The best thing is head off for a Christmas break & encourage MPs to spend the time thinking carefully
Meanwhile reports of the death of May's deal are greatly exaggerated
A thread 👇
✖️Leave with No Deal
✖️Leave with May's Deal
There are special cases of each of these but every possible path falls into one of these three boxes.
Norway Plus entails leaving with May's Deal & seeking to add commitment to build a closer future relationship.
A General Election or a Second Referendum could take us to No Brexit
Take @allisonpearson for example
And he recognises that post failed anti-@theresa_may coup, options are further narrowed
Several of these have said to me privately that they would reluctantly back the deal
But bashing it is good copy or what donors/readers want to see
There are clear problems with the deal
@10DowningStreet too often glosses over them - conflating bits of the agreement (transition Vs backstop Vs political declaration)
Of course we should look at the problems but not exclusively
When the deal first came out my visceral response was very negative. Problems jumped off the pages
Off the pages and pages of text
But I had also accepted long ago that we were going to have some sort of backstop
It wasn't till after a week that I noticed some pretty key stuff
I felt pretty dumb when I first realised this after several days.
But I rang round a few key Brexit watching journalists and they hadn't noticed that either.
But perhaps more damagingly they failed really to define it at all when it first was launched meaning the deal was defined by its critics & - in the public eye - by resignations
[Chequers is nothing to do with the Withdrawal Agreement and little to do with the Polticial Declaration]
✖️ leave with May's deal (whether tweaked or not)
✖️ leave without a deal
Everything else is off the table
And if you're going to do that you are basically looking at something very close to May's deal with extra promises in the Political Declaration
It's the deal on the table.
It is the only safe path out the EU
Labour may try to cause chaos by pushing Government to No Deal but if that happens I suspect their moderates will ultimately break away & let deal pass
Downing Street may ultimately get their way
See my colleague Stephen's take on all this - 👇
I meant the deal is currently underpriced