Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jun 22 12 tweets 10 min read
#Kaliningrad - "The land border between the 3
#Baltic states & #Russia, #Belarus, which for all intents & purposes a military district of the Russian Federation, & Kaliningrad is 1,635 km..." #Latvia National Security Advisor Jānis Kažociņš tells #EUDFF22
"The land border between the #Baltic states & @NATO is a massive 104km" per #Latvia's Kažociņš

Kažociņš calls it "a massive challenge"
EU currently providing #Ukraine w/long-rage artillery, tanks & #MLRS, per @eu_eeas Amb Charles Fries at #EUDFF22

"We have adapted our offers to the #Ukrainian needs"
"@NATO is not a threat to #Russia bcs nobody in Russia genuinely thinks that 30 -& soon to be 32- NATO nations would have consensus to attack Russia..." per #Latvia's Kažociņš
"...But the #EuropeanUnion is an existential threat to the #Russia|n Federation & to #Putin in particular bcs it is an example of good governance..." per #Latvia's Kažociņš
"...If #Ukraine can be made to work as a functioning & free legal democracy where individual rights are respected, then the 'bigger brother' country as #Putin would like to put it, may well start asking, 'Why can't we live like that" per #Latvia's Kažociņš
Expect "broader announcements" on force posture during next week's @NATO summit, per @WHNSC's Sloat
Expect "broader announcements" on force posture during next week's @NATO summit, per @WHNSC Sr Dir for European Affairs Amanda Sloat at #EUDFF22
"Somebody much more erudite than me pointed out, #Russia is the storm. #China is the #climatechange" #Latvia National Security Advisor Jānis Kažociņš tells #EUDFF22
"What we are looking at, probably, is a battle btw democratic states, free states & autocratic states... & #China is a problem" per #Latvia's Kažociņš

"The more democratic countries we can bring together...the more likely we are to be able to deal w/the challenges"
Bigger threat - #China or #Russia

"I think in the long term #China is going to the the bigger problem" per #Latvia's Kažociņš "I'm an optimist abt #Russia. I think Russia will change - It has changed in the past, usually after unsuccessful foreign wars"
"What we need to do is find a way of dealing w/the current #Russia challenge so that we can all maintain our deterrence...but be ready for, perhaps, more significant challenges further east in the future" per #Latvia's Kažociņš

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More from @jseldin

Jun 24
#China threat-"What we are seeing is from my seat is the largest military buildup in history since WWII" @INDOPACOM Commander Adm John Aquilino tells @FDD

"That buildup encompasses all domains & all capabilities..to include strategic nuclear capability" Image
Lesson from #Russia-#Ukraine: "The world is certainly unwilling to accept a single person's actions, illegitimate, unprovoked to change the world order" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Aquilino
#Russia-#Ukraine: "The most concerning aspect of it from where I sit is that the Peoples' Republic of #China has declared a no limits policy in support of Russia" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Aquilino
Read 5 tweets
Jun 24
JUST IN: @DeptofDefense statement on release of Asadullah Haroon al-Afghani, aka Gul, from the GuantanamoBay

Gul transferred "in accordance w/the US District of Columbia’s order...ruling the United States no longer has a legal basis to justify the continued detention of Mr. Gul" Image
Per @DeptofDefense, the transfer of Asadullah Haroon al-Afghani & repatriation to #Afghanistan was also cleared by the Periodic Review Board (PRB) in October 2021

The board includes senior officials from @TheJusticeDept @StateDept @DHSgov & @ODNIgov
Reaction to the US releasing #GuantanamoBay detainee Asadullah Haroon & returning him to #Afghanistan from Senate Armed Services Comm. ranking member @JimInhofe

"By returning this Guantanamo detainee to the Taliban, President Biden is now repopulating the terrorists’ ranks" Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 24
NEW: #Ukraine forces retrograde from #Sieverodonetsk - "putting themselves in better position" to defend themselves, per a US senior defense official, saying US #HIMARS, artillery assistance will help

"The Russians are just eeking out inch by inch of territory" per the official
US training in place to make sure #Ukraine forces can use the #HIMARS & other "@NATO-standard systems", per a senior US defense official
Latest US aid to #Ukraine result of "extensive consultations" w/Ukrainian officials, per a senior US defense official

Says US officials consulting w/Ukrainian officials on aid & "moving heaven & earth" to get it to them
Read 17 tweets
Jun 23
US sending another $450 million of security assistance to #Ukraine - including new #HIMARS, tens of thousands of ammo rounds & patrol boats, per @WHNSC 's John Kirby
At upcoming G7 in #Germany, @POTUS will work to secure new commitments to isolate #Russia from the global economy & target #Moscow's defense supply chain - "tighten the screws" - per @WHNSC's Kirby
@NATO-#Africa: "In general, the security situation on the southern flank of NATO is almost always on the agenda" per @WHNSC's Kirby "We recognize the challenges & the threats that continue to affect security of our NATO allies on the southern flank"
Read 8 tweets
Jun 23
US bracing for long slog btw #Ukraine, #Russia forces in the #Donbas

"This is a part of the country that both armies know well & both are digging in" @WHNSC's John Kirby tells VOA Ukrainian @holosameryky
"The #Russia|ns are making incremental but not consistent progress. The #Ukrainians are pushing back" per @WHNSC's Kirby
US "we want #Ukraine to succeed on the battlefield & we want them to succeed at the negotiating table if & when it comes to that" per @WHNSC's Kirby to @VOANews' @holosameryky

"Obviously, we're not at that stage right now..."
Read 4 tweets
Jun 23
ICYMI: @USAmbOSCE Michael Carpenter accuses #Russia of exploiting extremism & ultranationalism

"This far-right ultranationalism is in fact being cultivated as a tool of war" he said in a speech to the @OSCE Permanent Council in #Vienna
"The utter contempt shown by such large numbers of #Russia’s soldiers for the humanity of #Ukraine’s elderly, women, & children is the direct outcome of feeding its forces a pack of lies...&the inculcation of ultranationalist & dehumanizing ideas among its troops" per @USAmbOSCE
Extremist / Ultranationalist "ideology has long been propagated inside #Russia" per @USAmbOSCE

"The Kremlin’s ultranationalist agenda has also, at times, translated into support for neo-Nazi groups internationally aimed at destabilizing democratic countries"
Read 5 tweets

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