I know you are already in full Christmas mode, but we need to talk about #Draghitieguesses
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Du9Epc7X0AA0Zxb.jpg)
1) you can bet on the most frequent ties and exclude the low frequency ones
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Du9H6a6X4AAcqLe.jpg)
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Du9I2KvW0AEMRbS.jpg)
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Du9JPDcXgAAh-TD.jpg)
1) econometrics is not our thing
2) there is no correlation between the colour of the tie and the market impact
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Du9JxweXQAAnwG-.jpg)
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Du9JxwdXcAIHqVG.jpg)
Now the question is why are people interested in the clothes of a central banker, a small civil servant, a technician?