1) Article 50 - its very simple
Inspired by the excellent thread below, thought I would supplement with a few unicorn kills of my own around Article 50
Inspired by the excellent thread below, thought I would supplement with a few unicorn kills of my own around Article 50
2) contrary to popular belief the EU27 are not stupid and they listen to our MPs and media, so crass comments about A50 manipulation are pointless
3) A50 cannot be paused. It can be revoked by the UK, it can be extended by agreement of the whole of the EU27. They are the only 2 options.
4) A50 can be revoked but not as a delaying tactic, it can only be revoked because the UK has decided to stay in the EU
There is no "Stop A50 until we sort Brexit out", this is English exceptionalism
There is no "Stop A50 until we sort Brexit out", this is English exceptionalism
5) A50 can be extended but only if there is a genuine option for Remain (via a pending ref or a GE with a Remain party)
It will not be extended for renegotiation, or for a GE with 2 Brexit supporting parties
It will not be extended for renegotiation, or for a GE with 2 Brexit supporting parties
6) therefore, a GE won't fly unless Labour adopt pro remain
There's no time for any new negotiation
There is no "pause" to sort Brexit out
Nor revoking A50, having a UK debate, then resubmitting
There's no time for any new negotiation
There is no "pause" to sort Brexit out
Nor revoking A50, having a UK debate, then resubmitting
7) various politicians in Labour and the Tory Party (being used to equivocation & avoiding straight answers) are trying to promote positions that don't actually exist, this has been the signature of Brexit
8) gradually however the penny is dropping that the options are very simple
- no deal
- May's deal
- Remain
No "managed no deal", no "Labour better deal" & no Norway+
They all require a unilateral EU27 extension of A50 which won't happen
- no deal
- May's deal
- Remain
No "managed no deal", no "Labour better deal" & no Norway+
They all require a unilateral EU27 extension of A50 which won't happen
9) To get to Remain, there's only 3 options:
- Revoke A50
- Negotiate an extension for a 2nd Ref
- Negotiate an extension for a GE with an unambiguous Pro Remain Labour or Tory party fighting the election
- Revoke A50
- Negotiate an extension for a 2nd Ref
- Negotiate an extension for a GE with an unambiguous Pro Remain Labour or Tory party fighting the election
10) 3 options to solve Brexit, 2 very specific ways to change A50, 3 specific routes to remain
No other options feasible
The failure of British politics & our media is how much air time we'll waste over the coming months indulging politicians on their fantasy alternatives
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No other options feasible
The failure of British politics & our media is how much air time we'll waste over the coming months indulging politicians on their fantasy alternatives
End/
