1/ Here’s a thing.
Forget “trade war” tensions with CHINA.
A low probability, very high magnitude event that would surprise most, send shocks to markets and be top headline globally:
A Crimea -like move by CHINA on Taiwan...
Forget “trade war” tensions with CHINA.
A low probability, very high magnitude event that would surprise most, send shocks to markets and be top headline globally:
A Crimea -like move by CHINA on Taiwan...
2/ The symbolic “groundwork” has been laid.
The bridge socializing us to natural extension + (re)connection to Hong Kong (finished weeks ago) after Hong Kong’s now 20yr return to China 🇨🇳from Britain🇬🇧.
The bridge socializing us to natural extension + (re)connection to Hong Kong (finished weeks ago) after Hong Kong’s now 20yr return to China 🇨🇳from Britain🇬🇧.
3/ Taiwan has major US navy fleet with China naval HQ at Zhanjiang in the south + Ningbo to the north of Taiwan...
4/ Notably if you do a search for “taiwan strait”—
Look at what image pops up next to the map...
Look at what image pops up next to the map...
5/ Let’s expand that image with some headlines from a few months ago...
6/ The odds are very low. But the stakes high.
What global distraction or preoccupation—or what potentially engineered domestic or coastal crisis might cause China to make a move to ‘protect or reclaim’ Taiwan?
What would US reaction be?
What leverage may China use to mute it?
What global distraction or preoccupation—or what potentially engineered domestic or coastal crisis might cause China to make a move to ‘protect or reclaim’ Taiwan?
What would US reaction be?
What leverage may China use to mute it?
