#Italy now proposes basically same peace plan that I proposed before & after start of #RussiaUkraineWar. Italy's plan:
Ceasefire
Ukraine's accession to EU & neutral status without joining NATO
#Ukraine - #Russia agreement on #Donbas & #Crimea
Peace & security treaty in Europe
Like my #Ukraine peace plan: "Rapid accession to the EU and abandonment of NATO. Italy has developed a plan to end the war in Ukraine and submitted it to the UN Secretary General. It involves the rapid entry of Ukraine into the EU but military neutrality" strana.news/news/391716-it…
I proposed the same deal in my @CBCNews interview: "Ukraine could be offered EU membership as part of a peace deal where it agrees to renounce NATO membership and declares itself neutral," said Katchanovski."
#RussiaUkraineWar #UkraineRussiaConflict cbc.ca/news/politics/…
& "Such an agreement could offer Ukraine a path to membership in the EU, provided it fulfills accession criteria—...democracy, the rule of law, human rights—in exchange for agreeing not to seek NATO membership and to resolve the conflict in the Donbas..." canadiandimension.com/articles/view/…
Peace plan with Ukraine's accession to EU, neutrality without joining NATO, & #Donbas & Crimea agreement is now too late. #Russia now opposes EU membership of #Ukraine & plans to annex more territory. NATO is in proxy war with Russia. Ukraine intends to win war but it's unlikely.

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More from @I_Katchanovski

May 20
@readthemaple "“[The war] could have been avoided and prevented,” Katchanovski explained. Specifically, an agreement in which Ukraine promised to remain a neutral country and the fulfilment of the Minsk accords could have stopped Putin’s invasion, he said." 2/
"Katchanovski suggested that before Putin’s invasion, a successful peace agreement could have allowed for Ukraine to eventually join the European Union (EU) in exchange for neutrality." 3/
Read 12 tweets
May 19
#Zelenskyy says that it will take lives of tens of thousands of Ukrainians to defeat #Russia: "I have no doubt that we will win, but we must remember that the price of all this is tens of thousands of lives." #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWar #Ukraina
strana.news/news/391787-po…
My research suggests that continuation of #RussianUkrainianWar war would likely result in tens of thousands of killed Ukrainians, while victory over #Russia is not very likely even with massive supplies of Western weapons & funding. #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWar #Ukraina
My research-based estimate of total minimal number of #Ukrainian casualties of #UkraineRussiaWar is around 10,000 people killed already, including minimum 5,000 civilians & 5,000 military. It is derived from #Zelenskyy's military casualties number & UN civilian casualties data.
Read 4 tweets
May 16
There are #Ukrainian and #Russian reports of agreement to surrender of either wounded or all members of far-right-linked #Azov regiment and other Ukrainian units in besieged #Azovstal in #Mariupol

#UkraineRussianWar #UkraineRussia #Ukraine️ #Russia #NeoNazi #RussiaUkraineWar
Some 20 heavily wounded have been already reportedly transported from besieged #Azovstal to hospital in separatist-controlled part of #Donbas. There are reports of agreement between #Russian & #Ukrainian government to exchange them for Russian POWs in #Ukraine. #UkraineWar #Azov
Read 25 tweets
May 12
Change of #Russian policy to block not only #NATO but also now EU membership of #Ukraine makes peaceful resolution of #RussiaUkraineConflict much more difficult if not practically impossible. 1/ #Ukraine️RussiaWar #Russia #RussiaUkraineWar #UkraineWar pravda.com.ua/rus/news/2022/…
"Dmitry Polyansky, Deputy Permanent Representative of the Russian Federation to the UN, said that Russia's position on the possible entry of Ukraine into the EU has changed and has become similar to the position on Ukraine's entry into NATO." 2/
"On March 29 aide to the president of the Russian Federation and head of the Russian delegation, said that among the written proposals of Kyiv under an agreement with Russia is the wording that Moscow will not be against Ukraine's entry into the European Union." 3/
Read 5 tweets
May 11
#FakeNews: Popular British @Daily_Express newspaper publishes my fake interview about #Putin's health & cites my real @SkyNewsAust interview about Putin's Victory Day speech & annexing parts of #Ukraine as source. Find 10 differences between two interviews by "Ivan Katchanovski." ImageImageImageImage
@Daily_Express @SkyNewsAust My fake interview: "VLADIMIR Putin looked "rather frail" after being seen huddling underneath a blanket during the Victory Day parade, political analyst Ivan Katchanovski noted as he pointed out his top brass was excluded from the event." #UkraineWar express.co.uk/news/world/160…
My actual Sky News Australia TV interview: "Political scientist Professor Ivan Katchanovski says Russian President Vladimir Putin’s ‘Victory Day’ speech suggests Russian plans to “annex” parts of Ukraine." #Russia #UkraineWar #Putin #UkraineRussia
" skynews.com.au/world-news/glo…
Read 4 tweets
May 10
Maidan leadership member, who testified that Maidan leaders staged #Maidan massacre to seize power in #Ukraine, is killed in mysterious circumstances in #UkraineRussia frontline area. He said that his request to investigate them & himself was stonewalled. strana.news/news/390193-sm…
He headed #Ukraine parliament committee during Maidan & election campaign of President Poroshenko party. His testimony that Maidan massacre was staged is corroborated by testimonies of over 500 witnesses, majority of wounded protesters & 14 Maidan snipers. researchgate.net/publication/35…
Reports suggest that former Maidan leadership member, who testified that Maidan massacre was staged by Maidan leaders to seize power in #Ukraine, was apparently killed in frontline area in his car by artillery shelling by #Ukrainian forces.
Read 4 tweets

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