If the #EU & it’s member states really wanted to do something about #Orban’s #Hungary, they would.
- The mess over ratifying #Sweden & #Finland’s NATO membership is only the latest incident & 🇭🇺‘a continuing presence is a stain on 🇪🇺reputation & effectiveness.
🇭🇺should go. 🧵/1
In case anyone doubts the game playing over 🇫🇮& 🇸🇪’s #NATO membership the country’s foreign minister Peter Szijjarto made it clear earlier this week
- Fidesz now says it will support accession but it has been a farce & again cast doubt on 🇪🇺competence /2
Thankfully, Commission VP @VeraJourova (already among the tougher voices on Orban in Brussels) seems to have had enough
A lesson we should have learned from recent years is that we can’t treat illiberal actors in a liberal way. #NeoIdealism
/3
We can’t stick scrupulously to our liberal ‘rules’ when they are not fit for purpose & allow illiberal actors to instrumentalise & corrupt our institutions -as #Hungary has done -& then lament that our institutions don’t work so well & aren’t trusted as much as they could be
/4
But there’s more to it in this case. Even though they turned on him rhetorically in the last 2-3 years, senior EPP politicians (Juncker & many in #Germany) & #V4 countries indulged Orban for years.
It’s been good to see the transformation in rhetoric but now, Action is needed.
/5
As @JanLipavsky m said - #Hungary has to choose sides. #Orban has been elected four times.
Hungarians have clearly made their choice & can’t have it both ways.
- nor can other EU & MS politicians who need to act to protect & renew our democracies & liberal institutions. 🇭🇺➡️
END
On 25/02/22 as I was pushing my sleeping daughter in her stroller, listening to @BBCr4today, Nick Robinson spoke from the roof of the hotel where he was holed up in #Kyiv.
And, looking over the city, he said something that stopped me in my tracks. #Ukraine
2/
@bbcnickrobinson urged listeners to follow his gaze as he looked over this ‘modern, dynamic and vibrant European city’ ...
now, this may not seem like much, but for anyone who has followed #Ukraine for a long time, its significance would have been immediately apparent.
Paying this national security premium is actually an investment in our future: it gives us the chance to make our democracies what we claim them to be - and thus to reactivate our soft & transformative power. opencanada.org/is-canada-read…
14/
No longer relying on the cheap shortcuts of (dependencies on) market & fossil fuel on authoritarian regimes should be the spur to transform our own societies to deliver a better future, to revive the hope of progress & share its benefits more fairly.
15/
We can seize this opportunity to change in ways that we have long known we need to: technologically, economically, socially & politically. So while there would be costs for standing firm, standing up for #Ukraine & standing up to #Russia, they are really investments.
16/
My main objection is to this framing of the ‘issues between #Ukraine & #Russia’ as somehow not being clear & clearly 🇷🇺’s fault & 🇷🇺’s problem.🇷🇺 needs to get out of 🇺🇦 & stop menacing it’s neighbours.
There can be no bothsidesing - it is wrong & sets terrible precedent. 2/
Equivocating on the problem - #Russia- also sets any negotiations up in completely the wrong way. There is nothing to concede here - we must show we are 100% behind #Ukraine’s concept of victory (all its territory back & viable deterrence of future RU aggression).
3/
I first introduced the idea of #NeoIdealism in a piece for @RUSI_org in April '22 but Its fullest elaboration so far is in my book - 'To #Ukraine With Love'
- published last month & available now on kindle & paperback😎 amazon.com/Ukraine-Love-E…
So why call it Neo-Idealism?
2/25
Some of the Neo-Idealists from #CEE - sometimes explicitly - seek to refresh the hopeful, people-centred politics that flourished in the post-communist transitions of the 1990s but which had wilted more recently, especially after the 2008 financial crisis
3/25
With the great news that #Poland will supply a company of #Leopard2 Main Battle Tanks & the #UK set to provide #Challenger2#MBTs, the spotlight is now trained firmly on Berlin. Will #Germany join the coalition to give #Ukraine the tanks -#Kampfpanzer!- it needs?🧵1/
Happily, that looks increasingly likely.
SPD Chancellor #Scholz' coalition partners the Greens & FDP are insisting that #Germany take part & rumours of a no-confidence vote ultimatum are swirling. @ABaerbock's visit to Kharkiv with @DmytroKuleba & @Makeiev was no coincidence 2/
But, as we know, #Scholz & co have a history of giving reasons not to deliver only for those to evaporate into excuses. @kuleba noted this on Germany's main TV news show - 'first they say no, vigorously defend their decision, only to finally say yes' 3/ politico.eu/article/britis…
While researching for an analytical article (see tweet 4) on #Czechia's presidential elections (1st round this week), I conducted an interview with a leading candidate @danusenerudova to find out more about her positions.
Read the full interview here 1/5 expats.cz/czech-news/art…
@danusenerudova is up against Petr Pavel @general_pavel & oligarch & former PM @AndrejBabis
- While Pavel pledges to restore order, Nerudova has a vision of change.
Either would be far, far better than #Babis who could undermine🇨🇿's intl standing & support for #Ukraine.
2/5
Both Pavel & Nerudova will unify the anti-Babis vote in the second round but both have been criticised.
Pavel, more conservative, for his communist past. Nerudova, more liberal, for a scandal at her university - (+ some say she is lightweight but that may be partly misogyny).
3/5