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Apr 10 • 4 tweets • 6 min read
1. If #Putin wins in #Ukraine, it could mean the end of the #NuclearNonProliferationTreaty #NPT of which #Russia is a guarantor & Ukraine, so it appears, a victim.
@BulletinAtomic @ManagingtheAtom @GNSPartners @NuclearOslo @AtomwaffenAbisZ @atomwaffenfrei
researchgate.net/publication/35…
2. Several countries around the world could start having second thoughts about the wisdom of the international non-proliferation regime and of national nuclear abstinence. Various nations may want to be not as stupid as the #Ukrainians, but instead, be as smart as the #Russians.
3. Once a couple of states break out of the #NPT logic, this could trigger a chain reaction among neighboring countries.
On #Ukraine's short-lived #nucleararsenal, see the forthcoming @JHUPress book by @mbudjeryn of the @BelferCenter @HURI_Harvard:
press.jhu.edu/books/title/12…
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More from @UmlandAndreas

Andreas Umland Profile picture
Apr 7
ZHIRINOVSKII AND PUTIN'S NEO-IMPERIALISM
1. Yesterday, one of the culprits of #Russia's return to imperialist #ultranationalism, the #fascist #VladimirZhirinovsky, died. On Zhirinovskii's form of #Russianfascism: researchgate.net/publication/25… @FFRAFAction @KomRex_UniJena @FascismJourna
2. His #LDPR's victory, with 22.92% in the first post-Soviet multi-party parliamentary elections in December 1993, was an insufficient but necessary pre-condition for Moscow's military intervention in #Chechnya one year later.
@russian_monitor @ElectionsCenter @russia_matters
3. The #FirstChechenWar of 1994-1996 and its deep repercussions on #Russian society were arguably the beginning of the end of post-Soviet proto-democracy. See: rferl.org/a/journey-into…
Read 6 tweets
Andreas Umland Profile picture
Apr 5
1. Als wir vor kurz vor Ende des Euromaidans am 20.2.2014 diesen Aufruf an JournalistInnen und PublizistInnen veröffentlichten, gab es viel Kritik. Eine Bundestagsabgeordnete der #Linkspartei nannte uns "#Faschismusverharmloser." #Denazifizierung #Ukraine
boell.de/de/2014/02/20/…
2. Bis heute gibt es "#antifaschistische" KommentatorInnen, AktivistInnen, ja sogar einige AkademikerInnen, die unserer damaligen Mahnung zur Vorsicht nicht gefolgt sind. @blicknachrechts @derrechterand @boell_secpol @AmadeuAntonio @KomRex_UniJena @ZRex_forschung @UkrVerstehen
3. Die Zeitungen waren und sind bis heute voll mit Texten meist osteuropakundlich unbedarfter Beiträger, die die pluralistische #Ukraine als einen besonderen Hort des #Rechtsextremismus in Europa darstellen. @Konflikt_Sicher @TerekMedia @GSPSipo @boell_easteurop @DGO_Berlin
Read 5 tweets
Andreas Umland Profile picture
Mar 31
1. Die Überschrift dieses Artikel hätte partiell für das semireguläre #AsowBatallion von 2014 gepasst. Es ist jedoch nicht mehr für das heutige reguläre Regiment der ukrainischen Nationalgarde geeignet.
tagesanzeiger.ch/die-neonazis-d…
2. Im #AsowRegiment gibt es offenbar etliche #rechtsextrem eingestellte Soldaten. Sein Bestand und seine Natur kann jedoch nicht insgesamt als "#ultrarechts" klassifiziert werden.
3. Das AsowRegiment ist seit Ende 2014 keine politische, sondern eine militärische Einheit, dessen laute Militanz, martialischen Rituale und demonstrativer Bellizismus eher konkreten Gewalt-, Kampf-, Verlust- und Todeserfahrungen als faschistischen Ideen entspringen.
Read 6 tweets
Andreas Umland Profile picture
Mar 30
#NATO and the New World
1. Counterintuitively, conventional defense issues have become, since 24 February 2022, secondary to the national security of the countries of the North Atlantic alliance (with the exception of the Baltic republics and Poland). nato.int/cps/en/natohq/…
2. More urgent questions are now: What are the plans of NATO when its member states will face evermore millions of East European, Asian and African refugees fleeing from instability and hunger in their home countries, as a result of Russia's war?
3. How would #NATO defend its members from an invasion of trillions of radioactive particles coming out of a war-damaged Ukrainian atomic power plant?
@NATOpress @NATO @NATOinUkraine @NATO_plus_ONE @ua_nato @nato @GNSPartners @NuclearOslo @iaeaorg @ManagingtheAtom @INS_Forum
Read 5 tweets
Andreas Umland Profile picture
Mar 27
1. One of the strange features of #German-#Russian relations during the last 20 years was the physical contact of German politicians with #Putin & Co. To be sure, similar photographs of #VladimirPutin hugging Berlusconi, Modi, Macron, & other non-German leaders exist too.
2. But the range of politicians on both sides who, over the years, went beyond diplomatic handshakes is surprising. One suspects continuation of a #KGB practice in these physical approaches from the Russian side.
@RusVerstehen @deruforum @russlandRU @TerekMedia @Konflikt_Sicher
3. Yet one wonders why various German politicians, like Matthias Platzek below, would allow or even initiate such embarrassing scenes with representatives of an authoritarian regime. Political instinct & expert advice should have warned German politicians against such encounters.
Read 6 tweets
Andreas Umland Profile picture
Mar 27
1. Western #antifascists & #RT watchers may want to note the differences in the #Russian leaders' justifications of #Russia's war against #Ukraine for, on the one side, #Western, and, on the other side, non-Western & domestic audiences. @meduzaproject
meduza.io/feature/2022/0…
2. Western audiences are fed stories about escalating human-rights violations by Kyiv. The internal war propaganda instead is informed by the idea of standing up against a Western and Ukrainian assault on Russian cultural traditionalism. @4freerussia_org @vneshpol @russia_matters
3. Here individual human rights are to be limited rather than defended. Whereas #Putin presents Ukraine with reference to Germany's Nazis who annihilated homosexuals, #PatriarchKirill sees #gayparades in #Ukraine as an issue demanding Moscow's military intervention in the Donbas.
Read 5 tweets

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