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Alex Barker @alexebarker
, 8 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Wow
Hats off to @JolyonMaugham et al.

Against the odds -- at least if you go by the consensus among lawyers in Brussels before this case was heard
The final ruling may be different.

The Advocate General opinion is followed in the overwhelming majority of case.

BUT the exceptions tend to be the ones that are, well, more politically charged
On a broader point:

There are many legal risks taken in the draft withdrawal treaty.

There will be many more in future EU/UK agreements

And in the end the ECJ can step in, and toss it all out, just as it did with the first EEA deal in 1991

eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/…
Here is our full story

ft.com/content/a17f13…
My hunch, fwiw, is that the court will follow this opinion with a couple of small caveats.

Not even the ECJ is "independent" enough from political reality to release an AG opinion with big implications for UK debate in full expectation that it will be completely ignored.
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The Walloon Solution, codicils, the Danish-Dutch fix -- what on earth does all this have to do with Brexit?

Here's my (probably futile) attempt to explain
The challenge: Theresa May needs a legally binding reassurance on the Northern Ireland backstop that does not actually change Britain's exit treaty.
The Danes faced this problem in 1992 when they voted down the Maastricht treaty.

With (a little) help from the Brits and some nifty footwork from @piris_jc a creative solution was found.

(@OleRyborg says it was first written on a copy of the FT during a Brazil-Norway flight)
Read 17 tweets
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Warning: some Brexit heresy coming up.

It is possible to:

1) substantially renegotiate the exit treaty

2) ditch the backstop customs union

3) secure a workable "Norway for Now" option

4) get the EU to agree

*ALL AT THE SAME TIME*
The answer: reverting to the draft deal Theresa May and Dominic Raab rejected in mid-October.

Remember this? ft.com/content/e5ecd6…

There is one important hitch. You could probably call this model "DUP Minus" -- and therein lies the problem.
First on why it's possible.

The EU is hugely reluctant to reopen the exit treaty.

But it might accept the Oct version because it's pre-cooked.

The draft is ready. The compromises are balanced. There would be no stampede of big EU27 demands (there'd be minor things of course)
Read 11 tweets
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The leaked Brexit declaration
The summary of the trade relationship
Not frictionless but as close as possible
Read 16 tweets

Related threads

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#Breaking: The protests against the #Marrakechpact in #Brussels is coming slowly on an start! They are starting to arrive! More trains to expect to arrive! already a few hundreds gathered!
#Update: Video of the protests in #Brussels against the UN Migration Pact of #Marrakech what state members will sign tomorrow in the UN New York headquarters Building!
#Update: Some more pictures of the protests in #Brussels against the #UN Migration Pact of #Marrakech what state members will sign tomorrow in the UN New York headquarters Building!
Read 55 tweets
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I'm not too happy with Q lately, voter fraud needed addressed sooner, Demons should never have been allowed to steal seats. 2019 is too late.

The stuff about Greencastle is BS
The stuff about selling GOOG shares also BS

Rumors Huber lost Clinton foundation docs

RR still in

??
Turns out the only one doing anything about Clinton foundation were private bounty hunters, where was the DOJ?

It looks like Sessions, RR, Huber et al have been stalling, hoping the problem would go away.
Have never trusted Wray, has possible ties to those bluebeam2.0 fucks, and Skull and Bones
Read 5 tweets
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I, too, like to portray a position that is by default backing for the position of both major parties and most of Fleet Street as “pissing the powerful off”.
Maybe she’s scared the Lib Dems are going to use their vast network of influence to damage her career.
I do actually find it interesting, by the way. Just not in the way she thinks. It’s grist for my theory “everybody likes to think of themselves as an insurgency, nobody likes to think of themselves as establishment”.
Read 15 tweets
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New thread. NBC report has a detail about Ted Malloch's role that warrants more scrutiny. It says Corsi passed along the job of Wikileaks intermediary to Ted Malloch, and that eight days later Corsi sent Stone an email about what information WL had.

If Malloch was a go-between for the campaign and Wikileaks, what does that mean for Donald Trump?
In Nov 2016, Malloch says he's had "a lot of contact" with the campaign and had been involved for "a year and a half." Believes he will be appointed somewhere
In May 2017, Malloch told reporters in Brussels that he had interviewed twice at Trump Tower for the post of EU Ambassador. Same month, Mueller is appointed, and State and WH begin denying not just that Malloch is a candidate but also that he ever was.

wsj.com/articles/u-s-c…
Read 8 tweets
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For those following the IAAF T regulations issue, Handelsman et al 2018 was just published: doi.org/10.1210/er.201…
Interestingly IAAF lawyers, IOC and WADA thanked in the acknowledgments.
Study authors work for/funded by IAAF.
In Handelsman et al 2018 the only performance study of elite female athletes cited is ... BG2017 (the one with the flawed data).
This is a great (frustrating, scary) example of how bad science propagates quickly ⬇️
Of note, Handelsman et al. 2018 ignores other directly relevant recent work
Most notably
Betancurt et al. 2018 ➡️tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.108…
Meiner 2018➡️
bjsm.bmj.com/content/early/…
Tsk tsk
Read 6 tweets
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After 70 years of imperial/neoliberal indoctrination the web of lies is so obviously absurde (9/11, Skripal, WH = ISIS, etc.), that it is dissoluting. The empathetic humanity connects, closes ranks and sends their eternal psychopathic rulers and their lackeys into nowhere land.
The "evil empire" is a lifelong three year old child. I certainly loved my children at that age too, however only because they created not only a surreal mess, but also made steady progress.

A great documentary about psychopathy and society:
The elite invented "democracy" to protect them from the empathetic people. The media are their means for misleading the people sedated by "democracy". This is definitely a bad thing since the people have become educated and the elite almost totally insane.
Read 209 tweets

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