Hostilities escalated between the army and paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, notably in Darfur region, where the growing involvement of tribal militias and armed groups threatens all-out civil war.
Large-scale military exercises conducted by the U.S. and South Korea to mark their alliance’s 70th anniversary and North Korea’s attempts to launch a satellite look set to contribute to a spike in tensions. crisisgroup.org/asia/north-eas…
Prime Minister Imran Khan’s arrest triggered deadly street clashes between his supporters and security forces, widening the breach with the government and straining Khan’s relations with the military
As military operations against Al-Shabaab’s Islamist insurgency reached a standstill, the group launched a major attack on an African Union military base, likely leaving dozens dead.
Changes in the military leadership revealed tensions at the highest levels of government, and deadly protests erupted following the failure of the mediation process between transitional military authorities and the opposition.
Fighting between rival militias broke out in western Libya as moves to form a new executive heightened political tension, while also undermining a UN push to hold elections before the end of the year.
Protests in Kosovo’s Serb-majority northern municipalities following tense April elections turned violent, injuring dozens of people, including NATO peacekeepers.
Unfortunately, CrisisWatch found no improved conflict situations ↗️ or conflict resolution opportunities 🕊️ for this month’s update.
The government has opted for “all-out comprehensive operations” to root out the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) from Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, which risks displacing thousands.
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Our research on the links between climate, environment and conflict in #Somalia focuses on the impact of the devastating drought, compounded by conflict and Al-Shabaab’s harsh policies, on the displacement of millions.
Deforestation in Somalia for wood burning and charcoal production leads to catastrophic consequences.
It exacerbates the effects of drought and floods and provides funding opportunities to the militant group Al-Shabaab.
According to @UNEP, deforestation threatens drought-tolerant trees like the Acacia.
For @HodderClimate, the regeneration of the environment is important for soil health and also to ease tensions over natural resource competition and reduce displacements. unep.org/news-and-stori…
The report starts with an introduction by @CrisisGroup CEO & President @EroComfort, where she highlights the role the EU can play in #Sudan, particularly by deterring outside actors from getting sucked into the fighting. crisisgroup.org/global/preside…
.@EroComfort also writes about the EU's current top security priority: backing Ukraine to defend itself.
And even as the EU and member states continue supporting Ukraine, they should signal to Moscow that a path toward a negotiated settlement or ceasefire remains possible.
In 2022, Russia’s war in Ukraine overshadowed much of global politics and other conflicts exacted a high toll, with the number of people fleeing violence reaching a new high.
But there’s also been good news!
Here are @CrisisGroup's 10 reasons to be hopeful in 2023 ⬇️
1️⃣ The deal between 🇪🇹Ethiopia's government and Tigray leaders could end one of the world’s bloodiest conflicts and offer relief to millions in northern Ethiopia. Plenty could still go wrong, but any lull in the horrific violence is good news.
2️⃣ After 3 years of tension, 🇨🇴 Colombia and 🇻🇪Venezuela finally restored one of Latin America’s most important bilateral relations, providing opportunities to address ongoing security and humanitarian issues at the border.
Rebuilding trust and redressing bilateral tensions will take time.
Coordination in health, security, trade, consular and other matters is vital to protecting public well-being, especially of #Venezuelan migrants and refugees in #Colombia. [2/6] crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…
Negotiations with the #ELN, which restarted on 21 November, will depend to an extent on support from #Venezuela’s government, which is a guarantor and host of the talks but may be reluctant to terminate its partnership with the rebels. [3/6] crisisgroup.org/latin-america-…
⛽️2. In mid-September, the G9 gang group blocked @TVarreux in #PortAuPrince, the country's main oil terminal. For 2 months, fuel could only be found in the informal market, where the price per gallon exceeded $30 USD (5,000 gourdes).
🚔3. On 3 November @PrimatureHT announced that @pnh_officiel had recovered @TVarreux. Although distribution to stations was restored days later, the gangs still control transportation routes and hinder the supply of fuel in the north and south of the country.