Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Mar 29 8 tweets 6 min read
HAPPENING NOW: @US_EUCOM @SHAPE_NATO Commander Gen Tod Wolters testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee
"This is a pivotal moment in #Europe w/generational implications" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters

"#Russia's unprovoked & premeditated attack on #Ukraine has galvanized our allies & global partners," he adds
"As we face the largest conflict in #Europe in 3 generations our TransAtlantic alliance has responded in all warfighting domains" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters

Cites air defense contributions from 11 allies, forward deployment from #Talinn to #Sophia
"We can and will continue to maintain our support for th #Ukrainian armed forces" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters "We'll do so w/material support as well as " intel

"Our advice & our experience in respect to materiel will be very very important"
"What we've demonstrated to the European community, to the @NATO community & to the world [is] how well we can shoot, move & communicate, & transition a large force" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters
US sending 5,500 troops to #Poland, elsewhere "has enhanced our ability to secure our European ppltn on the Polish side of the border" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters
"That force has been integral to ensure than the 4 million plus refugees from #Ukraine have a soft landing once they come into Europe" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters

"And we've still got a lot of work to do..."
#Russia likely used #hypersonics in #Ukraine "to demonstrate the capability and attempt to put fear in the hearts of the [#Ukrainians]" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters "I don't think it was successful"

"There have been multiple launches" he adds, most vs military targets

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More from @jseldin

Mar 30
NEW: #Russia has repositioned a small number of troops arrayed vs #Kyiv over last 24 hours - some heading to #Belarus, per @PentagonPresSec

"None of them have repositioned to their home garrison" he adds
.@DeptofDefense believes #Russia likely to refit the moved troops and send them elsewhere in #Ukraine

Repositioning affects less than 20% of the troops arrayed vs #Kyiv - "They're leaving Kyiv & heading more to the north...away from the city" per @PentagonPresSec
NEW: "We would concur w/the conclusion that Mr. Putin has not been fully informed by his Ministry of Defense at every turn" per @PentagonPresSec
Read 10 tweets
Mar 30
Happening now - @US_EUCOM @SHAPE_NATO Commander Gen Tod Wolters testifies before the House Armed Services Committee

Ranking member @RepMikeRogersAL: "The #Russia|n offensive [in #Ukraine] appears to be stalled. If Russian casualties don't exceed 10,000, they soon will" Image
"The global response to #Russia's aggression has been remarkable..." per @DeptofDefense Asst Sec for Int'l Security Affairs Celeste Wallander

"Simply out, Russia's attempts to divide the #UnitedStates from its allies & partners have failed miserably" Image
HASC Chair @RepAdamSmith asks how shud US balance risk between supply #Ukraine w/weapons & not further provoking #Russia

@US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters: "My 1st answer is constantly. The conditions change second by second, day by day, week by week" Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 30
NEW: Ahead of testimony before lawmakers later Wednesday, @CrowdStrike IDs new #Russia-linked #cyber group EMBER BEAR

EMBER BEAR "has operated against government and military organizations in eastern #Europe since early 2021, likely to collect intelligence from target networks" Image
"EMBER BEAR appears primarily motivated to weaponize the access &data obtained during their intrusions to support information operations (IO) aimed at creating public mistrust in targeted institutions & degrading gvt ability to counter #Russia|n cyber operations" per @CrowdStrike
.@CrowdStrike has "moderate confidence" EMBER BEAR targeted #Ukraine in January, February using the #whispergate wiper

EMBER BEAR not yet linked to any specific #Russia|n organization though its ops appear "consistent with other GRU cyber operations"
Read 4 tweets
Mar 29
#Chechens in Ukraine: "They have their own little war in there" @vera_mironov tells @TheSoufanCenter webinar on #Ukraine-#foreignfighters

Says Chechen contingent fighting for #Russia includes prisoners, drug addicts, others who say they take orders only from Ramzan Kadyrov
MORE: Chechen units taking orders from Kadyrov "kind of settling their previous scores" but also being kept far from #Ukraine held territory so they don't defect, per @vera_mironov

There's also a group of #Chechens fighting for #Ukraine, she says
.@dbyman tells @TheSoufanCenter he's "worried there is an intersection" between white supremacist movement & foreign fighters in #Ukraine even if the numbers right now appear to be small
Read 20 tweets
Mar 28
JUST IN: @DeptofDefense releases 2-page fact sheet on 2022 National Defense Strategy

Top 4 priorities:
-Growing multi-domain threat posed by #China
-Deterring strategic attacks vs US, Allies, & partners
-Deterring aggression
-Building a resilient Joint Force/defense ecosystem
MORE: on priority #3 - deterring aggression, @DeptofDefense says it must be done "while being prepared to prevail in conflict when necessary, prioritizing the PRC [#China] challenge in the #IndoPacific, then the #Russia challenge in #Europe"
MORE: "The Department will remain capable of managing other persistent threats, including those from #NorthKorea, #Iran & violent extremist organizations" per @DeptofDefense fact sheet
Read 4 tweets
Mar 28
JUST IN: #Russia's #Wagner Group "has deployed to eastern #Ukraine" per #Britain's military intelligence, says @MickSmeathUK

“They are expected to deploy more than 1,000 mercenaries, including senior leaders of the organization, to undertake combat operations..."
MORE: #Britain's military intelligence assesses "#Russia has highly likely been forced to reprioritize #Wagner personnel for #Ukraine at the expense of operations in #Africa & #Syria" per @MickSmeathUK
#Britain's assessment is in line w/assessments by senior US defense officials

US said last week #Wagner Group mercs were in the #Donbas
Read 5 tweets

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