Kyle Orton Profile picture
Oct 24 43 tweets 30 min read
Thread: 24 October 2022: Day 243 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia is using #Iran's Shahed-136 drones, but #Ukraine is "increasingly successful" dealing with them. Even if President Zelensky exaggerates when he says 85% of them are brought down, they are slow, noisy, and a poor replacement for precision missiles Image
Foreign Secretaries of #America, #Britain, and #France issued a statement overnight "reject[ing] #Russia's transparently false allegations that #Ukraine is preparing to use a dirty bomb on its own territory". This is a "pretext for [Russian] escalation". gov.uk/government/new… Image
RT [former Russia Today] has suspended Anton Krasovsky after his on-air genocide fantasies, including drowning and burning Ukrainian children.
It seems likely that Krasovsky's statement going viral in the West and embarrassing the Kremlin is what caused this, because #Russia's state television has said things approximating to this daily for many months, and all of those presenters are still there
#pt: This is what got Krasovsky suspended from RT. There is every reason to be cynical about this - that Western outrage, rather than actual disagreement is what led to the suspension - and not only because Russian state TV says this stuff every night >>
#pt >> Krasovsky himself has said overtly genocidal things for months. This is just one example from July, but it never got the pick-up in the West that his drown-the-children thing did the other night, so RT did not suspend him.
#Russia's Ambassador in the #US, Anatoliy Antonov, says he has been informed of the terms for "peace" discussions to begin over #Ukraine: a withdrawal of Russian forces entirely from the territory of Ukraine as recognised in 1991, and reparations.
#Australia's silence on #Iran's assistance to #Russia in trying to eliminate #Ukraine is strange.
Sergey Mardan opens with "Orthodoxy or death", and the guest, Vladlen Tatarsky, then discusses Ukrainians' belief in their nationality as a mental illness - Russians suffering a "spiritual transvestitism" - and says conquest will cure this "craziness".
A disconnect between #Australia's public pledges over #Ukraine and what has reached the ground
Large protests in #Hungary yesterday against #Russia's influence over the government; calls for Prime Minister Viktor Orban to resign.
#Russia has stolen the monument in #Kherson to Admiral Fyodor Ushakov, the commander of the Russian fleet under Russian Empress Catherine II (r. 1762-96). Seems to be part of a final looting sweep as the Russians prepare to fall back.
#pt: The #Russians seem to be preparing a scorched earth withdrawal from #Kherson.
An open letter from the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), a large territory within the #Russian Federation in the Far East, declares its support for #Ukraine. Says that what is happening in Ukraine is an extension of the Imperial processes that subdued Siberia.
Second day of this nonsense: #Russia's Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov says his government is taking the fake accusations of #Ukraine preparing to use a "dirty bomb" to the UN after "these data were rechecked" and reconfirmed. Convincing stuff.
#Russia propagandist Sergey Markov says: "It is obvious [Anton] Krasovsky did this [incited genocide] on the instructions of the special services of Ukraine or the United States", who "have now launched a broad [information] campaign based on [his] words". t.me/logikamarkova/…
Markov says Krasovsky "voiced ... genocidal ideas against Ukraine's children on Russia's state TV at a time when the US and Kiev desperately need arguments to make everyone believe Russia is preparing to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine."
Interesting: The head of #Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate within the Defence Ministry, Maj.-Gen. Kyrylo Budanov, says that the signs of #Russia crumbling in #Kherson are an information operation designed to cover a Russian build-up.
#pt: Budanov says the threat from #Russia's #Iran-supplied drones will be around for a while, but the precision missile threat is abating simply because the stockpiles are running down.
#pt: Budanov is, as many analysts now are, sure that whatever is happening in #Belarus, it is not a preparation for a second #Russian attack on Kyiv.

Admittedly, the Ukrainian government also said this last time, but one hopes lessons were learned.
#pt: Budanov says 222+ out of 330 (67%) of #Russia's #Iran-supplied Shahed-136 drones; only about 30% have hit their targets. The Russians have apparently ordered 1,700 drones and they are being delivered in batches of 300.
#pt: One of the presumably batch transfers of drones from #Iran to #Russia.
Saint Javelin Halloween pumpkins is what was needed
"Shoigu's calls—and Russian state media's amplification of false dirty bomb threats—are ... likely intended to intimidate Western states into cutting or limiting support for Ukraine as Russia faces continued military setbacks" understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…
Let's see if #Europe gets anywhere in "distancing" from #China
#pt: The brute economic facts might cause the mercantilist #Europe to move away from #China; it's just not such a good bet even in monetary terms.
#Russia is not sending its best with these "dirty bomb" and other "provocation" conspiracy theories about #Ukraine.
#Israel able to strike at the #Asad/#Iran system in broad daylight, despite it being protected by #Russian troops and Moscow's mighty air defences. Could even make one wonder what all Jerusalem's concessions to Russia over #Ukraine are for.
Even at this late stage, with the Axis between #Russia and #Iran in public for all to see, #Israel is having a Clouseau-like realisation: "Is this an 'alliance'?"
#Azerbaijan supporting #Ukraine. An error to raise the spectre of Azeri separatism in #Iran, though - it is not an effective lever, since it is a marginal phenomenon, and politically it is a disaster since anti-separatism unites most Iranians.
Bizarre stuff from #Ukraine's former President, Petro Poroshenko, congratulates Xi Jinping and praises him as "a strong advocate of peace and development", suggests #China will help "mitigat[e]" #Russian actions in Ukraine, when Peking supports Moscow.
#Britain's Chief of the Defence Staff, Admiral Sir Tony Radakin, spoke to his counterpart in #Russia, General Valery Gerasimov. British statement says open communications are being maintained with Moscow.
30 members of the Left-wing of the Democratic Party signed a letter calling for Biden to pressure Kyiv into accepting Russia keeping parts of Ukraine. Unsurprisingly, this stupid statement was formulated in collaboration with Quincy, among others Image
#Ukraine's President Zelensky gave a speech on Oct. 24 addressing relations with #Israel |
"The Remote Control Killers Behind Russia's Cruise Missile Strikes on Ukraine", by @christogrozev bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-eu… Image
#Russia pathetically demanding its ludicrous lies about #Ukraine preparing to use a "dirty bomb" on itself be taken seriously.

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More from @KyleWOrton

Oct 26
Thread: 26 October 2022: Day 245 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: the governor of Belgorod within #Russia announced on Oct. 24 that the main rail line linking Russia and #Belarus was sabotaged by "Stop the Wagons" (StW), ostensibly a "Russian anti-war group". Image
It does not take an especially suspicious mind to believe that "Stop the Wagons" (StW) is supported by, if not fabricated by, #Ukraine's intelligence services, which suggests a serious issue for #Russia, at least in the key war staging areas on the border.
Read 50 tweets
Oct 25
Thread: 25 October 2022: Day 244 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia has lost at least 23 Ka-52 HOKUM attack helicopters, a quarter of its in-service fleet, in #Ukraine, many to MANPADS. The Russians still do not have air superiority and the helicopters have less cover from combat jets than they are meant to. Image
#Germany's President Frank-Walter Steinmeier went to #Ukraine today, where he is rather suspected because of his record on #Russia. He met President Zelensky and Kyiv Mayor, Vitali Klitschko, with whom he visited sites attacked by Russia using the Iran-supplied drones on Oct. 17. ImageImage
Read 27 tweets
Oct 15
Thread: 15 October 2022: Day 234 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russian mobilised reservists have begun arriving in #Ukraine over the last two weeks with even fewer provisions than the Army. Notably, they have been buying their own body armour. Corruption and poor logistics remain central features of Russia's Army.
The #EU are slow-rolling plans for sanctions on #Iran over sending drones to #Russia for its war to eliminate Ukraine. reuters.com/world/exclusiv…
Read 42 tweets
Oct 15
Saddam was so self-destructively reckless: on Dec. 7, 2002, the day he was supposedly complying with UNSCR 1441 that demanded he come clean at last on the WMD, he made a speech calling for "the mujahideen" in Kuwait to join his "jihad" against the infidels news.bbc.co.uk/hi/arabic/news…
Incidentally, the speech was framed by Saddam as an apology to Kuwait (at last) for ransacking and massacring the country in 1990-91, but the Kuwaiti government correctly saw it as incitement to terrorism, against them and against the Coalition troops.
In the days after 9/11, when even Col. Qaddafi and the mullahs in Iran made a public show of sending condolences to America, Saddam overtly, repeatedly taunted the US:
1. edition.cnn.com/2001/WORLD/eur…
2. edition.cnn.com/2001/WORLD/mea…
Read 5 tweets
Oct 14
Thread: 14 October 2022: Day 233 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update covers the Bakhmut front in the Donetsk Oblast, where #Russia is trying to make advances and making little progress against #Ukraine.
#Russia: Sergey Kandybin, rector of an Orthodox church in the Telma in the Irkutsk area of Siberia, reported local politician Sergey Uglyanitsa to the FSB after Uglyanitsa said in confession he had lit a candle on Red Square hoping for #Ukraine's victory. news.obozrevatel.com/russia/v-rossi…
Read 35 tweets
Oct 13
Thread: 13 October 2022: Day 232 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Cretinous. #France's President Macron playing into #Russia's propaganda about "World War [Three]".
In an interview on "France 2", #France's President Macron said French "vital interests ... would not be at stake if there was a nuclear ballistic attack in Ukraine or in the region" by #Russia. politico.eu/article/france…
Read 73 tweets

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