THREAD: 1) Xi throws #Okinawa into East Asia geopolitical cocktail

Xi speaks of Ryukyu's history, with emphasis on ties with #China

Xi's message is clear: That 600 years back, Okinawa was under the sway of the Chinese world order.
asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks…
2) Xi said that 36 Clans of the Min-People went over to the Ryukyus & settled, a reference to the movement of people during Ming Dynasty China in the 14th century. He emphasized the need to collect and sort such historic documents to inherit and develop Chinese civilization well. Image
3) In the past, the Global Times, a newspaper affiliated with the People's Daily, said in an editorial that China should support Okinawa's independence from Japan within the framework of international law. Image
4) But discussing Okinawa's status contradicts the Chinese government's past position. In the 1960s, Communist China's founding father Mao Zedong recognized Okinawa as part of Japan and supported its return to Japan from U.S. rule. ImageImage
5) Okinawa is not only home to many U.S. military bases, it is the geopolitical linchpin of efforts to ensure security in the Indo-Pacific region. If the U.S. and China clash over Taiwan, Okinawa will also be affected. Image

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More from @IndoPac_Info

Jun 5
THREAD 1) At least 10,000 people died in #TiananmenSquareMassacre - Secret #British cable from the time says

Secret document say death toll was much higher than later reported, while claiming wounded students were bayoneted as they begged for their lives.
independent.co.uk/news/world/asi…
2) First waves of troops went in unarmed to disperse the protesters. Then “The 27 Army APCs opened fire on the crowd before running over them. APCs ran over troops & civilians at 65kmh.” “Students were given one hour to leave square, but after five minutes APCs attacked. ImageImageImageImage
3) “Students linked arms but were mown down. APCs then ran over the bodies time and time again to make, quote ‘pie’ unquote, and remains collected by bulldozer. “Remains incinerated and then hosed down drains.” Image
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Sep 25, 2022
#BREAKING: #Chinese media said 2,296 delegates to the 20th Party Congress have been elected under the leadership of #XiJinping

Xi is expected to receive a 5-year-term in October, paving the way for his ascendence to Paramount Leader of the Party for life.
Sorry, No #chinacoup
2) Xinhua News Agency: Election of deputies to the 20th National Congress was completed.

Each electoral unit across China held party congresses or party representative meetings respectively & elected 2,296 deputies to the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of #China
3) The National Party Congress of the Communist Party of China is held every five years.

The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will determine the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party for the next five years.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 4, 2022
#THREAD: 1) It seems to me that #China has chosen a phased approach of limited military measures to squeeze #Taiwan here & there, on & off, pressure & release tactics, coupled with long term economic retaliation.

Southern Okinawa Japanese islands are also in China's crosshairs. Image
2) Here, the Global Times talks about #PLA military drill areas becoming a threat to #Taiwan's ports & shipping lanes, forming a blockade as a step to achieve reunification by force in the future.

Also a good way to test a US response.

3) This would be a calibrated approach, designed to hurt enough, but not too much that can trigger a war or US intervention.

But...... If Taiwan fires on Chinese forces to stop the blockade, then China has the excuse to go with full force, or could take small Taiwanese islands. Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 1, 2022
THREAD: 1) With His Weak Response to #China’s Threats, Biden May Just Have thrown #Taiwan under the Bus

Biden worked behind the scenes to stop Pelosi from visiting Taiwan.

Biden also seemed to sacrifice Taiwan’s defence on a phone call with Xi Jinping.
msn.com/en-in/news/opi…
2) In a a long phone call over 2 hours, a White House statement said that Biden “underscored that the United States policy has not changed and that the US strongly opposes unilateral efforts to change the status quo or undermine peace & stability across the Taiwan Strait”
3) According to the statement, Xi emphasised the Chinese claim over the island. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated, “Those who play with fire will perish by it.” The Ministry added, “It is hoped that the US will be clear-eyed about this.”
Read 4 tweets
Mar 8, 2022
1/ #Ukrainian Nationalist Volunteers Committing 'ISIS-Style' War Crimes: Amnesty International

Right-wing Ukrainian ultra nationalists are committing war crimes in rebel-held territories of Eastern #Ukraine, evidence of militias beheading their victims.
newsweek.com/evidence-war-c…
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3/ Kiev-based Pravilnoe TV reported that it had spoken with one of the mothers who confirmed her son was a rebel, captured during fighting in Donetsk.

She said she had received her son's head in a wooden box in the post, blaming nationalist volunteers for her son's death.
Read 29 tweets
Mar 7, 2022
1/ #Ukrainian Theater of War, Day 11:

It's likely #Russian forces will renew offensive operations in the next 24-48 hours with emphasis on continuing to encircle #Kyiv, attacking west of #Kharkiv & capturing #Mariupol. Via @JominiW

#Russia #Ukraine #Donbass
#UkraineRussiaWar
2/ Kyiv AO assessment is detailed in this chart.

Key take away, both #Russian & #Ukrainian forces conducted limited probes throughout NW Kyiv.

Russian forces seem to be increasing targeting of known civilian exit routes, most likely to degrade morale. #KyivNow Via @JominiW
3/ Northeast AO assessment is detailed in this chart.

Key take away, #Russian forces are bringing thermobaric MLRSs to the Chernihiv area.

The Russian are also concentrating forces to east of #Kyiv. It's possible the #Ukrainians may counterattack east of Kyiv. Via @JominiW
Read 4 tweets

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