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1. PM's EXACT words are going to matter a lot-if she says MPs would have another vote on whether to delay departure or leave with no deal, if her deal falls, that might hold Remainer ministers in their jobs - as it implicitly means delay as Commons v unlikely to choose no deal
2. And if that is all she says, one senior Brexiteer predicts ERG will stay relatively schtum today rather than create fireworks - they still want to see what actually comes back from negotiations ahead of March 12th
3. But....if PM is more explicit and says she would actively choose delaying Brexit, then we are in different territory - and expect eurosceptics to go tonto
4. From track record tho, don't be surprised if PM keeps it as opaque as possible - allowing her to get through another difficult week, just about managing (you might say) without making a concrete, grand, personal commitment on what she would do if deal falls again by March 12th
5. Last thought before we know what she says later - her move today, however limited, does show that former Remainers in govt finally able to put pressure on together in enough number to force PM to move - that's really not always been the case
