new @instituteforgov report sets out basic scenarios for the autumn.
key points. Defaults in the system are for no deal.
key points. Defaults in the system are for no deal.
@instituteforgov that is because of article 50 and the EU withdrawal act. For something else to happen govt needs a deal with the EU AND a Parliamentary majority to agree it
@instituteforgov parliament can vote down a PM deal and send her back - but the EU would need to allow UK to renegotiate and Parliament would need to endorse a renegotiated deal
@instituteforgov if Parliament really wants to dictate the future relationship it needs a majority for an off-the-shelf option. Anything else is up for negotiation with the EU.
@instituteforgov the autumn (winter) votes will all be about the withdrawal agreement..if there is one... if there isn't one, Parliament will get to discuss in January..
@instituteforgov There are options to try to break a potential stalemate if one emerges. But the real pressure (from both EU and UK govt) may come through time... a late deal and a Parliamentary rush.
