Thomas van Linge Profile picture
Dec 5 β€’ 10 tweets β€’ 8 min read
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: a deal has been reached in order to end the #SudanCoup which has been going on for over a year now.

Both the #FFC and the military have agreed to a 24-month transition, under the leadership of a civilian PM, with elections at the end.

But there's a but πŸ‘‡
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: just as with the previous transition deal there is very little that holds either #Burhan or #Hemedti to honor their promises, meaning the country is and remains very vulnerable to another #SudanCoup at any moment.

There is also no mention of any reform of the military
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: the Resistance committees, which were the backbone of the December Revolution have already voiced their opposition to the deal since it doesn't include any framework to bring justice to the 110+ protesters who were killed since the #SudanCoup.
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: pro-democracy protests are taking place in the capital city #Khartoum as the transitional deal is being signed.

These protesters reject any deal that does not include military reform and justice to those who were murdered.
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: in the Republican Palace in #Khartoum political leaders might promise democratic reforms. But outside protesters are facing the same repression they've faced throughout the coup period.
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: its important to note the Resistance Committees do not stand alone in their opposition to the deal. The Sudanese Communist Party, #Darfur Bar Association and the #SPLMN have also criticized the agreement.

The #SLA-MM and #JEM are yet to be convinced.
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: tear gas and armored vehicles as it is just more of the same in #Khartoum.

The transition agreement seems to have very little support in the streets.
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: it looks like the SPA, which was the leading force of the December Revolution and the anti-coup resistance, is also not supportive of the transitional agreement with the military.
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: with all of the country's main pro-democracy grassroot forces (SPA, RS) in opposition to the agreement, it seems this accord is nothing more than a pact between the (para)military forces and the country's ancient political elite (Umma Party, DUP, Congress Party)
#Sudan πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡©: which means minimal representation of the main driving forces of the pro-democracy movement (youth, women, periphery).

Elections in 2024 will probably end up just being another who-gets-what between these established parties which have been around for decades.

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More from @ThomasVLinge

Dec 5
Air sirens are sounding all over #Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦, as #Russia is reported to have launched dozens of missiles from the Caspian Sea.

For the past weeks Monday has usually been a day of missile attacks on the Ukrainian energy infrastructure.
#Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦: a Russian cruise missile was spottee flying over the city of #Dnipro.
#Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦: a missile has struck something in #Odesa. A fire is being reported.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 4
#Syria: incredible scenes from the city of #Suwayda today as protesters have stormed the governorate office, setting fire to several regime vehicles and tearing down #Assad portraits
#Syria: this is what happened when regime forces tried to break up the on-going protest in the center of #Suwayda.
#Syria: regime forces eventually opened fire on the crowd in #Suwayda, killing at least one protester.

These videos are very reminiscent of 2011.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 15
#Iran BREAKING: Evin Prison in #Tehran, the country's most notorious prison which is filled with countless political detainees is on fire tonight.
#Iran: gunshots can be heard as smoke rises and the alarm has been raised at the Evin prison in #Tehran.

Something is going on...
#Iran: footage coming from the Evin prison in #Tehran are insane. People can be heard chanting "death to tye dictator" under the sound of gunfire.

Police are seen moving around the perimeter on their motorcycles.
Read 8 tweets
Oct 12
BREAKING: #Armenia πŸ‡¦πŸ‡² and #Azerbaijan πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ have agreed to sign a formal peace deal which includes an official delimitation of the border by the end of the year.
This deal (if successfully followed through) would be a major diplomatic victory for the European Union.

Just last week intens negotiations between πŸ‡¦πŸ‡²πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ were taking place under πŸ‡«πŸ‡·πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί supervision. The Kremlin was completely left out of the process
News of a possible deal does not mean that peace in the #Caucasus is within reach. The #Kremlin could try to spoil an agreement, #Aliyev is still an expansionist authoritarian, and the future status of #NagornoKarabakh will probably remain undetermined.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 10
#Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦: Russian missiles and kamikaze drones are terrorizing the capital #Kyiv this morning. Several civilization sites have already been hit.
#Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦: one missile hit a playground in the center of #Kyiv, leaving behind a massive crater.
#Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦: another target was the glass bridge in Khreshchatyi park in the center of #Kyiv, a place where couples and families come to take pictures and enjoy the view.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 9
#Iran: riot police were smashing up cars in #Mashhad today in a hunt for anti-regime protesters.

#Iran: anti-regime protest are taking place at the Amirkabir University in #Tehran.

#Iran: anti-regime protests and road blocks tonight in #Mahabad (#WestAzerbaijan)
Read 6 tweets

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