Gopal Kavalireddi Profile picture
👨‍🎓M.S., PGPM, MDP 🏫 @FIU @GreatLakes_MBA @XLRIJamshedpur 👮‍♂️@FIUEnvironment @Thermaxglobal @SiemensGamesa; 💹Research @fyers1; Data Maverick on the loose!
kiranbhaskar Profile picture 1 added to My Authors
6 May
#TataConsumer Q4FY21 - Thread

#Q4FY21 Revenue: 3037cr, up 26% yoy
Contribution:
India Beverages:1205cr; Rev. growth: 60%; Vol growth: 23%
India Foods: 641cr; 22%; 18%
US Coffee: 313cr; 5%; -2%
Int. Tea: 515cr; 2%; -7%
Foodservice: 47cr; -34%; -18%
Tata Coffee: 280cr; 31%; 31%
Financials:
Revenue:⬆️26%, 3037cr
EBITDA:⬆️1%, 317cr
EBITDA Mar: 10.4%;⬇️260bps
PBT:⬆️6% at 262cr
PBT Mar: 8.6%;⬇️170bps
Cons.PAT:⬆️161% at 74cr; +750bps Margin
EPS:⬆️170bps, at Rs.0.58
Net cash: 2421cr
Dividend: 4.05/share
India business good, Intl biz soft, tea inflation high.
Portfolio:
India
Tata Salt: Largest salt brand
Tata Tea: 2nd Largest tea brand
Himalayan: #1 natural mineral water brand
Tata Sampann: Leading brand in pulses.

International
8oclock: 4th largest R&G coffee brand in USA
Tetley Tea: 4th largest tea brand in UK & largest in Canada.
Read 10 tweets
4 May
#verified resources -Delhi NCR

Oxygen Refill Only Delhi-NCR 9324156652
Tehseen Poonawalla' Foundation

Oxygen Cylinder Delhi-NCR 9999979100
Rohini sector 13

Oxygen concentrator 9810152194
Bipap oxygen concentrator, Mr. Ahluwalia

Oxygen concentrator Delhi 9810176572

Contd..
Cont'd..
Oxygen concentrator Delhi 7290092744
Portea Oxygen concentrator

Empty Oxygen Cylinder 9650715529

Oxygen Refill Only Delhi 8146020867
Rohini, Delhi, Sector 2 Bawana industrial area O Block.

Oxygen Cylinder Delhi-NCR 8826573407
Paras (Kalkaji)

Cont'd...
Oxygen Cylinder Delhi-NCR 8810311034
Aastha (Fbd)

Oxygen Cylinder Delhi-NCR 7865095786
oxygen providers (Daryganj)

Oxygen Cylinder Delhi-NCR 8130553334, 8130533335 Aastha healthcare (Noida)

Oxygen Cylinder Delhi-NCR 9310031095 JM gases (Faridabad)

Cont'd...
Read 4 tweets
4 Apr
A thread on #Chemicals Sector in India:
When I did a 'lazy Sunday' data crunch in Sep 2020 (), of all the sectors that performed well over the last 29 yrs, broken down in to three decades, there were some interesting insights.

Barring the period between...
1991-2000, the next 2 decades saw stocks from chemical sector perform very well. Of the 973 stocks that gave >100% returns (simple returns: no div. reinvestments) between 2000-2010, 101 were from the chemical sector.
Likewise, between 2010-2020, 82 chemical stocks topped charts.
Just yesterday, I checked for all BSE Companies with 10 Yr CAGR >25% & found 189 stocks, of which 41 stocks were from Chemical sector. A quick glance through the list brings a smile to my face, as many of these were good quality stocks with decent credentials - Portfolio worthy.
Read 9 tweets
1 Feb
A thread on #UnionBudget2021
Will try to cover as much as possible...

Speech starts amid slogans, Madam Finance Minister goes ahead!
Explaining health crisis (previous 8 mth review of all mini budgets commences)

#BudgetSession
Total estimate of all relief provided in mini budgets = 27.1 lakh crore, ~13% of GDP...(Actual cash outgo is a lot less)

Quote: Rabindranath Tagore (WB elections in focus)
Analogy: Team India's success in Australia - Youth having abundant potential.

Lowest death rates of Covid.
Earlier contractions typical to India, this time, contraction is of a global nature. (Not our problem alone).

But we will still provide relief measures for the economy...
Read 32 tweets
12 Nov 20
Recap in progress... #FinanceMinister

There is strong recovery in economy
Covid cases, fatality rate easing
Stock market capitalization at record high
Forex reserves at $560 bn
Energy consumption see 12% growth in Oct

Note: Only English notes will be provided, no translation😎
GST collections good, Bank credit improves by 5.1%, FDI inflows see 13% rise.
RBI predicts the possibility of a strong recovery by Q3, 1 quarter ahead of expectations.

Moody's revises India GDP forecast for:

CY20 to -8.9% from -9.6% earlier.
CY21 to 8.6% from 8.1% earlier.
Progress of announcements made during #AtmaNirbharBharat 1.0, 2.0

Recap on important ones only😀
- Inter-state portability of ration card achieved, covering 68.6 cr beneficiaries, across 28 states
- 1.5 cr monthly transactions on intra-state portable ration cards
Img: CNBC TV18
Read 20 tweets
23 Aug 20
(1/n) A thread on Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd.

Founded in 1991, #Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd. (KFIL) is in the business of Pig Iron and Grey Iron casting industry, serving infrastructure & construction, automotive, agriculture, manufacturing, textiles & steel sectors.
(2/n) Kirloskar Group was established in 1888. Laxmanrao Kashinath Kirloskar (20 Jun 1869 – 26 Sep 1956) was the founder of the Kirloskar Grp & the township of Kirloskarwadi, amongst India’s first industrial townships.
(3/n) Starting with a small bicycle repair shop at Belgaum on Kirloskar road, he manufactured India’s first iron plough, first Kirloskar product & chaff-cutters.

Shantanurao Kirloskar, Laxmanrao’s eldest son moved to Pune to start a diesel engines Co - Kirloskar Oil Engines Ltd.
Read 8 tweets
15 Jun 20
(1/n)Thread on "The Call to Boycott Made in China Products".
Src: CNBC TV18

#India's Trade Deficit with #China:
FY17: Rs.3,43,853 cr
FY18: Rs.4,06,241 cr
FY19: Rs.3,74,790 cr
FY20: Rs.3,06,634 cr (Apr-Jan)

#investment #AtmaNirbharBharat #coronavirus #economy #GDP #stockmarket
(2/n) India - China trade Imbalance:

Imports: US$70,408 mn
Exports: US$16,783 mn
Deficit: US$53,625 mn

#China #India #BoycottChina #BoycottMadeInChina #BoycottMadeInChina #investors #import #export #CoronavirusIndia
(3/n)- India's imports from China:
Category : Share
Manufacturing: 95.94%
Chemicals: 19.53%
Engg & Transportation: 30.67%
Electronics: 31.63%
Ores & Minerals: 1.62%
Agri & related: 0.44%
Crude & petro prdts: 1.42%
Others: 1.58%

#BoycottChina #BoycottMadeInChina
Read 5 tweets
1 Jun 20
(1/n) NSE Listed universe ownership trends:
- Total promoter ownership in NSE-listed #stocks⬆️by ~110bps (QoQ) to near 5 yr high of 50.9%
- FII ownership⬇️133bps (QoQ) to a 5 qtr low of 20.8% (highest sequential decline on a qtrly basis over last 19 yrs)
Src: NSE

#investments
(2/n) Top 20 companies by value of shares bought by promoters in the March quarter.

#investments #investors #stockmarkets #stocks #NSE #economy #lockdown2020
(3/n)
Ownership trend across key stakeholders by TOTAL market cap over last 3 years &
Ownership trend across key stakeholders by FLOATING stock over last 3 years

#investing #stockmarkets #investments #stocks #Nifty50 #Nifty #equities #trading
Read 7 tweets
22 May 20
#rbigovernor PC
- MPC voted in 5:1 ratio
- Repo rate reduced by 40bps from 4.4% to 4%
- Reverse repo rate cut to 3.35% from 3.75%
- Global economy headed into recession, with mfg PMI at 11 yr low
- Growth rate of EMs expected to be 2.6% to negative 6%.

#RBI #economy #India
- MPC maintaining accommodating stance till growth revives
- Prodn of most sectors declined rapidly, industrial production shrank by 17%
- Food grain prodn at record, normal monsoon expected
- Kharif sowing higher by 44%, Rabi procurement in full flow
- Farm incomes to improve;
- Merchandise exports plunged 60.3%, imports contracted by 58.6% (worst in many yrs) in Apr
- Reserves increased & at US$487 bn
- Inflation could increase due to supply chain issues; reappraisal of import duties needed
- EM economies expected to face further outflows

#RBItoday
Read 6 tweets
14 May 20
Thread on #FinanceMinister's 2nd PC.
- Focus on migrant workers, street vendors, traders, small farmers
- 9 steps in total: 3 for migrant workers, 1 to sishu loan mudra, 1 for street vendors, 2 for small farmers and some more...
- overlaps with packages will exist.

#20lacCrores
- 3 crore farmers availed loans at concessional rates, with loans aggregating to Rs. 4L cr.
- Interest subvention was extended till Mar & now till 31 May 2020
- 25 lakh new kisan credit cards given to marginal farmers, totaling 25,000 cr of loans

#20LakhCrorePackage #20lakhcrore
- Liquidity support for farmers & rural economy continued in last 2 mths (#COVID19 duration); Banks have lent continuously
- Refinancing of 29,000 cr by NABARD in Mar alone
- RIDF support of 4,200 cr for rural infra
- state govts sanctioned 6700 cr to procure agri produce
Read 8 tweets
24 Apr 20
#FranklinTempleton Concall highlights:
- Committed to India investments
- Providing daily liquidity is the challenge
- Will forego management fees
- orderly winding down is in best interest of the investor
- companies invoking force majeure
- Will return as soon as possible
(Inputs courtesy of @sathish_sesh)
- Trying to focus on other portfolio, to avoid panic redemption from other schemes
People from Templeton on call:
Vivek, Sanjay, Anand Radhakrishnan, CIO & Head of equity.

I think it is a serious liquidity issue but AMC will remain operational.
Kamath says:
- It all started with Covid, which necessitated to lock the economy
- Been in the market for 25 years
- We don't know how this will pan out in the short to medium term
- Risk appetite will come back only when there is clarity on the market

#investing #investment
Read 13 tweets
27 Mar 20
#rbigovernor Press meet pts:
- MPC advanced its mtg, evaluated macro economic conditions
- Voted for a 75 bps repo rate cut, 4-2 majority
- 5.15% to 4.4%,
- Reverse Repo rate reduced by 90 bps to 4%
- done this imbalanced cut for banks to support lending

#economy #Markets
Contd.
- Need to support growth considering economic conditions
- Will fight #COVIDー19 with measures available
- RBI is at work and in mission mode, monitoring financial conditions, will provide additional liquidity support
- will work for financial stability

#rbigovernor #RBI
Contd.
- FY20 GDP estimates given by CSO is at risk 🙄
- To contain intensity, spread of #CoronavirusOutbreak
- FY21 estimates at great risk
- Risk factors: Supply chain disruptions too high, upside growth impulses through fiscal & monetary policies
- Food inflation to soften.
Read 12 tweets