#RussianUkrainianWar Update - #Russia has launched a new offensive across the entirety of the eastern front. #Ukraine️ troops have had limited success at slowing the attacks but 🇷🇺 is gaining ground across most of this map right now. Area to watch short term is circled in blue. 
This blue circle represents nearly 40% of the #UkraineArmy combat power and its currently at risk of being cut off from the rest of the country. The #Russians will attempt to connect the #Izyum axis with an attack from somewhere in the south likely around #Horlivka.
If the #Russians can encircle those troops they will try to bleed them dry of ammo and manpower just like in #Mariupol. The #Russians have re-opened a southern axis in an attempt to start that encirclement and have taken the town of Malynivk and are close to taking others.
That being said, #Russians have generally underperformed expectations of most western military experts as well as their own. Whether or not they can accomplish this operation without similar results as the Battle of #Kiev is yet to be determined.
In addition, #Ukraine armed forces have exceeded expectations of most western military experts as well as their own. #Ukraine gets a vote in the outcome of this battle too. Much will depend on if the #Russians have solved their C2 and logistics problems.
And whether or not #Ukraine can sustain this pace of operations and resupply. A lot of western weapons were sent to #Ukraine but many of those weapons are still in areas near #Kiev and #Sumy, not #Kramatorsk. #Russia has been targeting infrastructure to keep those weapons away.
The area around the #Kramatorsk has seen a stalemate in operations for the most part. However, #Russia just moved 11 more BTGs into the area with another 22 being readied for deployment. Those new troops could tip the scales in 🇷🇺’s favor. defense.gov/News/News-Stor…
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