Thread by @ejmalrai

This is the situation on the ground in #Ukraine. Donbas separatists advanced 55 km. #Russia is cutting Ukraine in two. In the south, #Mariupol, the last fortress on the #Azov seashore, is completely surrounded. Russian troops heading towards #Odesa.

By now, the #Ukraine government should understand that all attempts to bring the West into a larger war have failed. Prsdnt Zelenskyy should be realistic, stop all his lies about "nuclear disaster" & others, stop the destruction of his army & accept the neutrality of the country.

Read Carefully:
1. #NATO, #US, said it has no intention to impose a no-fly-zone & doesn't want to confront #Russia.
2. Secretary Blinken said yesterday:"We shall defend every inch of NATO". #Ukraine is not NATO. Blinken did not speak about "defending Ukraine" coz game is over.

When #Russia maintains for many days a dozens of km long convoy of tanks & armoured vehicles 20-25 km from the Capital #Kyiv means:
1. Russia has air dominance (not superiority)
2. Safety parameters for the convoy of at least 5-6 km to prevent any anti-tank massacre is confirmed.

#Russia has been using a different relatively "soft approach" from what we know in previous wars, mainly the recent #Syria.Also, Russian & Ukrainian delegations r talking. That prevents the attack against #Kyiv that Russia will do if negotiations fail & when forces take the E92.

So, stop fueling this war that the world leaders are aware of the outcome now and won't last for long.
Stop contributing to killing more Ukrainians coz there is no balance of power.
War on the ground is not like on Twitter. Be realistic & promote the end of this war in #Ukraine.

Great news:
#Russia announced (Temporarily) Cease-fire announced at 10:00 am in #Ukraine.

This means diplomacy works.

Ceasefire starts NOW in #Ukraine, and safe corridors were defined for #Mariupol on the #Azov seashore، allowing civilians to leave the city. The Ukrainian army in Mariupol was asked to return to their barracks if they choose to do so.

#Russia said #Ukraine refuses proposals to open and use humanitarian corridors in #Kharkiv & #Sumy.

This means back to fighting until nego move sooner than later (because to end a war, an agreement will be signed. It depends when politicians r convinced of enough killings).

Danzig HD Mapper publishes a map showing the progress of #Russia in #Ukraine from the 24th of February until today.

https://twitter.com/abozeinab2/status/1499837655726665729

#BreakingNews

#Russia forces reached the outskirt of Bucha (Буча) on the E373, north-west of the Capital, at less than 10 km from the limit of #Kyiv where a battle is ongoing now with #Ukraine. Civilians are evacuated now.

google.be/maps/dir/Kiev+…

What you need to know is that the #EU-#US can't impose oil and gas sanctions on #Russia. It is the same west that is financing this #Ukraine war. Russia receives around $14 billion per month from the EU and the US.

So all the sanctions are folkloric.

https://twitter.com/ejmalrai/status/1500177736219901955