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Beth Rigby @BethRigby
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Sky Views: Ending austerity is PM's big Brexit con > Designed solely to push Chequers through her own party, the PM has given Corbyn not just an open goal but an empty pitch on which to play the Tories news.sky.com/story/sky-view…
The No 10 narrative will go like this: ‘Vote down Chequers and risk economic Armageddon’ (complete with some scary Treasury modelling on what a No-Deal looks like)
The whips will then use the prospect of economic Armageddon to press wobbling Brexiteers - and Labour MPs - to vote with May on Brexit
But, many Tories furious about the ‘ending austerity’ pledge. Brexiteers hate the tactics, while other Tories angry May promising what she can’t/shouldn’t deliver. All the while Labour have an enormous stick with which to beat the Tories (as per PMQs yesterday)
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DUP abstains. DUP source; this was designed to be a warning shot. ‘Weren’t trying to hurt govt but to show them that we won’t necessarily follow them through the voting lobby’
DUP met with the chief whip today. Told the meeting was frank and @JulianSmithUK left in no doubt that DUP requires the PM to keep promises made for NI in order for them to keep theirs
And..... on the matter of voting down the Budget & withdrawing from confidence & supply deal, DUP source suggests that PM ‘could go because she can’t hold together her govt, and someone else could take over’ >> that’s pretty, er, punchy.
Read 3 tweets
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NEW: No-deal roaming charges. Govt confirms my story that surcharge-free roaming "cannot be guaranteed" in the event of a no-deal Brexit. Govt also (as I reported) says it will legislate to apply limits if necessary. Notes some operators "no current plans" to change approach
And.... While govt keen to stress companies covering 85% of consumers say have "no current plans" to reintroduce roaming charges, that is very different from current EU's legal protection, aka 'Roam Like at Home'. And 15% consumers NOT covered in that pledge (a lot of phones)
NO DEAL DRIVING: You'll need an international permit to drive in EU. AA bemoans "extra burden" & says it's disappointed these permits can only be issued at Post Offices. Cost = £5.50. Queue times? NAO said PO's might have to issue up to 7m of these permits in first year... urgh
Read 6 tweets
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Top story on @SkyNews this morning: Tories openly discussing ousting May at an ERG meeting last night: Brexiteers clearly split between those who want a true Brexiteer in power (some Johnson supporters and those who want to chuck Chequers not here (the @DavidDavisMP camp)
But have they got the numbers? Could get the 48 letters into the 1922 chair to trigger a confidence vote, but No 10 sources say May will stay and fight......
Once confidence vote triggered, half the parliamentary party (near 160 MPs) would have to vote against her to force a leadership bid. No 10 sources clear she won’t stand down unless she loses a confidence vote. So there simply aren’t the numbers to force her out, yet.....
Read 6 tweets

Related threads

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1) Corbyn reality check
I'll admit I've never been a Corbyn fan, my personal low point was actually the Sky TV special he did just before the Ref

I actually hoped he'd push a pro EU line but instead, he spent more time on rail nationalisation than the EU, it was very depressing
2) the follow up with "we must trigger article 50 immediately" was shocking in itself but it was also the first time I saw Corbyn supporters pushing a "but what he meant was.." to any significant degree. That's the moment I suppose people really got entrenched either side
3) and its easy to understand why Corbyn's supporters feel under siege with the constant attacks.

But as we approach a cliff edge #Brexit in 100 days & Corbyn's limitations are helping to get us there, perhaps its time for a retrospective - maybe everyone was right?
Read 27 tweets
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I am sick of hearing warnings about how if #Brexit is cancelled it will result in violence and therefore we should go ahead with brexit through fear of racists
A lot of this comes from the right who know their project #Brexit is falling apart but whoever now expects anything better or indeed anything good at all from them. It's when you hear it from left wingers it really angers me
People who are receptive to the idea that immigrants have taken the jobs or depressed wages or pushed up housing costs or stretched public services often have genuine grievances in employment housing or access to health and education which are ignored
Read 23 tweets
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1. Remainers had every advantage in the referendum.As much as they had the establishment advantage we also has the worst Leave campaign in the history of political campaigns. #Brexit thread
2. From the outset journalists were asking "where's the plan" and both campaigns elected not to have one, while they bickered among themselves with very public disputes over Twitter. Leave EU went from bad to worse to abysmal.
3. Instead of trying to win over the swing vote, Banks, thinking he was a British Steve Bannon, completely misreading the public, doubled down on the grunty Breitbart propaganda which was only ever going to win over those who had already decided to vote leave.
Read 12 tweets
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Jeremy Corbyn is a lifelong brexist he has voted with the tory Europhobe right more times than any other Labour MP #Brexit might be said to be his most consistent belief
Corbyn's own brother said he would have campaigned to leave if he wasn't labour leader #brexit
Old friends and political allies are all of the same opinion Jeremy corbyn would have campaigned for #Brexit had he not been Labour leader
Read 20 tweets
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1. So today it looks like #Brexit has gone on the back-burner for the Tories. They have now entered a full blown civil war where Brexit is the proxy issue but the row is more to do with who will lead them into the next election. That's all that matters to them.
2. Brexit may be the theme, but this isn't about which plan wins out because everyone knows Chequers will not work. The ERG faction just maintain the pantomime that it is a serious proposition because the average Tory voter (not by accident) thinks it is a plan in play.
3. Consequently we now see Tory activists siding with the ultras even though the ultras don't have a plan. They don't even care about Brexit. They've just convinced themselves that Chequers, or more precisely Theresa May, will lose them the next election.
Read 10 tweets
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1) "Parliament follows" - a #Brexit story
Been engaged in a long thread with @0Calamity and others with the common Corbynite theme:
"But what can Corbyn do? He's not in power"
For a "popular movement" there seems to be a lack of awareness of how they work.
So, what *can* he do?
2) well firstly we need to recognize two fairly obvious things.
a) unfortunately, 80% of our current MPs are, well, sheep. They follow, especially public opinion, they don't lead
b) the prerequisite for stopping Brexit is public opinion. This *must* be shifted or it won't stick
3) this is when Corbynistas chime in & say "look at the polls,enough people haven't shifted, if Corbyn opposed Brexit it would be political suicide"

Putting to one side the "party before country" bias which is obvious to any non Labour supporter, isn't this what Labour is about?
Read 11 tweets

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