Thread :๐Ÿงต
Yesterday, the Polish government announced its agreement to relinquish a number of MiG-29s "immediately and free of charge" to the United States and transfer them in to the Ramstein base in #Germany.
1/11
#Ukraine #Russia #USA #NATO #Poland #EU #UK Image
This step was met with fear and anxiety by the #Pentagon in #Washington under the pretext that it does not want the #US or any of the #NATO countries to have a direct role in the ongoing war in #Ukraine.
2/11 Image
At the outset, it must be emphasized that the launch of any warplane from any of the #NATO bases in the vicinity of Ukraine and its entry into the Ukrainian airspace will be considered by Moscow as a direct participation in the war, and thus a broader clash and a global war.
3/11 Image
The Russian radars will not wait to see if the pilots of these planes are Ukrainians, Poles or Americans. It sees any non-Russian air target as an enemy. Moreover, Russian systems' monitoring ranged allows them to determine where these planes are launched from.
4/11 Image
So, is this step not applicable? In my opinion, there is another way that the Ukrainian army can be supplied with these planes without this leading to a world war or a Russian collision with #NATO.
5/11
@StateDept @SecBlinken @WhiteHouse @PentagonPresSec
Close to the borders of countries allied to #Ukraine, there are 10 civil and military airports where these planes can be transported to, and when I say transport, I mean that they be transported by land in pieces and reassembled in Ukrainian airports.
6/11 Image
These airports are as follows: Rivne, Lutsk, Lviv, Ternopil, Khmelnytskyi, Ivano-Frankivsk, Kamianets-Podilskyi, Chernivtsi, Uzhhorod, and Odessa.
7/11 Image
Due to the long borders between #Ukraine with #Poland, #Slovakia, #Hungary, #Romania, and #Moldova, and with many land corridors, #Russia's capabilities cannot control all of them. Therefore, it is possible to enter them to Ukrainian territory.
8/11 Image
Knowing that since the first day of this invasion, convoys of military support trucks from the West for the Ukrainian army have not stopped, and due to the complexity of the military scene, Moscow has not been able to continue this support and target until now.
9/11 Image
As time goes on in this war, the West began to split into three parts. One part wants to break #Russia militarily, another part wants the war to end as quickly as possible to reduce the economic costs, and another part is just watching.
10/11 ImageImage
The West should realize that this Russian administration is obsessed with extending its influence, so if its waves do not break on the Ukrainian lands today, then it will not stop at the east bank of the Dnieper River.
11/11
@ZelenskyyUa @DmytroKuleba

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
ใ€€

Keep Current with Eva J. Koulouriotis | ุฅูŠูุง ูƒูˆู„ูˆุฑูŠูˆุชูŠ

Eva J. Koulouriotis | ุฅูŠูุง ูƒูˆู„ูˆุฑูŠูˆุชูŠ Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @evacool_

Nov 10
#Thread #Hezbollah #Lebanon #Israel #IDF #Iran #IRGC #Syria #Hamas #Gaza #USA #IDF #Yemen #Iraq #France #Russia #Trump
As the Israeli military operation against Hezbollah militia in Lebanon continues, a detailed reading of the latest developments in this conflict between war and diplomatic efforts.
1 ๐ŸงตImage
Before going into the political analysis of the scene in #Beirut and #Jerusalem, I will start with the latest updates on the field reality on both sides of the border:
The #IDF are still destroying the infrastructure of the #Hezbollah militia in the border strip extending about 100 km and with a depth of about 3 to 4 km, while continuing operations targeting the militiaโ€™s fighters, leaders and warehouses throughout Lebanese territory, reaching the Lebanese capital Beirut, with a greater focus on areas south of the Litani River, the Beqaa Valley and the Syrian-Lebanese border. In parallel with the operation in #Lebanon, the Israeli Air Force is escalating its targeting of the militiaโ€™s sites, warehouses and leaders in Syrian territory, from Aleppo to Qusayr in the southern Homs countryside to the Sayyida Zeinab area south of the Syrian capital Damascus. This massive air operation, along with the assassination file and the cleansing of the border strip, is being presented in #Israel as a victory and defeat for Hezbollah.
2/
Despite the severe damage to the #Hezbollah militia's command ladder, the militia is still capable of launching between 100 and 200 rockets daily, most of them 107 caliber, with some medium-range rockets, some of which have reached Tel Aviv in the past few days. The militia has also returned to relying more on suicide drones of the Shahed 101 and Sayyad 107 types, which are small in size and have a small, highly explosive warhead. Militia fighters are still stationed in advanced positions, some of which are only 3 km from the border with #Israel, equipped with anti-tank shells, some of which have a range of 8 km. Meanwhile, Unit 4400 of the militia, which is responsible for supplying weapons across the Syrian border, continues its work despite the assassination of 3 of its leaders. At the present time, the militia is focusing on preventing the #IDF from advancing on the ground as an achievement for the Lebanese interior and to present it as a victory for them and an Israeli defeat.
3/
Read 14 tweets
Nov 2
#Thread #Iran #IRGC #Hezbollah #Lebanon #Israel #IDF #Syria #Hamas #Gaza #USA #IDF #Yemen #Iraq #France
In light of the increasing threats from Iranian officials, headed by #Khamenei, regarding the response to the recent Israeli attack in Iran, a reading from the Iranian perspective on the possibilities of this response, its timing, and the bank of expected targets.
1 ๐ŸงตImage
In a series of tweets published by the account of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali #Khamenei on the X platform, it was clearly indicated that the Iranian response to Israel is coming and will be strong, and the threat was also directed at the American side. In an eye-catching post, Khamenei recalled the attack by Khomeiniโ€™s followers on the American embassy in #Tehran in November 1979, which may carry implicit messages directed towards America that must be taken into consideration.
Before considering the Iranian response inevitable, we must first answer the logical question at the current stage, which is: Is Iran obligated to respond to the Israeli attack on the 26th of last month, which came in response to the Iranian missile attack on #Israel on the 1st of October?
2/
The short answer is No. #Iran is not obligated to respond to Israel, as Iranian sources tried to confirm before the Israeli attack, where it was indicated that Tehran would not respond if the Israeli strike was limited. The term โ€˜limited strikeโ€™ was understood at the time to mean that it did not target Iranโ€™s nuclear program or oil and gas fields. In practice, the Israeli strike was limited, as #Tehran showed in its media about the success of its air defenses and the failure of the Israeli attack. Therefore, if the attack failed and the extent of the damage was limited, Tehran is not obligated to respond.
3/
Read 13 tweets
Oct 29
#Thread #Hezbollah #Lebanon #Israel #IDF #Syria #Hamas #Gaza #USA #Iran #IRGC #IDF #Yemen #Iraq #France
While American officials are intensifying their visits to the Middle East in the hope of making a breakthrough in the diplomatic deadlock, Israeli media outlets have been circulating questions over the past two days about the Israeli governmentโ€™s conditions for ending the military operation in Lebanon. An analytical reading of this unofficial offer and its chances of success.
1 ๐ŸงตImage
On the ground, it can be said that the #IDF began a new advance in southern #Lebanon at dawn today by penetrating towards the strategic town of Al-Khiyam, which is located about 6 km from the Israeli border. This movement comes after the IDF took complete control of all the Lebanese border villages, with the increase in air strikes in the governorates of Bekaa, Hermel, Nabatieh and the city of Tyre. The border area between #Syria and Lebanon also witnessed broader strikes, some of which targeted crossings and some of which targeted military points of the #Hezbollah militia inside Syrian territory in the southern #Homs countryside and Qalamoun.
2/
While the military operation in #Lebanon is still continuing at a high pace, statements from Israeli military officials have begun to emerge talking about the near end of this operation with the achievement of a large part of its objectives. In contrast, Israeli media outlets have published a set of conditions demanded by the Israeli government to end the military operation in Lebanon. These conditions are based on Resolution 1701 with new additions.
3/
Read 11 tweets
Oct 26
#Thread #Syria #Hamas #Gaza #Israel #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #IDF #Lebanon #Yemen #Iraq #France
Israel responded to Iran's missile attack on October 1, but there is still a lack of information from both sides about the results of this attack. A reading of the circumstances of this response and what comes after it.
1 ๐Ÿงต
What we know so far is this: At around 2:00 a.m. today, the #IDF attacked radars and air defense batteries in Syrian territory, then targeted Iranian radars and air defenses in the provinces of Khuzestan, Ilam, and Tehran as a first wave of response. About an hour later, the second and third waves began, which, according to the Israeli side, targeted missile bases, missile fuel manufacturing facilities, and drone manufacturing plants, totalling 20 sites inside Iranian territory.
2/
It is important to note that most of the sensitive military sites in #Iran are located outside the cities, which makes documenting the damage caused by the Israeli attack by unofficial Iranian sources very complicated. However, so far, the Iranian Ministry of Defense has acknowledged the killing of four soldiers working within the air defense systems. It is also customary for the Iranian authorities to hide any information that shows the weakness of their military and security systems, which is what we witnessed during the intelligence attacks carried out by the Israeli Mossad against Iranโ€™s nuclear program.
3/
Read 11 tweets
Oct 25
#Thread #Syria #Hamas #Gaza #Israel #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #IDF #Lebanon #Yemen #Iraq #France
As the Israeli military operation in Gaza and Lebanon continues, an update on the latest political and military developments in these two arenas in particular.
1 ๐Ÿงต Image
#Gaza file
Militarily: the military operation in the Jabalia area and other areas in the northern Gaza Strip has been ongoing for more than a week, and despite the severe blows that Hamas has received, still military operations based on the strategy of "hit and run" against the Israeli forces, whether those moving in northern Gaza or those stationary in the Netzarim and Philadelphi axes.
2/
Here it is necessary to emphasize that no matter how long the Israeli military operation continues in the #Gaza Strip, its forces will not stop being exposed to attacks in light of the continued influence of Hamas within the society in Gaza, which will soon push the Israeli government to be convinced of the necessity to move more towards a deal that includes among its terms the rebuilding of a security and political system for the Strip, which is what has already begun to be discussed in #Jerusalem, in regional countries, and in #Washington.
3/
Read 11 tweets
Oct 22
#Thread #Syria #Hamas #Gaza #Israel #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #IDF #Lebanon #Yemen #Iraq #France
With indications of the failure of the American envoy Amos Hochstein's visit to Beirut, a geopolitical reading of the ongoing conflict on the Israeli-Lebanese border.
1 ๐Ÿงต Image
There is no doubt that this conflict is complex and has regional and international ramifications, but it can be said that there are four active players in it, that need to be studied individually in terms of their vision of this war, whether diplomatically or militarily. These are: #Israel - #Hezbollah - #Iran - #USA.
2/
From #Jerusalem
Unlike the war file against Hamas in #Gaza, there is Israeli political and popular unity for the military operation against the #Hezbollah militia in #Lebanon. This internal agreement gives sufficient cover to the #IDF and the #Netanyahu government to continue this operation until it achieves its goal, which is the return of the residents of northern Israel to their homes safely, as previously announced. However, to achieve this goal, there are complex and difficult procedures that practically require international political pressure on Lebanon in addition to the military action.
3/
Read 14 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(