Thread by @tony_nog

1) Thread - 2nd ref - we need to talk about appeasement

As we move towards a #PeoplesVote there's lots of talk about a "backlash" & consequences

We need to get real, all options will have similar consequences, because far right appeasement doesn't work
standard.co.uk/news/politics/…

2) as can be seen from Mogg's angry response to his botched coup, we're not dealing with normal politicians on the Leave side but populist thugs & agitators, who will not be placated because they are driven by dissent & disruption.

The faux posh voice is just a front

3) there's 3 options
- 2nd ref
- May's deal
- No deal

Yes, a 2nd ref and reversal will cause a backlash, but at least it would have democratic credibility, it would have been voted for and the majority, by definition, would be happy. Let's look at the other options.

4) May's deal - everyone hates it. It might be the sensible compromise but no one voted for it. Remainers would be unhappy but the agitators would call it a sell out, a surrender of sovereignty, a betrayal of Leave, not the Brexit we voted for.

Division would be stoked

5) as we move into the trade deal negotiations this would continue. We'd be in the same weakened negotiation position as we are now and we would need to pay heavily for a decent trade deal.

Every climb down would be seen as a further betrayal. This isn't the answer.

6) but what if we went for No Deal instead? It's what the agitators apparently want, what the far right are demanding, why not appease them?

The answer is in the question. They can't be appeased.

No deal would be our Versailles moment, destitution forced on us by the EU

7) when the economic hit of no deal arrives, does anyone seriously believe that Mogg & the agitators will shrug and say "well, its what we voted for"

Does anyone really think it's credible that Brexit leaders will accept responsibility when they haven't so far?

Nonsense

8) Mogg and the agitators will use the economic shock as a weapon, the EU, through vindictiveness, forcing poverty on the UK, the latest in a long line of humiliations.
The impacts of no planes flying, food & drug shortages etc would be portrayed as EU hostile acts

9) we know people are sick of Brexit. No one really wants a 2nd ref, but what other options do we have?

Mogg & the ERG are not normal politicians. A normal politician would have accepted defeat on the confidence vote with grace & integrity

standard.co.uk/news/politics/…

10) the Far right cannot be appeased with any Brexit, just as they can't be appeased with any "fixes to FoM", it's naive to even try

There is no route that avoids agitation, so it's best to face it with a stronger country, in the EU, with a democractic mandate

11) however, if you are an MP talking about "civil unrest following a 2nd ref" you've either got an agenda, or you're happy to surrender to mob rule in which case step aside for someone with courage & integrity

You cannot appease the far right, and you shouldn't even try
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