OverDose Profile picture
Jan 4 23 tweets 16 min read
In 2022, #coinbase lost more than $2bn, settled for $100mil deal for breaking the AML laws and lost 85% in their stock price 📉.

Is #coinbase going bankrupt?
Are your funds SAFU?

The answer might scare you, a 🧵
2/n

Its been a horrible year for #coinbase -
-Stock lost > 85%
- > 2B$ net income loss
- Fined by regulators once again
- According to @Protos S&P Officially downgraded the #stock to “junk”
-A new #WallStreet powerhouse is tackling them head on

Let’s cover everything 1 by 1 👇
3/n

Let’s begin with the revenue according to the latest report (Q3 2022):

#Coinbase’s Total Revenue in 2022 until September was 2.5B$, less than 50% of the matching range in 2021 (5.3B$) 📉 Image
4/n

#Coinbase’s expenses at that period grew from 3.18B$ to an astounding 4.7B$

The two largest expenses were R&D (1.7B$) and “General and Administrative” (1.2B$) Image
5/n

The huge spike in expenses combined with the drop in revenue lead to a 2022 up until Q3 a net income loss of more than 2bn$ (!)

To put that into perspective, in the #BullMarket of 2021, up until Q3 #Coinbase had a 2.7B$ net income *profit*

As @elonmusk says, let it sink. Image
6/n

As for fundraising, #Coinbase raised money every single year in the past 6 years, for a total of more than 500M$.

Many might say it's not a good sign, to say the least. Image
7/n

The Motley Fool’s @TMFJMo recently said in a podcast that there is a “Small but real chance that coinbase is going to ZERO” and that “#Coinbase is headed for a world of pain in 2023”

This is a mind blowing statement coming from one of the biggest podcasts on @Spotify! Image
8/n

The financial statements above tell us the past, but let’s talk about #coinbase’s near future as #crypto, $ETH and $BTC are tanking. Image
9/n

First of all, #Coinbase has just reached a 100M$ settlement with the NY regulators for violating AML laws! This is concerning especially after #Sam-Bankman-Fried and the #FTX saga

nytimes.com/2023/01/04/bus…
10/n

According to @nytimes, #coinbase agreed to pay a $50 million fine after financial regulators found that it let customers open accounts without conducting sufficient background checks, in violation of anti-money-laundering laws.
11/n

The compliance problems at #Coinbase were first detected during an examination in 2020.

Regulators found problems with anti-money-laundering controls going as far back as 2018.

After they failed to address this issue, the regulators opened a formal investigation in 2021.
12/n

#coinbase had fallen behind on two key operations:

1. digging deeper into the backgrounds of customers whose identities seemed murky at first glance
2. following up on the suspicious-activity alerts that its internal monitoring system generated (more than 100,000 alerts)
13/n

Allegedly according to @nytimes article,

In one instance, #coinbase unwittingly helped a digital thief steal $150 million from an unnamed company by claiming to be an employee of that company when opening a Coinbase account!
14/n

This not the first time #coinbase have troubles with regulators, as most of us remember their insider trading scandal that @cobie did a great job of covering

businesstoday.in/crypto/story/w…
15/n

In addition, @Fidelity, a well-known #wallstreet powerhouse is launching a competitive retail-focused #crypto trading platform that will be fee-free and with extremely low spread

barrons.com/articles/fidel…

According to @TMFJMo, this can accelerate #coinbase’s crash.
16/n

Now you’re probably thinking - Are my funds #safu??

The answer is a resounding NO, IF #coinbase goes bankrupt!

I know many of us are traumatized by #FTX, #luna, #blockfi and #celsius but there is an important lesson we learned Image
17/n

“Coinbase announced, in an SEC Form 10-Q, that the various cryptocurrencies held on its exchange could be included as property of its bankruptcy estate should it file for bankruptcy protection.”

summerscomptonwells.com/what-happens-i…
18/n

This means that just like in #Voyager’s case, user assets that are deposited in the exchange WILL probably be considered #coinbase’s assets, and may be partially returned to users, or even not at all if they are not enough to cover the liabilities! Image
19/n

In simple words, NOT YOUR KEYS - NOT YOUR #CRYPTO.

If #coinbase collapses, according their official SEC statement - your funds can be used to pay their debts!
20/n

$COIN is currently down 85% in the past 1 year Image
21/n

To sum it up, #coinbase's near future does not look bright:

- 2022 financial statements are bad
- #crypto - $BTC, $ETH and more are dumping
- They keep getting in trouble with regulators and the law
- Competition is only getting worse
- Users and $crypto volume tanked
22/n

DISCLAIMER: This thread is not endorsed by 3rd parties mentioned in anyway, and is our subjective opinion. It is not a financial advice in any way and I encourage everyone to do their own research and DD. This thread is for educational purposes only and may contain mistakes
23/n

For more #crypto & #defi information and real time analysis, make sure to follow me on Twitter and on my free Telegram channel!

Knowledge is money.

t.me/overdose_gems_…

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More from @Overdose_AI

Jan 2
2022 was an INSANE rollercoaster year for #DeFi -

TVL dropped by more than 150B $ and > $1T wiped out from crypto markets this year!🩸

As 2023 approaches:
Should you still be bullish on #crypto?🤔
Who is the new KING to hold onto this year?

Uncover the answers in this🧵 Image
2/n
Unlock the Future of #DEFI and Find Out Who's the KING in 2022! Here's Our Summary of What is to come:

- How Big Has DEFI Gotten?
- Which Token Rules Over All?
- Could Bankruptcies Spell the End of #Crypto?
- What's The Potential of Crypto in The Next Few Years?

Dive in👇
3/n

First of, I would like to thank the following pillars of crypto for their continued work and market research this thread is based on

@nansen_ai & @coingecko @GrandViewInc @DefiLlama
Read 20 tweets
Dec 27, 2022
Buying the Dip will no longer work?
A big recession is coming?

According to @BlackRock's latest report, 2023 will require a whole new approach to investing in #stocks and #crypto

#BlackRock released their 2023 investment playbook, and I read it all so you don’t have to👇

1/n🧵
@BlackRock 2/n

In this thread we are going to cover the following interesting claims by #BlackRock:

- A new #investment playbook is needed for this new volatile market state
- “Old Playbook” strats like “buying the dip” may no longer work
3/n

- Central Banks are deliberately slowing down the markets
- Recession is all but certain
- And many more interesting #stock strategies than we can apply on #crypto

For reference, the full outlook is here: blackrock.com/corporate/lite…
Read 21 tweets

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