Thread :๐Ÿงต
Yesterday, the Polish government announced its agreement to relinquish a number of MiG-29s "immediately and free of charge" to the United States and transfer them in to the Ramstein base in #Germany.
1/11
#Ukraine #Russia #USA #NATO #Poland #EU #UK Image
This step was met with fear and anxiety by the #Pentagon in #Washington under the pretext that it does not want the #US or any of the #NATO countries to have a direct role in the ongoing war in #Ukraine.
2/11 Image
At the outset, it must be emphasized that the launch of any warplane from any of the #NATO bases in the vicinity of Ukraine and its entry into the Ukrainian airspace will be considered by Moscow as a direct participation in the war, and thus a broader clash and a global war.
3/11 Image
The Russian radars will not wait to see if the pilots of these planes are Ukrainians, Poles or Americans. It sees any non-Russian air target as an enemy. Moreover, Russian systems' monitoring ranged allows them to determine where these planes are launched from.
4/11 Image
So, is this step not applicable? In my opinion, there is another way that the Ukrainian army can be supplied with these planes without this leading to a world war or a Russian collision with #NATO.
5/11
@StateDept @SecBlinken @WhiteHouse @PentagonPresSec
Close to the borders of countries allied to #Ukraine, there are 10 civil and military airports where these planes can be transported to, and when I say transport, I mean that they be transported by land in pieces and reassembled in Ukrainian airports.
6/11 Image
These airports are as follows: Rivne, Lutsk, Lviv, Ternopil, Khmelnytskyi, Ivano-Frankivsk, Kamianets-Podilskyi, Chernivtsi, Uzhhorod, and Odessa.
7/11 Image
Due to the long borders between #Ukraine with #Poland, #Slovakia, #Hungary, #Romania, and #Moldova, and with many land corridors, #Russia's capabilities cannot control all of them. Therefore, it is possible to enter them to Ukrainian territory.
8/11 Image
Knowing that since the first day of this invasion, convoys of military support trucks from the West for the Ukrainian army have not stopped, and due to the complexity of the military scene, Moscow has not been able to continue this support and target until now.
9/11 Image
As time goes on in this war, the West began to split into three parts. One part wants to break #Russia militarily, another part wants the war to end as quickly as possible to reduce the economic costs, and another part is just watching.
10/11 ImageImage
The West should realize that this Russian administration is obsessed with extending its influence, so if its waves do not break on the Ukrainian lands today, then it will not stop at the east bank of the Dnieper River.
11/11
@ZelenskyyUa @DmytroKuleba

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More from @evacool_

Apr 15
#Thread #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #Syria
About 48 hours after the Iranian attack on Israel, an analysis of the current scene in the race for who will impose his rules in the Middle East and the choices of politicians in Israel.
1 ๐Ÿงต
Before engaging in an analysis of the Iranian attack and the possible Israeli response, it is necessary to emphasize that both sides of the conflict do not want a comprehensive war. We are facing a race linked to the rules of influence and deterrence in the region.
2/
In #Tehran, the politicians there were facing very limited options to deal with the target of their consulate in #Damascus, among which the issue of not responding and absorbing the strike did not exist, because it would mean a resounding Iranian downfall.
3/
Read 15 tweets
Apr 1
#Thread #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #Syria
In the most dangerous escalation in the Middle East since the attacks of October 7, the Israeli Air Force targeted with six missiles the Iranian consulate building and the residence of the Iranian ambassador in the Syrian capital, #Damascus.

1 ๐Ÿงต
The building, which belongs to the Iranian embassy and consists of four floors, is considered a very important security center through which leaders of the #IRGC manage their operations and plans in #Lebanon and #Syria, and it is considered Iranian territory.
2/
Image
Image
According to the latest updates, the Iranian side has acknowledged the killing of 7 Iranians, the most important of whom is the head of the IRGC in Syria and Lebanon General Mohammad Reza Zahedi, his assistant Mohammad Haj Rahimi, and Hussein Amirullah in addition to a number of #IRGC officers.
3/Image
Image
Read 16 tweets
Nov 23, 2023
#Thread #Israel #Gaza #IDF #Hamas #USA #Iran
Hours before the truce in the Gaza Strip enters into force, read the latest military and geopolitical developments for both sides of the war and the regional scene.
1/๐Ÿงต Image
Although one of the terms of this truce is that it will last for four days, during these four days both #Qatar and the #US will work to intensify negotiations between the two sides of the war to extend this truce in exchange for the release of more hostages.
2/
In practice, the #IDF will take advantage of this truce to reorganize its forces on the ground and intensify the collection of intelligence information in parallel with assessing what has been achieved in recent weeks.
3/
Read 17 tweets
Nov 7, 2023
#Thread #Israel #Lebanon #Hezbollah #US #Hamas #Gaza
In light of the Israeli Defense Forcesโ€™ evacuation of all towns adjacent to the border with Lebanon, Israeli politicians began to wonder about the future of these borders after Gaza. What solutions are on the table?
1/๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
Since Oct. 7 attack, the Israeli admin. adopted the decision to evacuate many towns close to the Lebanese border. Gradually, the evacuation process began to expand until it included all the villages to a depth of 5 km, with talk of expanding to 8 or 10 km.
2/
Oct. 7 attack has become an obsession among the residents of northern #Israel, who fear that they will face an attack similar to what #Hamas carried out, but through #Hezbollah. From this standpoint, a number of them may not want to return to their towns without solutions.
3/
Read 15 tweets
Apr 3, 2022
Although I personally understand the Saudi concerns which led to this policy, I see it as a huge mistake and that Saudi Arabia will not be a winner from it. Surprisingly, the biggest winners from this energy crisis are #Russia and #Iran.
1/7
#KSA #USA #Biden #Ukraine #Israel #UAE
Because of the ongoing war on #Ukraine and the economic sanctions on #Russia , the rise in energy prices makes the imports of oil gas very important to cover #Moscow's depletion in other fields.
2/7
Moscow has already started exploiting the card of energy externally as well by blackmailing Europe and raising its exports to eastern countries at much lower prices.
3/7
Read 7 tweets
Apr 3, 2022
Thread : ๐Ÿงต
With #OPEC Plus clinging to #oil pumping operations at nearly the same level, which leads to a continuous rise in fuel prices globally, in my opinion, the key to this crisis is in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
1/8
#KSA #USA #Russia #Ukraine #EU #NATO #Iran Image
As it is known, #Riyadh is the second largest oil exporter in the world with about 10 mbd and the second largest reserves. #SaudiArabia also leads the #OPEC, which includes a number of oil exporters, making it an important influence on global oil prices.
2/8
It is important to stress that the current rise started since the 4th quarter of last year, months before Russian invasion in #Ukraine, with assurances from #US, confirming its attempt to communicate with the Saudi side to raise the level of production, hitting a dead end.
3/8
Read 8 tweets

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