Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Leave

Most recents (24)

Altijd leuk als mensen een #thread maken over hun ideeën.
@PietLekkerkerk maakte een thread over de #EU-standpunten van #FvD omdat hij vindt dat deze standpunten onzinnig zijn.
Hier👇zijn thread en mijn antwoord.
#Draad!
1/31
Piet vraagt (tweet 3👇) naar de onderbouwing voor 2 beweringen van #FvD:

-dat de EU ons miljarden kost
-dat economieën in Zuid-Europa kapot gaan door de #EU

Eerst gaan we kijken naar de miljarden.
2/31
Piet stelt dat het ‘maar’ 1 miljard per jaar is.
Zijn linkje werkt niet meer, dus ik heb zelf even gegoogeld en kwam hier terecht.
Volgens de EU zelf👇 betaalde NL in 2017 bijna 2 miljard meer dan het ontving.
3/31
europa.eu/european-union…
Read 32 tweets
Hello pro-EU friends and #FBPE - I want to tell you about my #NewYearsEve - or part of it...

The bit where I suddenly encountered a group of rowdy #leave rs in a large peaceful crowd of revellers... 1/n
I would like you to consider this story carefully before you decide to take yourself and your loved ones onto the streets anywhere in the UK on the 31st January..
bc if anything happens, it will be the pro-EU people who will be blamed.. 2/n

#sardinesUK
I was out of the UK, in a European country, an EU country. Two of us had had a lovely evening, watched a bit of an open air concert, and wandered round a Christmas street market

We had a beer in a cafe, something nice to eat, and wandered up to the high ramparts 3/n
Read 18 tweets
1/
#Thread
#ToryElectionFraud
#ElectionResults2019
#Election2019
Today, I have been thinking about last Thursday.
And I want all sides to read this..
Process it..
And draw your own conclusions.
This is not “lefty tears”.
Nor is it “typical remoaner”.
Read on..
2/
Think back to last summer.
#Maybot resignation.
#Conservatives have a leadership election.
Tory #leave get their candidate #Johnson
That’s the Stall set out.
It begins..
The “die in a ditch” sound bite.
Four losses at #meaningfulvote
Twenty one expelled Tory #remain.
3/
Expulsions.
Defections.
#Greave
#TIG
#LibDems taking Tory overspills.
Parliament is shook, but it isn’t finished yet troops.
#c4news starts to creep into being partisan.
The BBC go full on.
#Peston sells his soul to Diablo.
A corporate takeover.
Read 26 tweets
#ElectionResults2019 were not a surprise.

I predicted a Tory majority of 30 to 40 before the election.

The size of the Tory majority is a surprise & reflects Labour's disastrous policy of cancelling #Brexit

Jo Swinson's LibDems Nazi Party got hammered she lost her seat 🤣🤣🤣
We now get #BRINO with Boris.

Boris's deal is Lipstick on the Pig of Theresa May's disastrous & Treasonous non-exit "WithDrawal Agreement."

We remain Slaves, paying £16bn a year, to be under the total control of the EU & all current & future regulations
#ElectionResults2019
We now get total farce of Boris "negotiating" a Trade Deal for a year.

EU have got us right where they want us.
Paying £16bn a year to be Slaves under total EU control.
EU will NEVER negotiate a fair deal

ONLY way we can Leave is with "No Deal" on WTO terms
#ElectionResults2019
Read 20 tweets
🇬🇧🗳️ Résultats presque définitifs des élections au #RoyaumeUni :

Conservateurs 43,6% (+1,2) / 363 élus (+47)
Travaillistes 32,2% (-7,8) / 203 élus (-59)
LibDems 11,5% (+4,2) / 11 élus (-1)
SNP 3,9% (+0,8) / 48 élus (+13)
🇬🇧🗳️ En termes de voix, c'est la meilleure performance des conservateurs depuis 1979.
🇬🇧🗳️ La principale évolution d'un point de vue électoral, c'est l'effondrement des travaillistes dont l'électorat est parti de tous les côtés :

➡️partis pro-#Remain (LibDems, Verts, SNP, PC)
➡️partis pro-#Leave (Brexit Party, Conservateurs)
➡️abstention
Read 23 tweets
I want to share a new paper. Its relevant to #GE2019. The findings are quite exemplary of the misguidedness of much of economic & social policy under the #ConservativeParty. It should be a harbinger to wary voters: there is more of the same under the Tories & with #Brexit. 1/..
The short summary: the reform to housing benefit from 2011 onwards was intended to save the public purse hundreds of millions. But quite the reverse happened: not only did it create huge amounts of misery and agony, it also ended up not saving the public much money at all. 2/..
What happened? From April 2011 onwards, local housing allowance was massively cut from covering up to the median level of rents, to only cover up to the 30th percentile of market rents. Here is a map of how this affected households in terms of expected losses per week. 3/..
Read 17 tweets
FEAR1/8
In this excellent #LSE article a last look at #Projectfear before #GE2019

No projections because we can now look backwards. Short summary 👇 credit to LSE.

1️⃣ You're individually £2868 worse off just due to the #Brexit created sterling crash X number of family members
FEAR2/8
2️⃣ + £1700 per household worse from slow GDP growth, if you don't think you are it's because you're relatively affluent and haven't felt⏬

3️⃣ #Brexflation adds 2.9% to cost of total food and clothes, or £870 a year a household. Far more than any VAT changes could negate
FEAR3/8
4️⃣ Brexiters told you a cheaper £ helps exports.
Not.
No one is really independent in an interconnected world, component import cost has wiped out any #Brexit export gain.

Children in the 1970s knew printing money wasn't a solution. Yet tories sold it to 42% of us again
Read 8 tweets
So why I think the #GE2019 is really not done yet. A short thread. The summary: I think a hung parliament is still a very likely and a desirable outcome for the UK. I first present some evidence on the former, and then my view on the desirability on the latter. #Brexit
1. Most opinion polls now point to a #Cons maj, including yesterday's @YouGov MRP. MRP is great in the tool box, but still relies on raw polling data. Here, bit.ly/2q0iSFW, I argue here that YouGov samples for BES do appear structurally different and potentially biased
2. Opinion polls are still mostly conducted at national level, ignoring constituency-level factors. My PhD student @EleAla shows that in UK, turnout tends to be systematically lower the "safer" a seat is. And this effect is increasing in the poll national lead of the incumbent..
Read 18 tweets
I've written about #Brexit since 2015 #FBPE, mostly in threads to go deeper than Twitter otherwise allows.

Typically I give a pic summary, with a thread of evidence. Trust nothing without source material. Use, bookmark or share what I do - it's made for you.

Let's #StopBrexit.
The main Tread runs continuously, off links are topics.

Thread 1. "Opposing The Brexits is a Democratic Obligation".

The original 2016 Brexit is lost. And with it any democratic consent. #StoptheCoup is accurate. It is a Coup.

Thread 2. "A Return to the EEC"

So could there have been a compromise between #Remain and #Leave that left the UK better off?

This thread was the culmination of about a year's work to find one.

Not easy. Not perfect. But far far better than Boris.

Read 10 tweets
Hard factual headlines will follow this one:

"Tories have maxed up UK state debt by 2.5 times in just 9 and half years!" This is unprecedented in peacetime!

1/15
"Despite #Tory #Lies to the contrary? UK #economy is flat on its back, and likely to fall further - GDP was just 0.1% in the 6 months to 30sep19 being our worst showing since the financial crash!"

2/15
GDP(Gross Domestic Product) = total output of UK #economy, on which vital tax-take depends. HMG needs our tax (from companies, employees, householders) to fund OUR public services. Flat GDP growth (low % uplift) means less capability to fund services on which we depend!

3/15
Read 16 tweets
#Brexit's 'nightmare alley' from 100 miles high. A 'house of horrors' story with a happy ending? But only if we vote for an end to the 'biggest heist in history'! 1/
Cameron launched his cunning plan (Bruges 2013) which only half worked? Spoiler! A cautionary tale, never to be followed! being nothing to do with improved welfare for the vast majority of Brits. 2/
Cam's plan was to kill off the Tories' @LibDems coalition partner, by secretly shafting them, while 'doing for' UKIP with the same bullet! Only the first bit worked? 3/
Read 21 tweets
Just days away from a #GE2019 which will shape UK for many generations to come!

Some incontrovertible facts:

1/ UK GDP% growth has stalled, at just 0.1% over the 6 months to 30sep19 (so, virtually flat-lining). This is the worst 1/2 year performance since the financial crash.
2/ Three plus years on from the disastrous #EURef, we now KNOW that destabilising Russian influence/cash was a material factor in driving the #Leave Vote. So, #RussiaReport MUST be released BEFORE we vote again in #GE2019.
3/ Russian agents also freely KILL (when directed & funded to do so) on the streets of Britain, so let's not readily 'pooh pooh' their ambition & reach to destabilise both the #UK & #EU.
Read 17 tweets
#GE2019 #GeneralElection2019

Are you still #undecided?
Are you thinking of voting #LibDem? Think very hard: your vote may get you a very bad #Brexit.
You want to #Remain & that's why you're voting #LibDem?
But the #LibDems can't #RevokeArticle50 unless they win the election. In 2017 they won 12 seats. They need 326 MPs to win. How many do they need to claim a mandate to #Revoke?
Maybe the #LibDems can form a minority government?
Could a minority government #RevokeArticle50? Even for that the #LibDems would need at least 200 seats. And what other parties would they then need for success? The #SNP might vote to #RevokeArticle50, but would they be enough?
Read 12 tweets
On my way to Berlin for the launch of @ForumNewEconomy. I ll be talking about "Why #Brexit votes happen: An evaluation of the impact of #austerity".
Unfortuantely, there is much more I would like to say... but can't within 10 minutes. So here is what's missing out...
In the run up to 2016 #EURef, the UK was actually slowly and gradually becoming more pro European if you believe 30 @EurobarometerEU studies since 2000.
The 2016 #EURef is culmination of political developments with UK's electoral system playing a crucial role. Here a short thread why & how #austerity induced voter shifts affected election dynamics, pushing Cameron into holding #Brexit referendum:
Read 8 tweets
48. The Legacy of US, UK, France, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Bahrain, Canada, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Australia, Jordan, Nato in Syria
#RegimeChange #FakeNews #FalseFlag #terrorism #SyriaInvasion #WarCrimes #CrimesAgainstHumanity
1 to 20. The Legacy of US, UK, France, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Bahrain, Canada, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Australia, Jordan, Nato in Syria 🤨👇🏼
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1136642…
21 to 40. The Legacy of US, UK, France, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Bahrain, Canada, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Australia, Jordan, Nato in Syria 🤨👇🏼
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1164175…
Read 501 tweets
Tensions increase in Lebanese city as protesters clash with Harakat Amal supporters: video aml.ink/GfhJ7
"#Hezbollah leader Hassan #Nasrallah has signaled his readiness to support the current #Lebanese govt amid the ongoing protests in the capital Beirut. In a televised speech, Nasrallah said that he would back the govt,“but with a new agenda & a new spirit”
aml.ink/VHBBY
"The #Turkish-backed militants launched a surprise attack on the #SyrianArmy’s defenses near the #Syrian-#Turkish border today in a bid to advance to the Tal Tamr District of Al-Hasakah."
aml.ink/22K22
Read 495 tweets
There is no compromise for #remain in this brexit deal. For MPs who think it will bring people together once again they are indulging in sheer fantasy. The compromise is between a hard brexit and a slightly less hard brexit, all being harder than Mays WA which was pretty hard.
The people who have yapped on for 3 years about EEA Norway etc have completely wasted their breath. As soon as Mays red lines were drawn this option was out of the picture. If labour MPs think this deal is right they are doing a great disservice to the country.
The biggest Pro EU movement in Europe is not going to disband if brexit is imposed without at the very least a chance for people to have a voice at the ballot box ON. THE DEAL. #Leave have completely ignored #remainers concerns for 3 years.
Read 5 tweets
Thread:

I'm delighted that so much attention is now being paid to the issue of financial speculators and disaster capitalists making money out of #NoDeal. It's been frustrating to see so little attention being paid to this in Brexit debate. 1/
This is of course due to Rachel Johnson and Philip Hammond bringing it to the public awareness.
The BBC's Andrew Neil negates the idea by stating there's no evidence to support the claim. Financial markets and the news narratives they produce are always speculative... 2/
Since when do economists have to produce evidence to make future projections?
There are however clues. This is Christopher Chandler. He runs a company called Legatum Ltd. He made his fortune by travelling the world finding areas of political instability...3/
Read 7 tweets
#OpportunityCost is the aggregate net cost of doing something, vis a vis 'not doing it' at all.

The initial project, option & prospect of #Brexit came with huge opportunity costs, which were too easily pre-discounted as #ProjectFear. 1/
The initial #Leave case, dramatised by the #BorisBus, contended that UK could save its £350m pw #EU 'gross membership contribution' and pass that 'saving' straight to the #NHS - as 'additional funding'. 2/
The #Leave case focused on saving UK's #EU gross membership cost in favour of #NHS.

It ignored regular #EU annual contributions back into a multiplicity of UK projects, which would obviously be stopped, if we ceased membership.
3/
Read 34 tweets
Reaction to name-calling by making fun of it.....

A thread....

1/

#stopthecoup #FBPE #Dangerous
By now - the #remain groups should have an agenda to win over the 45+million undecided voters to understanding the strengths of the EU.

Ask you local group what this is - and how you can help with it..... 😀

2/
When the 23rd June 2016 referendum was written up - the biggest criticism of #remain, was that it was reactive.

It didn't have a policy of its own - but reacted and refuted things that the #Leave group said

3/
Read 9 tweets
"Even if only 1/10 predictions happen you can't call it project fear.

When it's the secret assessment of the guys who invented project fear"
#ProjectFear
#Brexit
#LeaveOct31st
#Yellowhammer
That point in the movie when the kind old lady who's been saying,"it'll be ok dear" turns out to have skinned the hero's wife and is creeping up behind him with a knife dropping in blood".

Maybe time to talk?

#ProjectFear
#Brexit
#LeaveOct31st
#operationyellowhammer
The thing they fear, often a ghost, appears behind them, but at first the characters ignore the audience's warnings of danger. The characters soon circle the bench, followed by the ghost, as the audience cries "It's behind you!"

#itsbehindyou
#Brexit
#operationyellowhammer
Read 5 tweets
Outside Downing Street still a few protestors - and tourists presumably enthralled by British legislative procedure and protocol... #Brexit
Anti #Brexit rally in Parliament Square chanting #StopTheCoup and now marching down to Downing Street
Now at Downing Street #Brexit
Read 10 tweets
It's now painfully clear and beyond any doubt: 1. That the sunny, cost-free, easy-access uplands, posited by the Brexit cult, are mendacious fantasy. 2. That the ever-growing costs, downsides and consequences of Brexit are very real and intellectually indisputable.
#BrexitChaos
We may tire of confronting the undisputed opportunity costs* of #Brexit #CatastrophUK (c.£130bn so far, rising at c.£1.2bn weekly) but our *GDP *Currency *Property Values *Stock Market *Govt Borrowing *Ongoing #Brexodus (ref: @uk_domain_names) combine to drag the UK backwards.
Read 16 tweets
PPOPHET MUHAMMAD’S LAST SERMON

Prophet Muhammad (peace be upon him) delivered his last sermon (Khutbah) on the ninth of Dhul Hijjah (12th and last month of the Islamic year), 10 years after Hijrah (migration from Makkah to Madinah) in the Uranah Valley of mount Arafat.
His words were quite clear and concise and were directed to the ENTIRE HUMANITY .
After praising, and thanking Allah he said:

“O People, lend me an attentive ear, for I know not whether after this year, I shall ever be amongst you again.
Therefore listen to what I am saying to you very carefully and take these words to those who could not be present here today.
O people, just as you regard this month, this day, this city as Sacred, so regard the life and property of every Muslim as a sacred trust.
Read 15 tweets

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