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tony nog #FBPE @tony_nog
, 11 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
1) "Parliament follows" - a #Brexit story
Been engaged in a long thread with @0Calamity and others with the common Corbynite theme:
"But what can Corbyn do? He's not in power"
For a "popular movement" there seems to be a lack of awareness of how they work.
So, what *can* he do?
2) well firstly we need to recognize two fairly obvious things.
a) unfortunately, 80% of our current MPs are, well, sheep. They follow, especially public opinion, they don't lead
b) the prerequisite for stopping Brexit is public opinion. This *must* be shifted or it won't stick
3) this is when Corbynistas chime in & say "look at the polls,enough people haven't shifted, if Corbyn opposed Brexit it would be political suicide"

Putting to one side the "party before country" bias which is obvious to any non Labour supporter, isn't this what Labour is about?
4) Corbyn's Labour is supposed to be a "movement", it's *supposed* to be able to shift the polls yet Corbynites appear to be shirking at the first opportunity.

Anyway, let's talk about public opinion, which is shifting against #Brexit and has been for months
5) this shift against #Brexit is remarkable when you consider the pro brexit press, BBC & both major parties.

Despite an establishment pro #Brexit position, it's still losing ground.

What would happen if one major party switched sides?
6) Now obviously we understand Labour is focused on keeping northern seats than what's actually best for their inhabitants but let's accept this wouldn't be a full on anti Brexit position, just an application of anti Brexit effects pressure, such as..
7) "we respect the vote but look at this CA/Vote Leave/dodgy funding? It undermines our democracy"
"We respect...but look at Airbus/BMW, we can't accept job losses"
"We respect...but the Brexiters, let's face it, are a total shower and bunch of zealots! Look what they promised"
8) anyway, the point being... parliament is the end goal, not the aim. MPs believe they are safe keeping their heads down and waving Brexit through.

When public opinion changes and their seats are threatened, they'll change sides double quick
9) ultimately Parliament will reverse Brexit, but only when public opinion changes a bit more (maybe 10%)

And Corbyn's Labour doesn't need to be in power to shift public opinion

(If it did need to be in power to change public opinion, then let's face it, it never will be)
10) kicking holes in #Brexit & this Government is the easiest opportunity ever handed to an opposition, all they have to do is answer every question with "of course we respect the vote however..."

It's a sleight of hand verbally, but we are talking about politicians here 😋
11) but basically that's it, move public opinion (or actually just support the opinion already moving) and Corbyn can create the anti Brexit atmosphere which will force MPs to act

Of course, he'd also have to *want* to, but that's a different story
End/
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