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Jeffrey Lewis
@ArmsControlWonk
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
I think I know what this means. Now it's a race to task a bird.
"(The North) appears to be putting back a roof and a door (to a Dongchang-ri facility)," the NIS was quoted as saying.
NIS is fast. That change looks like it happened between 18-22 February.
We lost the race to task the bird! 😢 Great job by @VictorDCha and crew.
nbcnews.com/news/north-kor…
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Jeffrey Lewis
@ArmsControlWonk
There are reports about a secret North Korean nuclear facility at a place called Bungang (분강). Here's the thing: Bungang (or more commonly Pun'gang) is just another name for the place we call Yongbyon. A short thread follows.
news.joins.com/article/234016…
Pun’gangni-nodongjagu or the Pun'gang-ni Workers District (39.806667, 125.743056) is what the North Koreans used to call the place where the Yongbyon Nuclear Complex is located. The town of Yongbyon is actually further away. (These places are all in Yongbyon County.)
While the North Koreans use "Yongbyon" today, you can see that early defectors used to call it Bungang or Pungang. It's the same place.
my-jia.com/KPA_Journal_In…
Read 7 tweets
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Jeffrey Lewis
@ArmsControlWonk
"After all, never before had North Korea offered to shutter the Yongbyon complex."
This statement is false and should be corrected.
North Korea "shuttered" Yongbyon as a result of negotiations in 1994-2003, 2007-2009 and offered to do so again in 2012.
And before anyone tries to exploit the ambiguity of colloquialism "shuttered."
👇
"More recently, North Korea raised the stakes drastically by reopening a nuclear complex in Yongbyon that had been shuttered under a 1994 agreement..."
nytimes.com/2003/01/03/int…
And 👇
"The hard-won nuclear deal with North Korea seems to be unraveling after a hopeful period in which the North shuttered its nuclear reactor at Yongbyon and dramatically blew up the cooling tower."
nytimes.com/2008/09/29/opi…
Read 3 tweets
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Jeffrey Lewis
@ArmsControlWonk
Some context. The United States canceled TEAM SPIRIT exercises -- which North Korea hated -- in 1994 for a similar reasons and replaced it with what we now call KEY RESOLVE/FOAL EAGLE.
nbcnews.com/news/military/…
The language about replacing the big exercise with "smaller, mission-specific training" today is very similar to the description of the new KEY RESOLVE/FOAL EAGLE then as "smaller" and "more realistic" than TEAM SPIRIT.
My point is that, as KEY RESOLVE/FOAL EAGLE came to resemble TEAM SPIRIT, the exercises began to draw the same ire from Pyongyang that TEAM SPIRIT did. And so what matters is less the name than the political situation and the content of the exercises.
Read 4 tweets

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Anyone on goodreads can go to this link to join the group and the discussion
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