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Simon Wardley #EEA @swardley
, 9 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
Conversational programming looks likely to be built upon the serverless space, it won't be the only interface but yes ... you could describe conversational programming as part of a "codeless" future @tetradian ... but please note ... ->
a) It will still use code, so expect lots of "codeless uses code" arguments and banging heads on walls.
b) some applications will need to dig into the underlying infrastructure i.e. code
c) over time as "codeless" becomes industrialised, a new set of practices will co-evolve
d) the co-evolved practices will cause a new faction, so expect a future @forrestbrazeal cartoon along with the inevitable happy clappy Kumbaya of "We're all DevOps together"
@forrestbrazeal e) the change will lead to an explosion of higher order systems but expect big US strategy consultants to go "It's only for startups", "It'll reduce IT costs", "It'll save energy" ... of course, they're wrong.
f) Lots of company CIOs will declare "they will build their own" and waste billions in the pursuit of empire protection.
g) The change will be rapid i.e. 10-15 yrs to become norm after industrialisation starts.
h) Amazon will own it (unless something radical happens)
i) Some muppet will make a career and sell a book (very short lived) on how "codeless" means we won't need developers ... ignoring how software engineering will evolve and adapt. We will in practice need more.
j) security models will change ... again. New vectors of attack.
k) Main source of inertia to the change will exist in the serverless practice world due to the introduction of "serverless" practices and related certifications.
... we could go on. Don't expect industrialisation of conversational programming to kick off for a good 15-20 years.
X : Could industrialisation not happen earlier.
Me : Potentially. There is a lot of learning to do beforehand though. However, you can certainly prepare for it well in advance. Most won't and will be once again "disrupted" by the entirely predictable. Doh. It happens a lot.
... the good news? By the time conversational programming starts to industrialise (rough guess, 15-20 yrs from now) then mapping (with luck) will have spread further and some executives / companies will act with a bit more gumption. I call this phase "headless chicken less"
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