban leaders attempting to establish legitimacy with the int'l community" per acting @DoD_IG Sean O'Donnell in new report
Per @CENTCOM, @DefenseIntel "#Taliban has not permitted al-Qaeda members to play a significant role in its so-called “interim government” & will likely
aim to prevent #alQaida attacks on the United States as it attempts to gain international legitimacy" says @DoD_IG report
.@CENTCOM "said that the #Taliban very likely will allow #alQaida elements in #Afghanistan to maintain a low profile within the country to preserve legacy relationships & avoid upsetting the most militant Islamic elements within the Taliban" per @DoD_IG report
NEW: @DoD_IG report notes #ISIS-#Khorasan "carried out a string of high-profile terrorist attacks, including the bombings of two crowded Shia mosques and an attack on the military hospital in #Kabul that killed a senior #Taliban leader" per @DoD_IG's O'Donnell
Per @DefenseIntel, #ISIS-#Khorasan likely exploiting anti-#Taliban sentiment, governance shortfalls to boost recruitment, especially since October, says @DoD_IG report
"#ISIS-K’s targeted attacks on critical infrastructure highlighted the #Taliban regime’s inability to provide basic security & worked to delegitimize the Taliban with the local population" per @DoD_IG report
Despite warnings from @DOD_Policy in October that #ISIS-#Khorasan could regenerate capabilities to attack US, West in as little as 6 months, @DefenseIntel assesses ISIS "prioritizing attacks within #Afghanistan over external operations" per @DoD_IG
#Uyghur fighters w/#ISIS-#Khorasan in #Afghanstan?

@DefenseIntel "said it could not corroborate the claim" per @DoD_IG "DIA said that ISIS-K’s recent rhetoric w/regard to the Uyghurs was likely part of the group’s propaganda campaign to fuel tension btw #China & the #Taliban"

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More from @jseldin

Feb 17
Happening now: @SecDef Lloyd Austin briefs reporters following the NATO Defense Ministerial in #Brussels Image
"#Russia continues building up their military presence along #Ukraine’s borders including in #Crimea, #Belarus, and in the #BlackSea" per @SecDef

"In many ways, this brings Russian troops right up to @NATO’s doorstep"
"As President Biden said a couple days ago, we will if we must defend every inch of @NATO territory" per @SecDef

"There is no reason, of course, that it should ever come to this. Just like there is no reason for #Russia to again invade #Ukraine"
Read 14 tweets
Feb 16
JUST IN: @CISAgov @FBI @NSAGov issuing #cybersecuurity advisory on #Russia targeting US defense contractors supporting @USArmy @usairforce @USNavy @SpaceForceDoD & intelligence agencies

Goal was to get info on weapons development, communications infrastructure, research & more
MORE: @CISAgov @FBI @NSAGov warn #Russia #cyber actors targeting defense contractors w/

- Brute force techniques
- Spearphishing emails
- Harvested credentials
- Mapping Active Directory
- Maintaining access for months Image
"Over the last several years, we have observed and documented a host of malicious activity conducted by #Russia|n state-sponsored cyber actors targeting US critical infrastructure" per @CISAJen in statement
Read 4 tweets
Feb 16
HAPPENING NOW: "War in #Europe started already more than 8 years ago when #Russia's annexation of part of #Ukraine took place" #Estonia FM @eliimets tells @CNASdc #CNAS2022
Signs #Russia pulling back from #Ukraine?

"At the moment we cannot talk about deescalation. It definitely takes quite some time to see" per #Estonia FM @eliimets to #CNAS2022

If it proves to be true, "we, from our side, welcome it"
"We have seen that they would like to reestablish the time of buffer zone around its borders" per #Estonia FM @eliimets on #RussiaUkraineCrisis

"Russia does not want to have democratic & prosperous countries around its borders"
Read 17 tweets
Feb 15
NEW: @POTUS not alone saying #Russia amassed 150,000 troops along #Ukraine's borders

New report from #Estonia's foreign intel service says "Russia mobilized 150,000 men...deploying units & capabilities from all its military districts, including the Far East, & all 12 armies"
Per #Estonia's foreign intelligence service, #Russia's deployed:

-3 motor rifle divisions
-1 airborne division
-1 naval infantry brigade
- +60 motor rifle & tank battalions
- abt 10 Iskander missile battalions
- +30 artillery & rocket artillery battalions

to border w/#Ukraine
More" #Russia has set up full logistic support for the force groups, bringing in additional command & rear units & forward-deploying munitions in the Ukrainian direction" per #Estonia intel
Read 7 tweets
Feb 15
Just in: #alQaida releases 3rd video from leader Ayman al-Zawahiri this month - this one billed as episode 4 in his "Deal of the Century" lecture series

via @JihadoScope
The other videos with #alQaida's Zawahiri were issued February 3 and February 8
Per @siteintelgroup, in this latest video, which runs about 16 minutes, #alQaida's Zawahiri calls for Muslims to unite, and takes aim at rival #ISIS
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
Threat landscape in the US - "A lot has changed" since December, @DHSgov's John Cohen, the senior official performing the duties of the Undersecretary of Intelligence & Analysis tells @gwupoe
Foreign intel services, foreign terrorist orgs also "promoting socio-political content...for the purposes of sowing discord" in the #UnitedStates per @DHSgov's Cohen

"These narratives have in fact led to attacks in this country"
Read 38 tweets

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