Elijah J. Magnier Profile picture
Feb 28 21 tweets 15 min read
This war will end soon.
Josep Fontelles, High Representative of the EU Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, said "we can't accept nuclear weapons in #Belarus. Not acceptable for a superpower to attack a smaller & less powerful country".

Right! What about de-nuclearising all NATO bases too?
And this👇?
#Russia engaged in the first days of the battle around 50,000 out of 150k of the troops massed along the border for weeks before the beginning of the offensive. On the fourth day, Sunday the 27th, the Kremlin ordered to inject additional forces totalling half (75k) of the troops
This means, there r still 75,000 Russian forces not injected yet in the battle on the 5th day of the war. On day 2, #Russia reached #Kyiv & yesterday the Kyiv mayor said the city is surrounded. Russia is asking to negotiate while the #US-#EU want to continue fighting. Until when?
Pay attention what the details:
#Russia said it is in control of the Ukrainian air space and Europe said willing to send jets. This means Russia will down any jet over #Ukraine.

Dangerous.
#Russia called strategic forces to be ready. #Europe followed suit.

To my mind, the escalation is the only language used by all parties now. So, when #Ukraine falls (and it will sooner or later because of the disproportionate belligerents), don't think it is not over.

Dangerous
#Russia just announced that the forces in charge of the nuclear weapons are in a state of full alert.

Leaders of the world are taking us toward a far more dangerous situation.

We are all responsible.
#BreakingNews:

Just in:

#Russia announced its Northern and Pacific fleets, as well as its strategic bombers, are all in a state of maximum alert.

@JoeBiden may be happy now for not having provided a piece of paper with a guarantee because he is fighting

America's last war.
#BreakingNews:
#Ukraine delegation to Gomel had no authority to discuss with the Russia delegation but to ask for a cease-fire and the withdrawal of the Russian forces. #Russia considered it a waste of time and will continue its military campaign until reaching its objectives.
#Russia said it "will end this war".
Negotiation between #Ukraine and #Russia regained in Gomel, #Belarus after a short pause.
The result of the #EU sanctions on #Russia: Gas price increased by 36% and reached $1454 notwithstanding the confirmation from #Moscow that it won't weaponise the energy supply.

What I am trying to say is: we impose sanctions on Russia and we, consumers, pay the price. Clever.
Consequences of the Sanctions on Russia

The #US (yes not Germany) closed the #Russia/n - #Germany gas line Nord Stream-2 and Russia is building a gas line with #China via Mongolia.

Biden Allows Sanctions To Proceed Against Nord Stream 2 via @forbes forbes.com/sites/lisakim/…
Whenever you hear the #US saying: "#Israel has the right to defend its national security", remember #Ukraine.
Biden says Israel has right to defend itself after call with Netanyahu independent.co.uk/news/world/ame…

President Trump: Israel has right to defend itself via @YouTube

Israel Has Right to Defend Itself, US Reaffirms voanews.com/a/middle-east_…

#Russia #Ukraine
Satellite image showed a 5km long convoy of Russian tanks at around 50 km from the capital #Kyiv, #Ukraine.
The west sanctions on Russia carries huge risks for a world economy that’s yet to fully recover from the pandemic shock. bloomberg.com/news/features/… via @business
#BreakingNews:

The #Russia/n - #Ukraine meeting in Gomel Belarus ended today. An agreement to meet in two days in a different location after consultations with respective governments.
#BreakingNews:
More #Russia/n forces joined the long queue of tanks and armoured vehicles that reached 27 km long but not yet advancing towards the capital #Kyiv, #Ukraine.

#Turkey, a #NATO member, closes the passage through the Bosphorus and Dardanelles for warships of the #Russian Navy and the #Ukrainian Navy, in accordance with the 1936 Montreux Convention”.

#Russia officially declared it is a "Special operation", not a war.
There are no signs that the Turkish-Russian relationship is affected by this announcement. Both countries have plenty of common interests to keep the relationship under control.

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More from @ejmalrai

Mar 2
Be ready: The war is not between #Russia and #Ukraine. It is between the #USA & Russia. It is between #NATO and Russia. Ukraine is only the beginning and if Europe wants to avoid what comes next, diplomacy is the only way forward. Warmongers are thrilled to see more conflicts.
Prsdnt Putin explained that NATO should return to the limit of 1997 before 16 new countries were added. The #US violated the spirit of the 1990 agreement between Gorbachev & Regan. The Ukrainian military op is only the beginning of a harsh wrestling match between Russia & the US.
The problem is the fact that the 16 countries added to NATO have also US military bases. If #Russia wants to de-nuclearise all former Soviet Union countries, it means a much larger scale conflict that has only begun in #Ukraine.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 27
Will Putin challenge the West in all former Soviet Republics after Ukraine? ejmagnier.com/2022/02/27/wil…
This morning, #Kyiv lifted the general curfew that lasted two days.

#Ukraine #Russia
Poutine défierat-il l’Occident dans toutes les anciennes républiques soviétiques après l’Ukraine? ejmagnier.com/2022/02/28/pou… via @ejmalrai
Read 14 tweets
Feb 27
They will be considered mercenaries, not soldiers, and Ukraine will bear heavy consequences: not an intelligent move.
Foreigners travel to join #Ukraine in the fight against #Russia following Zelensky's call on foreigners to join in the war.

jpost.com/international/…
#BreakingNews:
The mayor of #Kyiv Vitali Klitschko is talking to #Russia about a political solution for #Ukraine.
#Russia control most of the main roads to #Kyiv from the north, east and south.

A political outcome is no longer far fetched.
Confident that the war between #Russia & #Ukraine is coming to an end soon. #Ukraine agreed to negotiate.

However, another tension is coming up, much more dangerous: #Russia considers NATO countries have gone beyond the limits & is calling for the strategic forces to be on alert
Read 12 tweets
Feb 26
The #US administration is asking Congress to approve $3.5 bn to face the Ukrainian humanitarian crisis and $3 bn to support #Ukrain MoD.

It was much cheaper to offer a written guarantee that NATO won't deploy missiles/forces in Ukraine & spend this money on the American people.
Day 3 of war on #Ukraine has started with violent explosions north of the capital #Kyiv and in other parts of the country on the eastern, southern and northern fronts.
The objective seems to put pressure on the Ukranian government to abandon the capital along with the President.
FYI
The #US administration shall not impose sanctions on oil import from #Russia.
Why? The United States imported more gasoline and other refined petroleum products from Russia than any other country in the world.

Read 20 tweets
Feb 25
The Ukrainian army blew up a bridge northwest of the capital Kyiv to slow down and delay the crossing of a Russian tank battalion advancing towards the capital. Many inhabitants of the capital are evacuating #Kyiv towards the west.
#BreakingNews:
Zmiinyi Island (aka Snake Island), western Black Sea, is under #Russia/n forces total control, as confirmed by #Ukraine President.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is asking to negotiate with Russia.

Ukraine understands only now that it is on its own.
#Ukraine President Zelenskyy said he is still in #Kyiv but I expect him to leave sooner rather than later and war will stop.
Read 15 tweets
Feb 24
#Russia started a "special military operation" in Donbas. Heavy shelling is hitting the province. Prsdnt Vladimir Putin said he is not planning to occupy #Ukraine. Putin asked the Ukrainian army to lay down its weapons. "Kyiv will be responsible for possible bloodshed," he said.
#Europe turned deaf ears on #Russia's request to stop @NATO's expansion & believed Putin was not seriously concerned and that he will behave as his predecessors. The #US want #Moscow to be involved in a war but Putin is showing his determination to allow the west another thought.
A missile hit the #Ukraine capital Kyiv, leading to an exodus of thousands of people from the eastern front and the capital towards the western borders. Expect long queues on banks, foreign currency withdrawal, provision and other necessities.
Read 33 tweets

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