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Simon Evans @DrSimEvans
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Seeing a lot of excitement over California's greenhouse gas emissions falling to 1990 levels.

That's nothing!

UK CO2 emissions are back to **1890 levels**. Yes, you read that right. Here's the data:

carbonbrief.org/analysis-uk-ca…
For those asking, here are main reasons for recent CO2 emissions cuts in the UK

Now the CO2 gains from burning less coal are almost over, it's time to turn our attention elsewhere…

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1st wk of #COP24 is nearly over & climate talks are grinding slowly forward.

Negotiators have agreed new "iterations" of many parts of the Paris rulebook – even on climate finance. But there are some exceptions.

So where do things stand & what to look out for?

(lengthy) THREAD
Background 1

The aim is to agree the Paris "rulebook": the detailed technical guidance that will allow the Paris Agreement (pictured) to enter force in 2020.

Negotiators are working on a bunch of "agenda items" under the "Paris Agreement Work Programme"…
Background 2

…these bits of text started out as suggestions from countries and negotiating blocs. They are being progressively crafted – via "tools", "reflections notes" etc, see pic – into a series of options in "draft decision text".

carbonbrief.org/bangkok-climat…
Read 26 tweets
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This Dieter Helm article in the FT is packed so full of wrongness I hardly know where to start 🧐

He's been chanting the same "focus on R&D not deployment" mantra for so long he can't see how comprehensively wrong it has been proven 🙈

THREAD

1/
ft.com/content/8ffe8e…
Backstory 1

Prof Helm is a highly influential Oxford economist who wrote a report for Govt on the cost of UK energy

Long story but >>1yr later it is deep in long grass

Our coverage (NB how familiar it sounds to FT article…):

carbonbrief.org/depth-challeng…

carbonbrief.org/reaction-diete…
Backstory 2

After Helm's review was published, Govt took unusual step of sending it out for external consultation… here's a snapshot of responses:

Read 20 tweets
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Draft new EU 2050 climate strategy is built on a backbone of massive increases in renewables to meet 50-60% of energy supply – up from just over 10% today

(I'm back! Digging through more details from the 393pp #ClimateNeutralEU working doc…)

ec.europa.eu/clima/sites/cl…
Just as striking as the rise of renewables is the fall of fossil fuels. #ClimateNeutralEU pathways for 2050 don't include coal ("solids") and the 1.5C scenarios have hardly any oil ("fossil liquids") or gas.

NB also how coal's contribution already falls in half by 2030…
(Worth adding that the #ClimateNeutralEU pathways do still include a continuing role for oil in non-energy uses eg plastics, chemicals. This is a drum @IEA has been banging for a while now… world uses oil for lots of things, not just transport)
Read 12 tweets

Related threads

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🌊🌊🌊#California #Midterms #Election : A #votersguide🌊🌊🌊

(A) Please share/repost/comment to increase visibility and help someone vote. Please make one of these for your state. I'll try to keep these fairly succinct and cite sources where I can. This is how I'm voting:
(B) Governor: @GavinNewsom

Whether you're a Newsom loyalist or a contrarian who likes to impress their friends by not being for anything popular, here's your alternative: "President Trump Endorses Republican John Cox for..." Yeah, nope.

latimes.com/politics/la-po…
(C) Lt. Governor: Eleni Koulanakis @eleniforca

The Sac Bee/EMILY's List/Nancy Pelosi and Kamala Harris all endorse her. She seems highly qualified to tackle California's affordable housing and homelessness problems and out of the two candidates she's the only one who mentioned
Read 28 tweets
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Here are the 100 companies responsible for 71% (over 1 trillion tonnes) of greenhouse gas emissions.
A thread:
1. China (Coal)
2. Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Aramco) @Saudi_Aramco
3. Gazprom OAO @GazpromEN
4. National Iranian Oil Company
5. ExxonMobil Corp @exxonmobil
6. Coal India @CoalIndiaHQ
7. Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) @PemexGlobal
8. Russia (Coal)
9. Royal Dutch Shell @Shell
10. China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC)
11. BP PLC @BP_plc
12. Chevron Corp @Chevron
13. Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PDVSA)
14. AbuDhabi National Oil Co
15. Poland Coal
16. Peabody Energy Corp @peabodyenergy
17. Sonatrach SPA
18. Kuwait Petroleum Corp
19. Total SA @TotalSAfrica
Read 15 tweets
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Reading "The End of Influence: What Happens When Other Countries Have The Money" by J. Bradford DeLong. Great analysis of the problems created by neoliberalism. My only complaint is that we didn't "[use our] economic dominance exclusively for global good." a.co/1hJrwak
Other than that suspicious claim on page 1 (was the author intentionally ignoring all of the social democracies that the CIA worked so diligently to subvert during the Cold War, to benefit American companies at the expense of the people of the targeted countries?), good analysis.
The book was published in 2010, so the stress of the then-recent recession led the author to be more clear sighted about the dangers of America's excesses back when we "had the money." We don't "have the money" any more. China, Japan, sovereign wealth funds, and billionaires do.
Read 48 tweets
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1. It's time to talk -- again -- about Totten glacier, East Antarctica. In size, it’s somewhere between California and Texas. Single-handedly, it could raise global sea levels by nearly 13 feet. They basically don’t get any bigger than this. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.10…
2. Every year, as part of its normal outward flow, Totten sends 71 billion tons of ice into the ocean (but it also gains much of this ice back through snowfall). That’s more than any other glacier in East Antarctica, which is itself the largest ice mass on the globe, by far.
3. We worry a lot about West Antarctica these days. But as a new study notes, if Totten were to go it could raise sea levels more than all glaciers and all the ice in West Antarctica combined. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.10…
Read 16 tweets
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In discussions on the climate ‘hothouse’ paper, it’s interesting to see how annoyed some people get by the word stewardship. It’s labeled as anti-conservative, socialist, etc.
To me, stewardship is a positive word, and I remember it was e.g. often used by christian-democrats in this country. Checking it in the dictionary, I found this. Seems rather appropriate, given the climate crisis we’re causing.
Maybe the annoyance that "Earth system stewardship" causes has to do with the need for international cooperation it implies, for those who love competition?
Read 57 tweets
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(1) The #California Legislature is panicking tonight. They're currently presented with a watered-down #ConsumerProtection bill that would require tech companies to disclose the data collected on users, and delete the data collected on them at request. leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavC…
(2) This bill poses a huge threat to the profits of FAANG corporations, and it poses a threat to the companies who rely on this data to sell advertisers and political groups analytics on prospective consumers/voters.

Why is it such a problem, though?
(3) The #CCPA is actually quite milquetoast, as it's written now. But if they don't pass this bill, California has a much bigger problem coming for them in November: the will of the people.
Read 18 tweets

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