Folks, it's not "really" that indies are swinging last minute like this. It doesn't actually happen exactly like that. What you see is different people now saying they're going to vote. There's a difference. They're older, more conservative less moderate. Watch this, follow along
From October 16 - 19, Rouda led Rohrabacher 49% to 32%. Very similar results across SoCa districts. Here that is... but keep following... docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
The percentage describing themselves as "conservative" was just 36%. Now, it's 44% because these people either did vote or decided they would since. Judging by their vote history, we basically should've known they would all along. And indy margin swings. docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
And just to be clear, that was the margin among indies only. In truth, it was their entrance that increased the "conservative" percentage of the overall electorate.
And naturally, at this point, chances of catching him with that early vote lead banked = near nil.
