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Apr 20 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
"Another poll conducted by the CBS-AXA Center for Sociological Research and Marketing shows that 38.4% [of the Moldova population] finds Russia at fault [for the Russia-Ukraine war], 20.6% blame Ukraine, and 40% refused to answer or do not know." 1/ bne.eu/gagauzia-s-pro…
"The tsars “proclaimed themselves defenders of the Orthodox people in the Balkans,” writes Ivan Katchanovski of the University of Ottawa." #Ukraine #Moldova #Russia 2/ researchgate.net/publication/24…
"Katchanovski writes that Gagauzia was “one of the least educated and [most] impoverished groups during Romanian rule in 1918-40 and 1941-44” and experienced severe discrimination in contrast with Moldovans, who were considered ethnic Romanians."" 3/
"The Gagauz autonomy model might have helped to prevent the separatist conflict in pro-Russian Donbas in Eastern Ukraine from turning into a civil war in 2014..."
#Ukraine️ #DonbassWar #UkraineWar #Russia #RussianUkrainianWar #Moldovan #RussiaUkraine 4/ researchgate.net/publication/34…

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More from @I_Katchanovski

Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Apr 22
Senior #Russian military official & various politicians openly suggest that Russia plans to seize from #Ukraine not only entire #Donbas but also other regions of Easters & Southern Ukraine & declare them independent or annex to #Russia via referendum. theguardian.com/world/2022/apr…
My research & KMIS survey that I commissioned show that in contrast to #Crimea & #Donbas, only small minorities in other regions of Eastern & Southern #Ukraine, respectively 3% & 5% total, supported their region joining #Russia or independence. washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-ca…
My article with more detailed survey-based analysis showing marginal support in other regions of Eastern & Southern #Ukraine for their region joining #Russia or independence, in contrast to #Crimea and #Donbass

#Ukraine️war #Ukraina #RussiaUkraineWar researchgate.net/publication/29… Image
Read 6 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Apr 20
Ivan Katchanovski, a Ukrainian political scientist at the University of Ottawa, says that there are neo-Nazi elements in Ukraine, and though they are a tiny proportion of the population, they have played an “outsized role” in political and military affairs csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2…
“That is a gift to Russian propaganda, that these groups were not dealt with before,” says Professor Katchanovski. “Neo-Nazis are a relatively small segment of Ukraine, but the fact that they are integrated in the Ukrainian armed forces and tolerated by Zelenskyy is a problem. 2/
My @csmonitor interview: "These right-wing groups are real enough, but the [Kremlin] claim about Nazis in the Ukrainian government and army as a pretext for this illegal invasion of Ukraine is basically false.” #Ukraine️ #ukrainewar #RussiaUkraineWar #UkraineRussia #Russia 3/
Read 4 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Apr 19
Global economic impact of #RussiaUkraineWar: "The International Monetary Fund has cut its global growth forecasts because of the war in Ukraine, warning that Russia’s invasion could lead to the fragmentation of the world economy into rival blocs." 1/
theguardian.com/business/2022/…
Global economic impact of #RussiaUkraineWar: "In a half-yearly update, the IMF said prospects had worsened “significantly” in the past three months as it reduced its growth estimate for 2022 from 4.4% to 3.6%." #Ukraine #Russia #UkraineRussiaWar 2/
Global economic impact of #RussiaUkraineWar: "Every member of the G7 group of leading industrialised nations and the bigger developing countries would grow less rapidly this year than previously expected, and there was a strong risk of an even worse outcome." #Ukraine #Russia 3/
Read 5 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Apr 17
Public opinion in major countries of the world on the #RussiaUkraineWar

#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine️ #Russia #RussiaUkraineWar #Nato #UkraineRussia #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraine #RussiaUkraineConflict
"Russia is blamed for the conflict in Ukraine by a majority of respondents in Japan (81%), the United Kingdom (74%), Germany (67%), France (64%), Brazil (63%), and the United States (60%)." brandfinance.com/press-releases…
"More respondents in South Africa (48%) and Turkey (42%) blame Russia than any other party. In India, although many (32%) blame Russia, more (46%) blame either USA or NATO. In China, most respondents (52%) blame the USA, with only a small minority (11%) blaming Russia." #Ukraine
Read 4 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Apr 14
I said in Turkey @trtworld TV interview that my research & survey commissioned before war show marginal support for joining #Russia in regions of Eastern & Southern #Ukraine, such as #Kherson, Odesa & #Kharkiv, with exceptions of #Donbas & #Crimea. 1/
@trtworld My TRT World TV interview: #Mariupol is now main battleground of #RussianUkrainianWar. Advances by #Russian & separatist forces in this besieged city & recent mass surrender of #Ukrainian troops suggest that it is likely to fall soon. 2/
#Mariupol is important to #Russia because it plans to include it into separatist republics in #Donbas. Russia intends to do so also with other parts of Donetsk & Luhansk regions that were controlled by #Ukraine before war & apparently plans to encircle #Ukrainian forces there. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Ivan Katchanovski Profile picture
Apr 12
Security Service of #Ukraine has captured leader of largest opposition party. He was previously charged with state treason & fled from house arrest shortly before #Russian invasion. #Zelensky banned this & 10 other opposition parties for "links" to #Russia pravda.com.ua/news/2022/04/1…
Various opposition politicians, journalists, bloggers, and political commentators were arrested on state treason, collaboration with #Russia or similar charges in #Ukraine after #Russian invasion.
#UkraineWar #RussianUkrainianWar #UkraineRussianWar
ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/345…
Read 7 tweets

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