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Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Catching up on last night's vote count. The late mail ballot margins put Democrats on track for victory in all of CA39, CA45, and CA10, supposing those margins continue, as expected.
Won't be called for a while, but might not even be all that close in some of these races
That would put the Democrats at +38 in the House; +39 if you think they're favored in ME-2 ranked choice (and I think they are)
And CA48 is obviously done. I haven't even been looking at it. Projectable, as far as I'm concerned
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More from @Nate_Cohn see all

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Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
We got a glimpse of conditions that yield a viable third party bid in 1992, when Perot was tied or even ahead in polls ahead of the DNC.
Here, CBS/NYT in 6/92: B32, P30, C24
Bush app: 34%
Clinton fav/unfav: 16/40
Perot fav/unfav: 26/20
By all measures, status quo less conducive
(I would also argue that Schultz is not as well positioned to take advantage of whatever opening exists as Perot was, but that's a separate question)
Of course, we haven't had many vigorous third party bids.
But it makes sense to me that you'd want to see *both* Trump approval and likely Dem nominee favorability under at least 35, and probably lower, before there was a real opening
Read 4 tweets
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Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
I'm so upset right now. Infuriating game
Forget the Q4 refs. The offensive play calling is outrageous. Wilson is the best player on the field and he wasn't even given a chance to win this game
I really can't remember a more upsetting game. I really don't get upset easily, but "shuffle" on the playbook might have been better offensive playcalling
Read 4 tweets
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Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
The missing NC-9 vote nytimes.com/2018/12/07/ups…
A minor note here--this data will differ somewhat from most other analysis in that I've removed all of the absentee voters who wound up voting by other means (in person on election day or in early voting) or who appear to have change counties since they applied
Interestingly, some (perhaps all, didn't go through) voters who submitted affidavits about people picking up their absentee ballots wound up voting by other means (which makes sense, since clearly they realized something was up)
Read 3 tweets

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Time4U2Know
@Time4U2Know
#Q was Lighting it up last night! LOTS of info. Open for discussion on this post. The QPosts talk about the Scaramucci Play & how it’s “Dangerous to those who are targeted”

But then, IMO, Q does something different. He, potentially ties the Scaramucci “model” directly to 5:5.,.
We’ve been taught by to read between the lines:

5:5?
Those who left...did not have a choice.
All...MAGA...loyal...to POTUS?
Why are we attacked by pro MAGA?
The ‘establishment’ runs deep.
Logical thinking.
Q
Observation #1:
Yesterday afternoon #VincentKennedy (@VincentCrypt46) had a MAGA supporter jump on his thread out of nowhere causing a “stirring” so to say. The LAST post this MAGA supporter made was at 12:45a 12/17/19. Within 20 minutes Q posts to the board Qpost 2746.,.
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Praying Medic
@prayingmedic
1) This is my Q thread for November 2, 2018

Q posts can be found here: qmap.pub

Android apps:
bit.ly/Q_Drops
bit.ly/Q-alerts

My theme: Do Not Let Them DIVIDE You
2) After last posting on October 9th, Q is back on the board.
3) Heads up to those who watch General Flynn's Twitter page:
His background changed during the last 24 hours.
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Ali Adair
@AliAdair22
🔥🔥🔥Michael Beschloss was on @Morning_Joe promoting his new book "Presidents of War" and said that he wouldn't be surprised if Trump didn't use WAR as a political cover for the Russia investigation.

💥What if Trump uses WAR or some terrorist incident before November 6th?
🇷🇺This is from Putin's playbook which he has been using every step of the way.

Read this to find out how Putin came into power in Russia.👇

📉Yeltsin wanted Putin to succeed him (so he could be pardoned for crimes), but only had a 2% approval rating.

✍️Many journalists wrote that the terrorist incidents—4 bombings that killed 293 people & injured more than 1000—were the work of the FSB, ordered by Putin.

🗞️Some of those journalists are dead.

🦸‍♂️The citizens, understandably terrified, hailed Putin as their hero.
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Peach's momma 🍑
@kissoohae
🔹

He wakes up once again to an empty room. He looks for his phone which he finds at the dresser with his car key. His shoes neatly arranged next to the closet and curtains drawn.

He checks the bathroom but there is no sign of the younger.

Failing to have his call picked up,
he sends a text and starts to feel anxious.

Did Kyungsoo run away?

He opens the closet and finds their bags with their wallets inside. It means the other only has his phone with him.

And he's not answering any calls and texts.

He's seriously getting worried.
If before, he could contact his cousin and ask of his whereabouts, right now he doesn't have anyone to turn to.

Just then the door opens, revealing a drenched Kyungsoo. The younger just stands there, at the doorway with a bashful smile.

"What happened to you? Why are you wet?"
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Louise Fisher
@LouiseFishe
Just spent my lunch break catching up on last night's #dispatches 'getting rich from the housing crisis' - some thoughts:
It's certainly true that we are losing genuinely affordable homes at a time when we need them more than ever - @CIHhousing analysis show we lost more than 150,000 homes for social rent between 2012 and 2017 alone cih.org/news-article/d…
The total figure is made up of 103,642 local authority homes & 46,972 housing association homes, mostly due to homes being converted to ‘affordable rent’ or being sold through right to buy - dispatches focused solely on housing associations & didn't mention right to buy at all
Read 9 tweets

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