Thread by @cfb_professor

We are roughly 2 months away from the start of #CFB season! Lets talk expectations. Ill go through each team & give what my model predicts as the % chance each team gets to bowl eligbility, and also the % chance each team gets 10+ Ws given their respective schedules. Lets go!🧵

#SEC (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws)

#Alabama #RTR 99.9%/89.5%
#Arkansas #WPS 55.3%/11.0%
#Auburn #WarEagle 36.9%/1.8%
#Florida #Gators 81.0%/17.4%
#Georgia #UGA 99.9%/93.3%
#Kentucky #BBN 66.7%/7.3%
#LSU #GeauxTigers 81.8%/29.1%
#HailState 47.8%/2.6%

#SEC (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws) (cont)
#Mizzou 69.2%/11.6%
#OleMiss 96.9%/41.4%
#SouthCarolina 31.2%/0.8%
#Tennessee #Vols 95.3%/35.6%
#TAMU #GigEm 99.0%/75.1%
#Vanderbilt #AnchorDown 2.3%/ <0.1%

#B1G (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws)
#Illinois 47.2%/3.7%
#Indiana #IUFB 13.0%/0.1%
#Iowa #Hawkeyes 98.5%/62.3%
#Maryland #Terps 43.0%/0.6%
#Michigan #GoBlue 99.8%/66.7%
#MichiganState #Spartans 85.0%/13.7%
#Minnesota #Gophers 72.1%/9.5%
#Nebraska #Huskers 74.3%/10.3%

#B1G (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws) (cont)
#Northwestern 12.1%/0.1%
#OhioState #Buckeyes 99.9%/91.9%
#PennState #WeAre 99.6%/69.5%
#Purdue #BoilerUp 75.8%/14.7%
#Rutgers 5.4%/ <0.1%
#Wisconsin #Badgers 98.1%/50.3%

#ACC (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws)
#BostonCollege 20.5%/0.3%
#Clemson #ALLIN 99.9%/91.1%
#Duke 24.3%/1.3%
#FloridaState #Noles 82.1%/19.7%
#GeorgiaTech 9.3%/0.2%
#Louisville #L1C4 88.5%/34.3%
#Miami #Canes 95.8%/45.2%
#NCState 97.4%/50.3%
#UNC #TarHeels 92.6%/44.4%

#ACC (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws) (cont)
#Pitt #H2P 88.0%/25.2%
#Syracuse 23.1%/1.3%
#Virginia #GoHoos 33.9%/4.0%
#VaTech #Hokies 67.8%/9.5%
#WakeForest #GoDeacs 71.0%/9.3%

#Pac12 (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws)
#Arizona #BearDown 2.9%/<0.1%
#ArizonaState #ForksUp 81.1%/19.6%
#California 29.8%/1.4%
#Oregon #GoDucks 94.6%/48.2%
#OregonState #GoBeavs 36.6%/2.5%
#Stanford 70.3%/17.2%
#UCLA #GoBruins 93.2%/40.9%
#USC #FightOn 96.7%/44.0%

#Pac12 (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws) (cont)
#Utah #Utes 98.9%/68.3%
#Washington 85.6%/25.4%
#Wazzu 15.2%/0.2%

#Big12 (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws)
#Baylor #SicEm 88.8%/32.4%
#ISU #Cyclones 84.3%/23.0%
#Kansas #RockChalk 5.3%/0.1%
#Oklahoma #Sooners 96.5%/63.8%
#OkState #GoPokes 85.7%/31.1%
#TCU #GoFrogs 65.3%/13.0%
#TexasTech #WreckEm 13.4%/1.0%
#WestVirginia #HailWV 34.7%/3.3%

Power 5 Independents
#BYU 88.1%/34.5%
#NotreDame #GoIrish 93.1%/33.5%

#Big12 (% Chance @ 6+ Ws/% Chance @ 10+ Ws) (cont)
#Texas #HookEm 98.0%/60.7%
#KState #EMAW 39.1%/3.7%