Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Feb 17 14 tweets 11 min read
Happening now: @SecDef Lloyd Austin briefs reporters following the NATO Defense Ministerial in #Brussels
"#Russia continues building up their military presence along #Ukraine’s borders including in #Crimea, #Belarus, and in the #BlackSea" per @SecDef

"In many ways, this brings Russian troops right up to @NATO’s doorstep"
"As President Biden said a couple days ago, we will if we must defend every inch of @NATO territory" per @SecDef

"There is no reason, of course, that it should ever come to this. Just like there is no reason for #Russia to again invade #Ukraine"
"We don't see that" per @SecDef "Quite the contrary, we see them add to the more than 150,000 troops they already have arrayed along that border...We even see them stocking up their blood supplies"
"I know firsthand that you don’t do these sorts of things for no reason & you certainly don’t do them if you’re getting ready to pack up and go home" per @SecDef on ongoing #Russia military build-up along #Ukraine
"We believe there is still time and space for diplomacy to work, & we are in lockstep with our allies & partners toward that end" per @SecDef
"A peaceful outcome that respects #Ukraine’s sovereignty & territorial integrity represents the best outcome for Ukraine, to be sure, but also for #Russia & for the Russian people" per @SecDef
If #Russia's Vladimir Putin chooses war, "It will be Mr. Putin who will bear the responsibility for the suffering and the immense sacrifice that ensues" per @SecDef
"Mr. Putin says he doesn’t want a strong @NATO on his western flank. He’s getting exactly that" per @SecDef

"I can honestly say that I have ever seen the Alliance more relevant, more united or more resolute than I do right now"
NEW: @SecDef says #Bulgaria has agreed to host a @USArmy Stryker company for joint training - troops to depart for Bulgaria in coming days
"There is nothing inevitable about this looming conflict. It can still be averted" per @SecDef on #Russia - #Ukraine
Reports of shelling in #Donbas "certainly troubling" per @SecDef "We've said for some time that the #Russia|ns might do something like this in order to justify a military conflict, so we'll be watching very closely"
"I don't see this as a competition of narratives. We've been very transparent about everything we've seen so far" per @SecDef, asked about skepticism in #Germany of US intelligence

"The solution is to continue to be transparent...explain what we're seeing"
#Cyber attack on #Ukraine - intel agencies still assessing who is responsible, per @SecDef, adding this type of thing is right out of #Russia's playbook

Cautions "at this point...@NATO elements have not been attacked"

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More from @jseldin

Feb 16
JUST IN: @CISAgov @FBI @NSAGov issuing #cybersecuurity advisory on #Russia targeting US defense contractors supporting @USArmy @usairforce @USNavy @SpaceForceDoD & intelligence agencies

Goal was to get info on weapons development, communications infrastructure, research & more
MORE: @CISAgov @FBI @NSAGov warn #Russia #cyber actors targeting defense contractors w/

- Brute force techniques
- Spearphishing emails
- Harvested credentials
- Mapping Active Directory
- Maintaining access for months
"Over the last several years, we have observed and documented a host of malicious activity conducted by #Russia|n state-sponsored cyber actors targeting US critical infrastructure" per @CISAJen in statement
Read 4 tweets
Feb 16
HAPPENING NOW: "War in #Europe started already more than 8 years ago when #Russia's annexation of part of #Ukraine took place" #Estonia FM @eliimets tells @CNASdc #CNAS2022
Signs #Russia pulling back from #Ukraine?

"At the moment we cannot talk about deescalation. It definitely takes quite some time to see" per #Estonia FM @eliimets to #CNAS2022

If it proves to be true, "we, from our side, welcome it"
"We have seen that they would like to reestablish the time of buffer zone around its borders" per #Estonia FM @eliimets on #RussiaUkraineCrisis

"Russia does not want to have democratic & prosperous countries around its borders"
Read 17 tweets
Feb 15
NEW: @POTUS not alone saying #Russia amassed 150,000 troops along #Ukraine's borders

New report from #Estonia's foreign intel service says "Russia mobilized 150,000 men...deploying units & capabilities from all its military districts, including the Far East, & all 12 armies"
Per #Estonia's foreign intelligence service, #Russia's deployed:

-3 motor rifle divisions
-1 airborne division
-1 naval infantry brigade
- +60 motor rifle & tank battalions
- abt 10 Iskander missile battalions
- +30 artillery & rocket artillery battalions

to border w/#Ukraine
More" #Russia has set up full logistic support for the force groups, bringing in additional command & rear units & forward-deploying munitions in the Ukrainian direction" per #Estonia intel
Read 7 tweets
Feb 15
Just in: #alQaida releases 3rd video from leader Ayman al-Zawahiri this month - this one billed as episode 4 in his "Deal of the Century" lecture series

via @JihadoScope
The other videos with #alQaida's Zawahiri were issued February 3 and February 8
Per @siteintelgroup, in this latest video, which runs about 16 minutes, #alQaida's Zawahiri calls for Muslims to unite, and takes aim at rival #ISIS
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
NEW: #alQaida "maintained a low profile in #Afghanistan...likely at the behest of #Taliban leaders attempting to establish legitimacy with the int'l community" per acting @DoD_IG Sean O'Donnell in new report
Per @CENTCOM, @DefenseIntel "#Taliban has not permitted al-Qaeda members to play a significant role in its so-called “interim government” & will likely
aim to prevent #alQaida attacks on the United States as it attempts to gain international legitimacy" says @DoD_IG report
.@CENTCOM "said that the #Taliban very likely will allow #alQaida elements in #Afghanistan to maintain a low profile within the country to preserve legacy relationships & avoid upsetting the most militant Islamic elements within the Taliban" per @DoD_IG report
Read 8 tweets
Feb 15
Threat landscape in the US - "A lot has changed" since December, @DHSgov's John Cohen, the senior official performing the duties of the Undersecretary of Intelligence & Analysis tells @gwupoe
Foreign intel services, foreign terrorist orgs also "promoting socio-political content...for the purposes of sowing discord" in the #UnitedStates per @DHSgov's Cohen

"These narratives have in fact led to attacks in this country"
Read 38 tweets

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